Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Santa Rosa
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SR-1   TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4-5 $10.90 $4.90 82%
SR-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-5 $4.30 $2.30 115%

Simulator Race results

 
SR-1   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZ TILL TEN 3 2 2 21 1½ 1 14 (howey quinn)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.50 W
FANTASTIC DREAM 4 4 55 5 55 55 24 (puent)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 4.00 5% 17.90 6.10 P
BALLROOM PRINCE 5 5 4 3 3 33 3 (sherman ste)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 0.80 52% 0.90 0.80 S
UPDRAFT 2 3 3 43 4 44 4 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 6.00 16.50  
THECHIEFHASTRICKS 1 1 1 11 2½ 2 5 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00 10.60  
 
SR-2   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:221 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY TREASURE 4 1 21 21   1 1 (jauregui j)PENA BRYAN 125 3.50 4.20  
AUSTRIAN NAVY 1 3 33 4   4 2 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.00 24% 3.20 1.00 P
DON'T TELL HYDEE 2 4 43 33   33 3 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.50 22% 3.60 2.30 S
PERFECTLY JULIE 3 5 5 5   5 4 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 15.00 8.90  
HER PERFECT VISION 5 2 11 11   2 5 (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 20% 3.90 7.60  
SCR  BEA MISCHIEF               (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
 
SR-3   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY'S GENIE 3 2 2½ 1½   1 1 (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 122 1.20 48% 1.10 0.90 W
GENTLE JULIA 1 1 1½ 2½   2 2 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 4.50 4.80  
REALLY SATISFYING 2 3 33 3   3 38 (stei)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.30 S
DIVINE PASSAGE 4 4 4 4   4 411¼ (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 9.30  
SCR  IM IN IT TO WIN IT               (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
 
SR-4   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:223 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN MOLOTOV 5 2 1 12   12 13 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.40 41% 1.50 0.90 W
AIR FORCE WOMAN 3 1 2 22   22 23 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 8.50  
MISS LIZZY 2 4 4 3   3 3 (o'neill doug)PENA BRYAN 122 1.60 27% 2.70 2.00 S
CITY GLITTER 1 5 5 56   4 4 (ruva)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 10% 8.60 5.00  
TIP TOP GAL 4 3 3 4   56 5 (miller quentin)ALVARADO T 125 10.00 10.40  
 
SR-5   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:22 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILA AT THE BEACH 2 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1½ (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 125 1.20 51% 1.00 1.30 W
THREAD COUNT 4 4 42 31   1nk 2½ (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 3.00 18% 4.40 2.10 P
MO TOWN GAL 1 2 1nk 1nk   32 3 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00 2.80  
TIME TO SMILE 3 3 3 43   45 48 (moger jr)ROMAN A 125 3.50 3.90  
SCR  MARNAYS QUEEN               (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
 
SR-6   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA OF LIBERTY 4 3 32 24 25 1nk 1¼ (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 125 4.50 8.20  
GROWTH ENGINE 1 4 44 4 3 2nk 2¼ (mathis and)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 34% 2.00 0.90 P
WELLSWORT (IRE) 5 5 55 5 4 4 3 (hobson simo)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 10.00 11% 7.80 18.60 S
SUGAR BEETS 3 6 6 69 5 5 46 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00 16% 5.10 8.40  
GALLANT WARREN 7 7 711½ 715½ 714 6 5 (bellasis tim)OROZCO IRVING 125 8.00 10.40  
MO THEM DOWN 6 1 12 14 15 3 6 (o'ne)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 2.50  
BRONZE WARRIOR 2 2 22 3 6 79 717½ (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 12.00 11% 8.50 25.20  
SCR  ROARING TIGER               (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
SCR  WINE AND WHISKY               (hobson simon)OROZCO IRVING 123 12.00    
 
SR-7   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :45       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMING MACHINE 4 1 2nk 1½   12 12 (sadler w)ROMAN A 122 1.60 54% 0.90 1.10 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TARA BROOCH by MONTBROOK)
GODSEND (GB) 2 4 43 3   22 22 (o'neill doug)PENA BRYAN 125 3.50 26% 2.90 1.80 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MISS DEL GALLO by HENNESSY)
ATTA BOY LLOYD 3 3 1nk 2½   32 36 (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 5.00 5.70  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of THAT'SENOUGHSINGIN by SWISS YODELER)
GALLO DEL CIELO 1 5 56 57   57 48 (preciado guil)RIVERA SANTOS 125 15.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of CAUTION SIGN by MR. GREELEY)
MAVERICK ROSE 5 2 32 44   46 512¼ (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 4.10  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ROSARITA by POPULAR (SAF))
SCR  KERRY GOLD               (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of SMARTY CORN by SMARTY JONES)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.