The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.40 -4.00
    Exacta (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-5 2 0 $11.00 -4.00
ARP-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $5.00 -4.00
    Exacta (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-2 2 0 $30.40 -4.00
ARP-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6 2 1 $6.00 $6.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6-1 3 1 $9.80 $9.80 -2.20
    Pick Three (1/4)-(4/2)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1-4 3 0 $46.80 -24.00
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.80 -6.00
    Exacta (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $6.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-2 3 0 $29.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/2)-(6/4/1)-(5/3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 1-4-4 3 0 $22.80 -36.00
ARP-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
    Exacta (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3-1 2 0 $18.40 -4.00
    Pick Three (6/4/1)-(5/3/6)-(3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 4-4-2/3 3 0 $11.20 -36.00
ARP-7   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $42.40 -8.00
    Exacta (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-3 2 0 $222.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-3-7 3 0 $2192.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (5/3/6)-(3/6)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-2/3-5 3 0 $145.00 -48.00
ARP-8   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
    Exacta (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-5 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-5-4 3 0 $45.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/6)-(1/4/2/3)-(7/5/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2/3-5-7 3 0 $288.60 -48.00
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   09/02/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IMA HAPPY DANCER 2 1 2nk 1½   12 16¾ (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 2.50 2.20  
5  WHEREDIDITGO 5 4 54 43   42½ 26¾ (torres-casas j)LULL E 120 3.50 1.50  
3  DESERT PEPPER 3 2 42½ 53   52¾ 37¼ (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00 11.00  
1  SNOOZY SUZY 1 3 1nk 2½   22 49¾ (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 37% 1.70 2.30  
4  COMFORTWITHCANDY 4 5 31½ 31   32½ 513 (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 27% 2.60 5.40  
 
ARP-3   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:224 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST AMUSING 1 1 11 12   1½ 1¼ (hibdon n)LULL E 124 15.00 1.50  
2  CHUCK NAZTY 2 4 21 22   2½ 2¼ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.90 1.50 P
4  THREE BALL 3 3 32½ 33½   42 33 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.90 S
5  SUEZ 4 2 44 43½   31½ 43½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 7.70  
SCR  ITS A DEAL               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-4   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:24 :474 1:134     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CREATING MEMORIES 4 1 1½ 12½   11½ 18 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00 0.50 W
6  MISS IZZY BEE 6 2 41½ 22½   21½ 28 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 43% 1.30 1.90 P
1  WHAT A WAY TO GO 1 5 53 57   34 312¼ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 11% 8.20 7.20 S
2  VALDINI 2 6 613 613   44½ 412¼ (villamar cand)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 13.80  
5  SMART ACT 5 3 2½ 33½   55½ 519¼ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 47.70  
3  PASSION RIDE 3 4 31½ 45½   66½ 621 (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 37.00  
 
ARP-5   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:232 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TULSA TIME 4 1 11 1½   11 13¾ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 0.90  
5  MAIUS 5 3 32 41½   21 23¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10 P
2  MEET JOE 2 4 42 31½   32 35¼ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 15.00  
6  AVALON KING 6 2 21 2½   42½ 48 (o'brien debbie)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.80 11.70  
3  TRICKY LEE 3 6 54½ 54½   56½ 511 (martinez a)LULL E 124 3.50 29% 2.40 8.20  
1  JU JU GUY 1 5 66 67   69½ 618¼ (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 35.00  
 
ARP-6   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:233 :471 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BORN TO RACE 2 4 43 32   12 16 (chavez juan)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.30 0.30 W
1  CREDIT RATING 1 1 21½ 43½   22 26 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 8.00 12.20  
5  TREASURE COAST 4 3 32½ 21½   42¼ 36 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 2.70  
6  HOLY MISSION 5 2 11½ 11½   32 47¼ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 4.50 20% 3.90 11.30  
4  TEQUILA 3 5 55½ 57½   56¼ 518½ (quezada zachary)LUARK T 124 20.00 9.30  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS               (chavez juan)WALES T 124 12.00    
 
ARP-7   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:223 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COWBOY DON 5 3 52½ 62¾   3.2 1¼ (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 20.20  
3  SAVILE ROW 3 6 74 73¼   51¾ 2¼ (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 10% 9.30 3.30 P
7  TEXAS HEDGE 7 8 95¼ 51¾   1nk 3½ (tate mary)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 54.60  
8  I SEE CLEARLY NOW 8 1 84¼ 84¼   62¾ 41¼ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 6.40  
6  MORE HONOR 6 7 63½ 94¾   93½ 52½ (tate mary)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 35.70  
4  ONE STEP AWAY 4 2 3½ 1nk   2nk 64½ (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50 21% 3.80 1.00  
9  CHAMPS SUCCESS 9 4 42 4¾   41¼ 76½ (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 14.90  
1  TW SKIPPING STONES 1 9 1nk 3.2   73¼ 811½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.20  
2  PRECEDENT 2 5 2nk 2nk   83¼ 913¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.00 12% 7.40 15.00  
 
ARP-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:232 :472 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIGHT TO SUE 7 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (villamar candelario)LULL E 124 2.50 39% 1.60 3.10 W
5  DOCS CARO CAT 5 2 31 3½   2½ 2¼ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 0.60 P
4  BRAVO KOLT 4 4 42 41½   42 33¼ (roberts m)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 10.50  
3  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 3 5 1nk 2nk   31 44¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 10.00 19.80  
2  SECRET SURVIVOR 2 6 62¾ 63   65 57¾ (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 22.90  
6  BARTSTER 6 3 52¼ 52   54 67¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 34.70  
1  BARLOWS PRIDE 1 7 75¾ 74½   76 720½ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 4.50 19% 4.10 5.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.