Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/3/6)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SR-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/2)-(5/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SR-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/2/1)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SR-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/5)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SR-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/3/5/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/3/5/2)-(4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SR-6   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(4/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SR-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THECHIEFHASTRICKS Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 Jun09 May20 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00    
2  UPDRAFT Aug03 Jul02 Jun09 May20 May05 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 6.00    
3  DANZ TILL TEN Jul23 Jul01 Jun09 May19 Mar17 (howey quinn)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  FANTASTIC DREAM Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May29 May06 (puent)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 4.00 5% 17.90    
5  BALLROOM PRINCE Jul09 Apr28       (sherman ste)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 0.80 52% 0.90    
 
SR-2   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul08 Jun18 Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BEA MISCHIEF Jun25 Jun10 May12 May04 Apr07 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
3  DON'T TELL HYDEE Jul08 Jun16 May19 Mar26 Feb12 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  PERFECTLY JULIE Jul09 Jun25 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 15.00    
5  LUCY TREASURE Aug03 Jun23 May06 Apr17 Oct01 (jauregui j)PENA BRYAN 125 3.50    
6  HER PERFECT VISION Jul30 Jul04 Jun24 May06 Apr18 (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
SR-3   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENTLE JULIA Jun17 Jul29 Jul02 Jun24 May27 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 4.50    
2  REALLY SATISFYING Jul22         (stei)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  BOBBY'S GENIE Jul02 Jun04 May13 Apr22   (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  DIVINE PASSAGE May12 Mar31 Feb25     (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
SCR  IM IN IT TO WIN IT         (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
 
SR-4   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY GLITTER Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 May19 Apr29 (ruva)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 10% 8.60    
2  MISS LIZZY Jul22 Jun09 May14 Apr21 Mar09 (o'neill doug)PENA BRYAN 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  AIR FORCE WOMAN Jun19 May01 Apr09 Jan21 Jan09 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
4  TIP TOP GAL Jul30 Jun17 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (miller quentin)ALVARADO T 125 10.00    
5  QUEEN MOLOTOV Jul22 May29 Apr21 Mar31 Mar05 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
SR-5   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOWN GAL Jun23 Jun02 Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
2  LILA AT THE BEACH Jun16 May19 Mar31 Mar04 Jun03 (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 125 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  MARNAYS QUEEN         (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
4  TIME TO SMILE May21 May01 Apr02 Mar11 Feb05 (moger jr)ROMAN A 125 3.50    
5  THREAD COUNT Jul23 Jun09 May20 Apr15 Mar09 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
SR-6   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROWTH ENGINE Jul02 Jun03 May12 Jun18   (mathis and)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  BRONZE WARRIOR Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 May13 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 12.00 11% 8.50    
3  SUGAR BEETS Jun25 Jun03 May12 Apr22 Mar25 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  SEA OF LIBERTY Jul21 Jun11 May27 Sep10 Aug14 (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 125 4.50    
5  WELLSWORT (IRE) Jun10 May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (hobson simo)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 10.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  WINE AND WHISKY Jul02 Jun17 May14 Aug28 Aug07 (hobson simon)OROZCO IRVING 123 12.00    
SCR  ROARING TIGER Jul09 Jun25 May26 May04 Apr01 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
8  MO THEM DOWN Jul23 Jun10 Nov27 Oct16 Sep09 (o'ne)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50    
9  GALLANT WARREN Jul29 Jun18 May27 May06 Apr15 (bellasis t)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
 
SR-7   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLO DEL CIELO Jul22 Jun18       (preciado guil)RIVERA SANTOS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of CAUTION SIGN by MR. GREELEY)
2  GODSEND (GB) Jul04 Jan30       (o'neill doug)PENA BRYAN 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MISS DEL GALLO by HENNESSY)
3  ATTA BOY LLOYD         (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 5.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of THAT'SENOUGHSINGIN by SWISS YODELER)
4  STORMING MACHINE Oct09 Aug26 Aug11     (sadler w)ROMAN A 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TARA BROOCH by MONTBROOK)
5  MAVERICK ROSE         (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ROSARITA by POPULAR (SAF))
SCR  KERRY GOLD Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 May04 Apr08 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of SMARTY CORN by SMARTY JONES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.