Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/5/8)-(8/1/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-3   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/9)-(2/5/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(8/1/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(8/1/9)-(9/4/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-4   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/7/9)-(8/1/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/9)-(9/4/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9)-(9/4/8)-(5/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-5   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/8)-(9/4/8)-(9/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/4/8)-(5/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8)-(5/7/2)-(5/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(5/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(5/8/7)-(2/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-7   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(2/8/4/7)-(7/1/10/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-8   WIN (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7)-(2/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/7)-(7/1/10/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
DMR-9   WIN (7/1/10/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/8/9)-(7/1/10/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/8/9)-(7/1/10/8/9)-(7/1/10/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEDWIG Sep13 Aug19       (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  DARK VINTAGE (IRE) Oct07 Aug03 Jun22     (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  INVINCIBLE Oct08 Aug24 Jul29     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
4  ALWAYS ON CAY Oct07 Sep04 Aug11 May26   (hess b)SMITH E 120 5.00    
5  LAWLESS WORLD Sep09         (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
6  DES DOIGTS Oct07 Sep10 Aug10 Jun16   (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-2   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOT OF COURAGE         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  E J WON THE CUP Oct21 Sep09 Aug11     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
3  PILOT COMMANDER         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 10% 9.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of REBUKE by CARSON CITY)
4  CLASSIC ALPHIE         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISS ALPHIE by CANDI'S GOLD)
5  IMAGINATION         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  DEAL EM         (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of OH SHE'S SO ON by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  BRITISH ISLES Oct21         (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PURELY HOT by PURE PRIZE)
 
DMR-3   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AURATIUM Oct06 Sep09 Jul29     (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
2  RESPECT THE CROWN Oct14 Sep08       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ANNIVERSARY KITTY by TRIBAL RULE)
3  MOCHA GRANDE Oct06 Aug19 Jul22     (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY MUSIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BRAND NEW DREAM         (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 120 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MAJESTICALLY by GONE WEST)
5  ELLIE MOORE (IRE) Oct14 Aug06       (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of PIRITA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
6  FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR)         (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of ENERGIE GREEN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
7  TIANMA Oct14 Aug19 Jul23     (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of HOME RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  PINK WHITNEY Oct07 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30   (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
9  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Aug19         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EJADAH by CLODOVIL (IRE))
 
DMR-4   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPICANA GIRL Sep22 Sep16 Jul30 Jul01 May27 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  FLAT OUT JOY Sep15 Aug24 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 120 15.00    
3  SPOILED ROTTEN Oct21 Oct06 Sep01 Aug03 Jul08 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
4  DRIZELLA Oct14 Sep22 Jul30 Jul04 May27 (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
5  TAPIT DOUX Oct29 Aug20 Jul04 Jun11 May27 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 15.00    
6  NEVER SWAY Oct29 Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Jul28 (campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
7  EQUILOVE (IRE) Oct14 Oct30 Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 ★    
8  SHEZA GIRLY GIRL Oct28 Oct14 Aug03 Jul08 Jun02 (ellis w)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 50% 1.00    
9  FLATTERWITHJEWELS Jun09 May19 Apr22 Mar17 Mar03 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-5   11/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTERNATE ROCK Oct27 Oct01 Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
2  SECRETS TOLD Oct22 Oct07 Aug12 Jul28 May27 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
3  NEW COLLECTION (GB)         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00    
4  KISSED BY FIRE Oct07 Aug17 Jul23 May21 Sep10 (eurton peter)SMITH E 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
5  SHE'S GOT A WAY Aug25 Jun02 May07 Mar18 Feb19 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  RUFA RED KNOT Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 Jun29 Jun17 (craigmyle keit)GARCIA ERICK 124 20.00    
SCR  M IS FOR MAGIC Oct06 Aug03 Jun02 May14 Apr22 (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
8  QUEEN MOLOTOV Oct23 Sep04 Aug11 Jul22 May29 (thomas jamey)TORREALBA JG 115 15.00 11% 7.90    
9  RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ Aug12 Jul23 Jun17 Mar04 Feb11 (damato philip)MALDONADO E 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
DMR-6   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NON TOXIC Oct27 Sep17 Sep04 Aug18   (drysdale neil)TORREALBA JG 115 20.00    
2  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIAMONDS PREFERRED Sep04 Aug06 Jun24     (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
4  BOLTS DESTINY Sep29 Sep10       (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
5  MEMES Oct06 Nov12 Sep01 Aug06 Jun19 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  CHASING ALCHEMY         (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
7  HABEAS Oct14 Sep23 Aug18 Jul30 Jun04 (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 122 1.20 20% 4.10    
8  MY BROTHER MIKE Oct14 Sep15 Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00    
 
DMR-7   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Kathryn Crosby Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA'S GIFT Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 Aug25 Aug12 (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of AMERICANA by TAPIT)
2  NADETTE (FR) Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb04 Oct29 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
3  VERY SCARY Oct15 Jul22 Jun18 May20 Apr30 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 121 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
4  TURNERLOOSE Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 Oct28 Sep24 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) Dec04 Aug20 Jul22 May06 Apr09 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
6  GANADORA Sep23 Aug12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan15 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BELOVEDA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  FREE AND HUMBLE Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun02 (miller peter)SMITH E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  LUCKY FOR YOU Aug05 May14 Apr29 Apr02 Jan28 (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 121 12.00 12% 7.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
9  YERWANTHERE (IRE) Oct28 Aug26       (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
  (by MARKAZ out of FAST JAZZ by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
 
DMR-8   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY MIKE Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 May07 (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
2  WILL BE Oct01 Aug17 Jun25     (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  DEVIL BE ME Sep10 Aug13 Jun17 May07   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
5  CLOUSEAU Oct14 Sep03 Aug04 May28 May05 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 122 15.00    
6  OVIATT CLASS Aug12 Jun18 Apr25 Jan01   (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 8.00    
7  HARD TO FIGURE Oct01 Jul21 Jun04 May06 Mar26 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
8  MUCINO Oct08 Sep04 Aug04 Jul08 Jun09 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
9  COOL PAPA G Sep17 Aug17 Jan01     (barocio libra)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 20.00    
SCR  MISCHELOF (CHI) Oct14 Aug19 Jul22     ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-9   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMRADERY (IRE) Oct07 Jul23 Jun03 May12 Nov24 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 6.00 22% 3.60    
2  NEVER SEEN BEFORE (IRE) Aug27 Jun10 Apr29 Mar27 Feb04 (harty eoin)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
3  MASTERMIND Oct14 Sep16 May29 Apr29 Feb18 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 125 6.00    
4  WARRENS CANDY MAN Oct21 Sep24 Sep04 May06 Apr23 (harris andr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 20.00    
5  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 Aug03 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 125 6.00    
6  PARK CITY Oct21 Sep30 Sep01 Jul21 Jun03 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
7  BIRTH OF COOL Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 Jun18 Jun02 (dollase cra)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  HEIR (FR) Oct21 Sep22 Aug18 Jul21 May27 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 15.00 9% 9.60    
9  EGOMANIA Oct07 Sep16 Sep10 Dec04 Nov20 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRUTTO Aug18 May06 Mar04 Jan13 May20 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 125 15.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.