Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $9.40 $3.40 57%
DED-3   DD (6/3/1)-(1/10/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $17.70 $5.70 48%
DED-5   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $26.60 $18.60 233%
DED-6   EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-1 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $51.00 $39.00 325%
DED-7   WIN (1/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $102.40 $94.40 1180%
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $69.60 $57.60 480%
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-7-6 $3792 $3768 15700%
DED-8   TRI (7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-8 $18.15 $6.15 51%
    DD (1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $242.60 $226.60 1416%
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-6-7 $396.30 $372.30 1551%
    PK4 (1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2-7-6-7 $21194 $21098 21977%
    PK5 (5/3/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 576 $0.50 $288  2-2-7-6-7 $438.90 $150.90 52%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EARLY DAWN 10 1 1 12   14 16 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.50 17% 5.00 1.10 W
THURSDAY MORNING 8 2 6 6   3 26 (espinoza edgar)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00 35.80  
LUNCH LADY 6 8 5 22   24 39 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 123 4.50 52% 0.90 9.60 S
BRIDLED UP 3 10 9 9   710 410¾ (bourque war)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
BROOKE'S ALL IN 5 7 7 7   56 510¾ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 20.00 52.00  
OUR CLOVER GAL 9 4 4 33   46 611 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 5% 18.80 3.70  
GRACE'S SOLDIER 4 6 8 8   810½ 715 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
PIECE OF ME 2 5 3 5   912½ 818½ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 4.70  
APRIORITY GIRL 7 3 2 43   6 919 (west henry)STOKES A 120 15.00 60.90  
ROADSIDE GIRL 1 9 10100 10100   10100 10100 (west henry)DELCID MARLON 115 8.00 23.30  
SCR  KETANJI               (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50    
 
DED-2   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRAFRIESWITHAT 5 4 11 1   15 19 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 2.00 28% 2.50 3.00 W
MARDI GRAS ALARM 3 3 6 4   47 29 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 27% 2.70 2.20 P
I'M ALL MIXED UP 7 6 5 5   5 312¾ (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 65.10  
OUR CUSTOM DARLING 1 2 21 3   25 413¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 12% 7.10 2.90  
SADIE'S RANSOM 2 1 31 2   35 514¾ (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 4.90  
MOODY RAFAELA 4 5 45 6   611½ 625¾ (barnes le)TORRES HUGO 114 20.00 21.60  
CATALINA QUEEN 6 7 7 711   718½ 744¾ (thomas lee)ROSIER R 119 4.50 5.00  
SCR  A P HUMOR               (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
 
DED-3   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:161     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT IS AWESOME 1 2 1½ 11   13 1 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 33% 2.10 2.80 W
11  GYPSY JACKPOT 10 1 5 6   36 2 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 123 5.00 2.50 P
LUCKY BEAD LADY 6 5 2½ 21   23 38 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 122 8.00 4.40  
FAST OUT 8 10 10 10   69 4 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 5.00 3.30  
WHEELS LIKE NALA 4 6 7 44   46 511¾ (de al)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
10  REINA'S VISION 9 8 8 8   7 612 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 23% 3.30 19.80  
SWEET REVIVAL (GB) 3 3 3½ 5   58 712¾ (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 20% 3.90 10.90  
GRACE'S VISION 2 4 6 7   810½ 813¼ (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00 27.30  
CUPIE CUTIE 7 7 42 34   911½ 919¾ (huitron joel)EDISON JOCELYN 118 15.00 62.80  
QUEEN'S SOLDIER 5 9 9 9   1015½ 1027¼ (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 117 20.00 58.30  
SCR  DAISY DE ORO               (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 3.50    
SCR  STARSHIP NOLA               (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
 
DED-4   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:222 :462       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MIDWAY 2 1 3 3   3 1½ (courville )MARQUEZ L 122 4.50 3.30  
  (by LAOBAN out of INCLINATION by VICTORY GALLOP)
TRABR'S CREED 1 5 2½ 1½   1½ 2½ (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 8.40  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of COME ACORKIN by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
PERFECT EDGE 3 3 1½ 2½   2½ 3½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.00 12% 7.30 1.50 S
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PURRFECT DIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
PAPA JOJO 5 4 5 5   5 4 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.60 63% 0.60 2.80  
  (by JAFMIL out of PULPINIT by PULPIT)
EL IT 4 2 4 44   4 5 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
  (by EL DEAL out of THEYANKEEFUSE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
WELCOMETOARKANSAS 6 6 6 67   612½ 619 (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 122 10.00 22.40  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS E U by READY'S IMAGE)
 
