The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Del Mar
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DMR-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
DMR-2   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
DMR-3   Win (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.80 -6.00
DMR-4   Win (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $30.40 $30.40 24.40
DMR-5   Win (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
DMR-6   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
DMR-7   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
DMR-8   Win (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $15.40 -8.00
DMR-9   Win (7/1/10/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $24.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
DMR-1   11/11/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
:213 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEDWIG 1 5 4 2   2½ 1½ (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.80 42% 1.40 0.90 W
DARK VINTAGE (IRE) 2 4 5 43   32 2½ (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.80 P
ALWAYS ON CAY 4 6 6 6   63¾ (hess b)SMITH E 120 5.00 10.20  
INVINCIBLE 3 1 2nk 1   1½ 4(o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.00 4.50  
LAWLESS WORLD 5 2 1nk 3   43 5(farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00 43.70  
DES DOIGTS 6 3 3 5   55 6(deleon rafae)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
 
DMR-2   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
:224 :454 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PILOT COMMANDER 2 1 1nk 1½   11 1(baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 10% 9.30 1.30 W
IMAGINATION 4 4 31 32   21 2(baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 24% 3.10 2.90 P
E J WON THE CUP 1 3 2nk 2½   32 3(o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 43% 1.30 4.30 S
BRITISH ISLES 6 2 4 4   49 410¾ (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 5.00 2.70  
DEAL EM 5 6 52 5   511 521¼ (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 25.40  
CLASSIC ALPHIE 3 5 67 614½   621 638½ (papaprodromou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00 56.30  
SCR  SHOT OF COURAGE               (papaprodromou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 15.00    
 
DMR-3   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:30
:233 :48 1:132 1:253   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOCHA GRANDE 2 5 4 4 4 4¾ 1¾ (sadler w)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 4.90  
RESPECT THE CROWN 1 1 3 32 3 1½ 2¾ (mullins )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 63% 0.60 1.80 P
PINK WHITNEY 7 8 78 66 7 53(o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90 S
FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) 5 7 68 8 6 64(damat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00 25.80  
TIANMA 6 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3½ 54 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 41.70  
BRAND NEW DREAM 3 4 5 55 5 73 6(gallagher patri)VALDIVIA JR 120 20.00 40.40  
ELLIE MOORE (IRE) 4 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 7(damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 9% 10.40 2.20  
ENNEREILLY (IRE) 8 6 89 77 810¼ 8100 8100 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 6.50  
SCR  AURATIUM               (mccarthy mic)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
DMR-4   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
:214 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATTERWITHJEWELS 9 8 21 31   21 1¾ (naran)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.20 W
EQUILOVE (IRE) 7 3 11 11   11 2¾ (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 2.10 P
NEVER SWAY 6 6 52 5   53(campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 8.10  
SPOILED ROTTEN 3 1 3 4   42 4(miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 4.40  
SHEZA GIRLY GIRL 8 4 4 21   35(ellis w)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 50% 1.00 2.40  
FLAT OUT JOY 2 9 73 6   66 67 (treece s)GARCIA ERICK 120 15.00 38.40  
TROPICANA GIRL 1 2 8 9   910½ 7(morfin sergio)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 25% 3.00 8.30  
DRIZELLA 4 5 6 8   78(alvare)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 120 20.00 26.70  
TAPIT DOUX 5 7 94 7   89 910½ (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 15.00 18.90  
 
DMR-5   11/11/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:221 :443       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSED BY FIRE 4 1 1½ 12   12 12 (eurton peter)SMITH E 120 2.50 12% 7.30 0.60 W
QUEEN MOLOTOV 6 2 2½ 22   22 22 (thomas jamey)TORREALBA JG 115 15.00 11% 7.90 17.10 P
RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ 7 3 32 33   33 3(damato philip)MALDONADO E 120 3.50 53% 0.90 6.30 S
SHE'S GOT A WAY 5 6 53 55   45 44 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 6.10  
ALTERNATE ROCK 1 4 64 66   66 55 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 4.80  
NEW COLLECTION (GB) 3 7 75 77   76(mccarthy mich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00 16.70  
SECRETS TOLD 2 5 4 44   55 76 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 12.00 42.80  
SCR  M IS FOR MAGIC               (drysdale nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  RUFA RED KNOT               (craigmyle keith)GARCIA ERICK 124 20.00    
 
