Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.20 $2.20 37%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   09/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IMA HAPPY DANCER 2 1 2nk 1½   12 16¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 2.50 2.20  
  (by LAUGHING CHARLIE out of DANCING FOR MORGAN by REAL QUIET)
5  WHEREDIDITGO 5 4 54 43   42½ 26¾ (torres-casas alex )LULL E 120 3.50 1.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  DESERT PEPPER 3 2 42½ 53   52¾ 37¼ (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00 11.00  
  (by PUNCTUATE out of LADY RIESLING by DOME)
1  SNOOZY SUZY 1 3 1nk 2½   22 49¾ (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 37% 1.70 2.30  
  (by CONGRATS out of SUMMER CAMP by FLAG DOWN)
4  COMFORTWITHCANDY 4 5 31½ 31   32½ 513 (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 27% 2.60 5.40  
  (by COMFORT out of CANDY'S SISTER by STREET BOSS)
 
ARP-3   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST AMUSING 1 1 11 12   1½ 1¼ (hibdon n)LULL E 124 15.00 1.50  
2  CHUCK NAZTY 2 4 21 22   2½ 2¼ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.90 1.50 P
4  THREE BALL 3 3 32½ 33½   42 33 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.90 S
5  SUEZ 4 2 44 43½   31½ 43½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 7.70  
SCR  ITS A DEAL               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-4   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CREATING MEMORIES 4 1 1½ 12½   11½ 18 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00 0.50 W
6  MISS IZZY BEE 6 2 41½ 22½   21½ 28 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 43% 1.30 1.90 P
1  WHAT A WAY TO GO 1 5 53 57   34 312¼ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 11% 8.20 7.20 S
2  VALDINI 2 6 613 613   44½ 412¼ (villamar ca)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 13.80  
5  SMART ACT 5 3 2½ 33½   55½ 519¼ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 47.70  
3  PASSION RIDE 3 4 31½ 45½   66½ 621 (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 37.00  
 
ARP-5   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TULSA TIME 4 1 11 1½   11 13¾ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 0.90  
5  MAIUS 5 3 32 41½   21 23¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10 P
2  MEET JOE 2 4 42 31½   32 35¼ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 15.00  
6  AVALON KING 6 2 21 2½   42½ 48 (o'brien debbie)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.80 11.70  
3  TRICKY LEE 3 6 54½ 54½   56½ 511 (martinez a)LULL E 124 3.50 29% 2.40 8.20  
1  JU JU GUY 1 5 66 67   69½ 618¼ (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 35.00  
 
ARP-6   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BORN TO RACE 2 4 43 32   12 16 (chavez juan)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.30 0.30 W
1  CREDIT RATING 1 1 21½ 43½   22 26 (triana marti)RAMOS B 120 8.00 12.20  
5  TREASURE COAST 4 3 32½ 21½   42¼ 36 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 2.70  
6  HOLY MISSION 5 2 11½ 11½   32 47¼ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 4.50 20% 3.90 11.30  
4  TEQUILA 3 5 55½ 57½   56¼ 518½ (quezada zachar)LUARK T 124 20.00 9.30  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS               (chavez juan)WALES T 124 12.00    
 
ARP-7   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COWBOY DON 5 3 52½ 62¾   3.2 1¼ (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 20.20  
3  SAVILE ROW 3 6 74 73¼   51¾ 2¼ (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 10% 9.30 3.30 P
7  TEXAS HEDGE 7 8 95¼ 51¾   1nk 3½ (tate mary)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 54.60  
8  I SEE CLEARLY NOW 8 1 84¼ 84¼   62¾ 41¼ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 6.40  
6  MORE HONOR 6 7 63½ 94¾   93½ 52½ (tate mary)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 35.70  
4  ONE STEP AWAY 4 2 3½ 1nk   2nk 64½ (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50 21% 3.80 1.00  
9  CHAMPS SUCCESS 9 4 42 4¾   41¼ 76½ (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 14.90  
1  TW SKIPPING STONES 1 9 1nk 3.2   73¼ 811½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.20  
2  PRECEDENT 2 5 2nk 2nk   83¼ 913¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.00 12% 7.40 15.00  
 
ARP-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIGHT TO SUE 7 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (villamar candelari)LULL E 124 2.50 39% 1.60 3.10 W
5  DOCS CARO CAT 5 2 31 3½   2½ 2¼ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 0.60 P
4  BRAVO KOLT 4 4 42 41½   42 33¼ (roberts m)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 10.50  
3  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 3 5 1nk 2nk   31 44¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 10.00 19.80  
2  SECRET SURVIVOR 2 6 62¾ 63   65 57¾ (triana jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 22.90  
6  BARTSTER 6 3 52¼ 52   54 67¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 34.70  
1  BARLOWS PRIDE 1 7 75¾ 74½   76 720½ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 4.50 19% 4.10 5.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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