DED-5   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:15     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET INVASION 2 5 5 8   72 11 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 7% 13.00 12.30 W
10  HONOR MY SPEED 9 1 4 4   4 21 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 10.00 7.30  
SERMONONTHEMOUNT 1 8 86 7   82 3 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.00 S
LOUIS LE GRANDE 4 6 7 5   1nk 4 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 3.50 6% 16.30 6.10  
DEALIN' STELEN 8 9 911 911¼   9 5 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 12.00 15.80  
OUTLAW X. 5 4 2nk 2nk   3.2 6 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 20.00 10.70  
ADIEU LE CHAT 7 7 64 6   6 7 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 116 6.00 8.50  
BIG BELLA BROWN 3 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 8 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 111 8.00 28% 2.50 7.80  
MAMACALLMEBOO 6 2 31 31   5 911 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 52.90  
SCR  LUCKY LOUIE               (knudsen kent)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
SCR  SMOKY TOPAZ               (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
SCR  TEMPRANO               (beavin judy)POMPELL L 116 12.00    
 
DED-6   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARM FUZZIES 7 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 21% 3.80 2.00 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
MISS LEONA 1 5 7 4   31 2¼ (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.40 50% 1.00 1.10 P
  (by OUTWORK out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
MARIAH (CHI) 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3¾ (alberto anto)MAGNON H 121 5.00 6.50  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
MILLIE'S DESTINY 6 7 33 3   4 4 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 121 8.00 13.00  
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of TWO PUNCH MILLIE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
WICKED SAINT 2 4 6 7   7 512½ (lorefice ma)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of BUBZ FOO FOO by LATENT HEAT)
RHONDA RUTH 5 6 5 55   5 613¼ (calhoun wil)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 5.80  
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of KOMBAT LAKE by MEADOWLAKE)
VALERIE'S CHANCE 3 3 4 6   6 715¼ (garcia jose )EDISON JOCELYN 116 10.00 59.80  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of DESERT AVENUE by DESERT GOD)
 
DED-7   11/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:152     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CALIENTE LADY 6 7 1010¾ 10   2½ 1 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00 50.20 W
THAT'S MY MAMA 2 6 8 6   1½ 2 (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 7.60  
RUN NATALIE RUN 8 10 9 9   5 3 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 8.00 22.50  
TWO JET 7 8 5 4   6 4 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 5.00 15% 5.50 11.90  
CUTE DINERO QUEEN 9 9 7 7   8 5 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 8.00 6% 15.20 2.50  
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA 5 5 6 8   7 6 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 1.90  
CAJUN GUMBOW 1 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 711¼ (gelner j)BIRZER E 118 3.00 55% 0.80 4.80  
MISS TARGET 3 1 2½ 2nk   41 813¾ (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 11.70  
10  WHERE'S AUNT J 10 4 42 32   9 916½ (bruno donald)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 15.20  
LUMINOUS FLIGHT 4 3 32 5   1010¼ 1023¾ (west henry)STOKES A 118 15.00 48.00  
 
DED-8   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:144 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY JACKSON 7 2 1nk 11 12 1 1¾ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 50% 1.00 1.70 W
GHOST COWBOY 1 7 6 4 22 2 2¾ (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 12% 7.50 2.30 P
R T'S D'ORO 8 4 4 3 4 33 3 (chevis a)STOKES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
TREASURE COAST 3 6 7 6 56 44 4 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 15.80  
CHIEF KIMOSABI 4 8 8 88 710 810 5 (castille ricke)THORNTON G 120 3.50 8.90  
SHANKINSTINE 2 5 3.2 21 3 56 6 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 15.00 11.00  
PRINCE SIMBA 5 9 9 910 810¼ 79 710 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 122 15.00 33.80  
GROSSE TETE IAN 6 1 5 7 67 6 813½ (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 13.10  
NOBLE CONNECTION 9 3 2nk 5 925¼ 935 955¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50 11.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.