Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-7   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-8   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   09/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOOZY SUZY Aug06 Jun27 May21 May08 Apr18 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 37% 1.70    
IMA HAPPY DANCER Aug19 Aug06 Sep25 Sep13   (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 2.50    
DESERT PEPPER Aug26 Aug19 Dec20 Nov14 Nov02 (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00    
COMFORTWITHCANDY         (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 27% 2.60    
WHEREDIDITGO Aug26 Aug12 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (torres-casas j)LULL E 120 3.50    
 
ARP-3   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST AMUSING Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 (hibdon n)LULL E 124 15.00    
CHUCK NAZTY Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 Jan14 Dec13 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  ITS A DEAL Aug26 Aug07 Jun25 Oct01 Sep19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
THREE BALL Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 May20 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
SUEZ Aug06 Jul29 Jul03 Jun19 May13 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00    
 
ARP-4   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A WAY TO GO Aug14 Jun18 May05 Apr18 Mar27 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
VALDINI Aug14 Jun25 Apr01 Mar15 Feb27 (villamar cand)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00    
PASSION RIDE Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Mar28 (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
CREATING MEMORIES Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May05 Apr09 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
SMART ACT Aug14 Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
MISS IZZY BEE Aug07 Jul08 Jun19 Oct03 Aug21 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
ARP-5   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JU JU GUY Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Mar04 (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00    
MEET JOE Aug07 May27 Apr14 Mar17 May07 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
TRICKY LEE Aug05 Jul02 Apr17 Jan25 Oct03 (martinez a)LULL E 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
TULSA TIME Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Oct02 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
MAIUS Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 Oct04 Sep20 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
AVALON KING Aug12 Sep10 Aug13 Aug08 Jul18 (o'brien debbie)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
ARP-6   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDIT RATING Aug20 Aug06 Jul15     (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 8.00    
SCR  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Apr16 (chavez juan)WALES T 124 12.00    
BORN TO RACE Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (chavez juan)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
TEQUILA Aug21 Jul22 May13 Feb19 Feb05 (quezada zachary)LUARK T 124 20.00    
TREASURE COAST Aug21 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
HOLY MISSION Aug12 Jul30 Jul23     (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
ARP-7   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TW SKIPPING STONES Aug05 Jul15 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
PRECEDENT Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 Apr15 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
SAVILE ROW Jul16 Jul09 Apr09 Feb17 Jan22 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
ONE STEP AWAY Aug05 Jul22 Jul02     (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
COWBOY DON Jul30 Jul03 Jun17 Oct04 Sep20 (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
MORE HONOR May06 Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Feb04 (tate mary)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
TEXAS HEDGE Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 Jan25 Jan07 (tate mary)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00    
I SEE CLEARLY NOW Jul15 Jun18 May28 Apr15 Apr01 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50    
CHAMPS SUCCESS Jul22 Jun24 Mar07 Jan11 May16 (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
 
ARP-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARLOWS PRIDE Jul31 Jun24 Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 4.50 19% 4.10    
SECRET SURVIVOR Aug21 Jul31 May27 Jan22 Jan13 (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Apr28 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 10.00    
BRAVO KOLT Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 May19 (roberts m)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00    
DOCS CARO CAT Aug21 Aug12 Jul30 Oct01 Sep13 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
BARTSTER Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 Oct01 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00    
RIGHT TO SUE Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 May01 (villamar candelario)LULL E 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.