Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.40  
ARP-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $5.00  
ARP-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.80  
ARP-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
ARP-7   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $42.40  
ARP-8   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   09/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA HAPPY DANCER 2 1 2nk 1½   12 1 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 2.50 2.20  
WHEREDIDITGO 5 4 54 43   4 2 (torres-casas j)LULL E 120 3.50 1.50  
DESERT PEPPER 3 2 4 53   5 3 (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00 11.00  
SNOOZY SUZY 1 3 1nk 2½   22 4 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 37% 1.70 2.30  
COMFORTWITHCANDY 4 5 3 31   3 513 (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 27% 2.60 5.40  
 
ARP-3   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST AMUSING 1 1 11 12   1½ 1¼ (hibdon n)LULL E 124 15.00 1.50  
CHUCK NAZTY 2 4 21 22   2½ 2¼ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.90 1.50 P
THREE BALL 3 3 3 3   42 33 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.90 S
SUEZ 4 2 44 4   3 4 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 7.70  
SCR  ITS A DEAL               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-4   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATING MEMORIES 4 1 1½ 1   1 18 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00 0.50 W
MISS IZZY BEE 6 2 4 2   2 28 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 43% 1.30 1.90 P
WHAT A WAY TO GO 1 5 53 57   34 312¼ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 11% 8.20 7.20 S
VALDINI 2 6 613 613   4 412¼ (villamar cand)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 13.80  
SMART ACT 5 3 2½ 3   5 519¼ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 47.70  
PASSION RIDE 3 4 3 4   6 621 (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 37.00  
 
ARP-5   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TULSA TIME 4 1 11 1½   11 1 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 0.90  
MAIUS 5 3 32 4   21 2 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10 P
MEET JOE 2 4 42 3   32 3 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 15.00  
AVALON KING 6 2 21 2½   4 48 (o'brien debbie)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.80 11.70  
TRICKY LEE 3 6 5 5   5 511 (martinez a)LULL E 124 3.50 29% 2.40 8.20  
JU JU GUY 1 5 66 67   6 618¼ (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 35.00  
 
ARP-6   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN TO RACE 2 4 43 32   12 16 (chavez juan)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.30 0.30 W
CREDIT RATING 1 1 2 4   22 26 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 8.00 12.20  
TREASURE COAST 4 3 3 2   4 36 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 2.70  
HOLY MISSION 5 2 1 1   32 4 (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 4.50 20% 3.90 11.30  
TEQUILA 3 5 5 5   5 518½ (quezada zachary)LUARK T 124 20.00 9.30  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS               (chavez juan)WALES T 124 12.00    
 
ARP-7   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY DON 5 3 5 6   3.2 1¼ (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 20.20  
SAVILE ROW 3 6 74 7   5 2¼ (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 10% 9.30 3.30 P
TEXAS HEDGE 7 8 9 5   1nk 3½ (tate mary)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 54.60  
I SEE CLEARLY NOW 8 1 8 8   6 4 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 6.40  
MORE HONOR 6 7 6 9   9 5 (tate mary)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 35.70  
ONE STEP AWAY 4 2 3½ 1nk   2nk 6 (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50 21% 3.80 1.00  
CHAMPS SUCCESS 9 4 42 4¾   4 7 (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 14.90  
TW SKIPPING STONES 1 9 1nk 3.2   7 811½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.20  
PRECEDENT 2 5 2nk 2nk   8 913¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.00 12% 7.40 15.00  
 
ARP-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TO SUE 7 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (villamar candelario)LULL E 124 2.50 39% 1.60 3.10 W
DOCS CARO CAT 5 2 31 3½   2½ 2¼ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 0.60 P
BRAVO KOLT 4 4 42 4   42 3 (roberts m)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 10.50  
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 3 5 1nk 2nk   31 4 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 10.00 19.80  
SECRET SURVIVOR 2 6 6 63   65 5 (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 22.90  
BARTSTER 6 3 5 52   54 6 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 34.70  
BARLOWS PRIDE 1 7 7 7   76 720½ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 4.50 19% 4.10 5.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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