DMR-6   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:22 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HABEAS 6 4 1 12   11(craigmyle kei)HERRERA A 122 1.20 20% 4.10 0.50 W
MEMES 5 6 32 22   22(damato philip)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 54% 0.90 2.30 P
BOLTS DESTINY 4 5 2 32   33 3(garcia antonio )AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 14.90  
DONTTESTYOURLUCK 2 2 53 5   48 410¼ (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
MY BROTHER MIKE 7 3 4 4   5514 (barocio libra)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00 17.50  
DIAMONDS PREFERRED 3 7 77 7   711 615½ (hollendorfer jerr)MALDONADO E 122 6.00 17.00  
NON TOXIC 1 1 6 6   610 716¼ (drysdale neil)TORREALBA JG 115 20.00 49.60  
SCR  CHASING ALCHEMY               (brinkerhoff val)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
 
DMR-7   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Kathryn Crosby Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
:233 :482 1:124 1:243   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE ZEL (FR) 5 1 4 4 3½ 12 1¾ (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 60% 0.70 2.50 W
YERWANTHERE (IRE) 9 7 9 9 8 52¾ (gallagher pat)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 6.70  
NADETTE (FR) 2 9 86 8 9 731 (drysdale)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00 5.50  
LINDA'S GIFT 1 3 3 3 41 44(mandella richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 5.00 3.30  
TURNERLOOSE 4 4 54 7 52 65(damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50 4.30  
GANADORA 6 2 11 11 1nk 364 (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 7.40  
LUCKY FOR YOU 8 5 21 21 2nk 22 7(baffert bob)FREY KYLE 121 12.00 12% 7.10 34.10  
FREE AND HUMBLE 7 8 7 5 6 986 (miller peter)SMITH E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
VERY SCARY 3 6 64 6 7 896 (kruljac ian)MALDONADO E 121 15.00 38.30  
 
DMR-8   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:222 :46 1:102 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVIATT CLASS 5 7 8 8 7 74 1(cerin vladimi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 8.00 6.70  
CLOUSEAU 4 2 31 3½ 3½ 2½ 2(kruljac ian)MALDONADO E 122 15.00 5.40  
COWBOY MIKE 1 5 5 5 42 53(baffert bob)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 9.20  
HARD TO FIGURE 6 4 6 6 6 442 (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 13% 6.50 4.20  
DEVIL BE ME 3 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 1½ 5(damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 125 3.00 14% 6.00 8.70  
WILL BE 2 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 31 6(damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00  
COOL PAPA G 8 6 4 4 5 67(barocio librado)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 20.00 26.80  
MUCINO 7 8 7 7 8 86 8(o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 17% 4.80 5.70  
SCR  MISCHELOF (CHI)               ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-9   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
:23 :462 1:101 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERMIND 3 2 11 1 1 11½ (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 125 6.00 11.00  
HEIR (FR) 8 10 9 9 9 92½ (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 15.00 9% 9.60 15.80 P
EGOMANIA 9 7 6 7 6 75 3½ (deleon rafae)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20 S
RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) 5 8 8 8 8 641 (papaprodromou)HERRERA A 125 6.00 16.70  
NEVER SEEN BEFORE (IRE) 2 3 7 6 54 44 52 (harty eoin)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 5.90  
BIRTH OF COOL 7 9 10 10 10 86(dollase craig)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 3.00 25% 3.00 1.40  
10  BRUTTO 10 1 3 4 4 373 (kitchingman ada)VALDIVIA JR 125 15.00 18% 4.50 11.60  
COMRADERY (IRE) 1 4 4 3 3 283 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 6.00 22% 3.60 4.30  
WARRENS CANDY MAN 4 5 53 55 7 109(harris andrew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 20.00 48.10  
PARK CITY 6 6 21 2 2 54 1010½ (valenzuela martin)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 8.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.