Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/10/9/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/4/3)-(6/10/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/4/3)-(6/10/9/4/3)-(6/10/9/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/9/4/3)-(6/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9/4/3)-(6/3/1)-(1/10/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/10/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/10/3/4)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/10/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/11/4)-(1/10/3/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/3/4)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(1/3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/3/6)-(1/7/9/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/9/6)-(7/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROADSIDE GIRL Aug12 Jun24 Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 (west henry)DELCID MARLON 115 8.00    
2  PIECE OF ME Aug06 Jul02 Jun15 May30 May12 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00    
3  BRIDLED UP Aug10 Apr27 Dec22 Jun03   (bourque war)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRACE'S SOLDIER Oct25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul13 Jun29 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BROOKE'S ALL IN Jul12 Jun15 Jun08 May08 Apr14 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 20.00    
6  LUNCH LADY Oct18 Sep02 Aug13 Jun12 May27 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 123 4.50 52% 0.90    
7  APRIORITY GIRL Oct18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun01 (west henry)STOKES A 120 15.00    
8  THURSDAY MORNING Oct27 Sep03 Aug19 Jun17 Jun03 (espinoza edgar)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00    
9  OUR CLOVER GAL Oct27 Oct12 Aug10 Jul29 Jun17 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 5% 18.80    
10  EARLY DAWN Nov02 Oct06 Aug12 Jul02 Nov30 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  KETANJI Apr29 Apr08 Jan16 Nov25 Oct14 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50    
 
DED-2   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR CUSTOM DARLING Oct19 Jun26 Jun03 May13 Aug06 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  SADIE'S RANSOM Oct25 Jul27 Jun18 May13 Mar10 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
3  MARDI GRAS ALARM Oct14 Jul27 Jul06 Jun17 May27 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  A P HUMOR Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 May19 May03 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
5  MOODY RAFAELA Jul10 May08 Feb28 Feb02 Jan06 (barnes dav)RAMIREZ JR 114 20.00    
6  XTRAFRIESWITHAT Oct25 Feb18 Jan12     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
7  CATALINA QUEEN Jun30 Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Feb06 (thomas lee)ROSIER R 119 4.50    
8  I'M ALL MIXED UP Oct21 Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec16 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
 
DED-3   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT IS AWESOME Oct25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun11 Jan21 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  GRACE'S VISION Oct19 Feb20 Jan14 Dec21 Dec08 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00    
3  SWEET REVIVAL (GB)         (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
4  WHEELS LIKE NALA Oct19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 (de al)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUEEN'S SOLDIER Aug05 Jun16 Apr12     (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 117 20.00    
6  LUCKY BEAD LADY Sep02 Aug03 Feb03     (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 122 8.00    
7  CUPIE CUTIE Jul29 Feb15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 (huitron joel)EDISON JOCELYN 118 15.00    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO Aug13 Jul20 Jun19 May27 Apr20 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 3.50    
9  FAST OUT Aug03 Jul22       (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
10  REINA'S VISION         (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
11  GYPSY JACKPOT Oct25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  STARSHIP NOLA Oct25 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 May19 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
 
DED-4   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRABR'S CREED         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of COME ACORKIN by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  MR MIDWAY Oct26 Oct19 Sep15     (courville )MARQUEZ L 122 4.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of INCLINATION by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  PERFECT EDGE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PURRFECT DIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  EL IT Jan27 Jan05       (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of THEYANKEEFUSE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
5  PAPA JOJO Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov26 Oct08 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.60 63% 0.60    
  (by JAFMIL out of PULPINIT by PULPIT)
6  WELCOMETOARKANSAS Nov16         (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 122 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS E U by READY'S IMAGE)
 
DED-5   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Oct19 Jul06 Jun09 May25 Apr26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  DISCREET INVASION Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 Jul17 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 7% 13.00    
3  BIG BELLA BROWN Oct07 Sep02 Jun19 Jun10 Apr29 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 111 8.00 28% 2.50    
4  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 Jun04 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 3.50 6% 16.30    
SCR  LUCKY LOUIE Oct13 Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 (knudsen kent)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
6  OUTLAW X. Oct13 Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 20.00    
7  MAMACALLMEBOO Oct21 Sep02 Jul30 Jul22 Jul07 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
8  ADIEU LE CHAT Oct11 Aug11 Jul08 Jun10 Feb16 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 116 6.00    
9  DEALIN' STELEN Oct19 Jul06 May25 May03 Jan26 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
10  HONOR MY SPEED Oct06 Jul21 Jun02 May03 Apr20 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 10.00    
SCR  SMOKY TOPAZ Oct26 Jun29 Jun09 May20 Apr22 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
SCR  TEMPRANO Nov01 Oct19 Jul30 Jun19 May21 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 116 12.00    
 
DED-6   11/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LEONA Jul22         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  WICKED SAINT         (lorefice ma)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of BUBZ FOO FOO by LATENT HEAT)
3  VALERIE'S CHANCE         (garcia jose )EDISON JOCELYN 116 10.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of DESERT AVENUE by DESERT GOD)
4  MARIAH (CHI) Oct21 Jul22 Jul08     (alberto anto)MAGNON H 121 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
5  RHONDA RUTH         (calhoun wil)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of KOMBAT LAKE by MEADOWLAKE)
6  MILLIE'S DESTINY         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of TWO PUNCH MILLIE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
7  WARM FUZZIES Oct21         (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
 
DED-7   11/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN GUMBOW Jun29 May26 Mar22 Oct14 Aug26 (gelner j)BIRZER E 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  THAT'S MY MAMA Oct19 May26 May05 Feb18 Jul27 (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
3  MISS TARGET Nov01 Oct12 Sep09 Aug26 Jun12 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 ★    
4  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Oct19 Jul20 Jul08 Jun02 May20 (west henry)STOKES A 118 15.00    
5  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Nov01 Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 Apr29 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50    
6  EL CALIENTE LADY Nov03 Sep09 Aug12 Jul03 Feb28 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TWO JET Oct12 Aug11 Jul20 Jul08 Jun01 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
8  RUN NATALIE RUN Aug26 Jul02 Jun12 May22 May04 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
9  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Oct19 May22 Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 8.00 6% 15.20    
10  WHERE'S AUNT J Nov03 Oct12 Aug20 Jul24 Jun12 (bruno donald)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
 
DED-8   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST COWBOY Oct18 Aug05 Jul01 Jan27 Nov10 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
2  SHANKINSTINE Sep12 Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr21 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
3  TREASURE COAST Nov01 Oct06 Sep11 Sep02 Aug21 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
4  CHIEF KIMOSABI Nov01 Oct06 Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 (castille rickey )MELANCON G 120 3.50    
5  PRINCE SIMBA Oct18 Aug05 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 122 15.00    
6  GROSSE TETE IAN Nov04 Oct07 Sep09 Aug03 Jul22 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
7  HEY JACKSON Oct11 Aug05 Jul08 May26 Feb23 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  R T'S D'ORO Nov01 Aug04 Jun15 May10 Apr14 (chevis a)STOKES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  NOBLE CONNECTION Nov01 Oct06 Aug26 Jul08 Jun26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.