The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
AQU-2   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
AQU-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 4.10
AQU-4   Win (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $18.40 -6.00
AQU-5   Win (8/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $22.00 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
AQU-7   Win (8/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
AQU-8   Win (8/2/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 8.60
AQU-9   Win (1/11/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGULATORY RISK 1 4 1½ 11 1½ 11½ 11½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 33% 2.00 1.50 W
5  VALUE AREA 5 5 2½ 21 2½ 21½ 21½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 35% 1.80 2.20 P
2  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 2 7 73½ 52½ 33½ 36 36¾ (mcpeek kennet)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 12% 7.60 4.60 S
1A  MATURITY DATE 8 2 42 42½ 44½ 48 410 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 1.50  
6  PATRICIA ANN 6 1 31 31½ 54½ 58½ 512½ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
4  WYNNING TOUCH 4 8 63 63 67 610½ 613¼ (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 5.80  
7  GREATEST GIFT 7 3 815½ 820½ 824 722½ 734½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 13.50  
3  CELESTIAL EXPRESS 3 6 52½ 75½ 722 826½ 841½ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 40.25  
 
AQU-2   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UN OJO 4 4 32½ 42½ 1½ 12 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.40 1.30 W
2  BOURBON CHASE 2 6 64½ 53½ 41 22 2½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 33% 2.00 3.00 P
1  COLLOQUY 1 3 53 32½ 51¼ 32 32½ (morley thoma)RIVERA R 118 4.00 9.60  
3  LOBSTA 3 2 11 11 2½ 43½ 45½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 125 8.00 14.40  
5  CALLALOO 5 5 43 64½ 65¼ 57 56¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 4.60  
6  ZEEBEAR 6 1 21 21 3½ 67¼ 611¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 15% 5.70 4.60  
 
AQU-3   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Gravesend Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOLD JOURNEY 4 2 48½ 46   2½ 14½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 126 1.60 27% 2.80 3.05 W
2  ROTKNEE 2 3 11½ 13   1½ 24½ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.80 P
5  DURANTE 5 1 21½ 23   32 34½ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 0.90  
1  STAGE LEFT 1 4 33 34½   42½ 44¾ (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00 15.60  
3  GREELEY AND BEN 3 5 511 512½   59½ 59¼ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 ★ 7.90  
 
AQU-4   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRANGE FRUIT 2 2 2nk 1½ 11½ 12½ 1¾ (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 8.20  
8  MISS FASHIONISTA 6 6 73¾ 43½ 32½ 22½ 2¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 49% 1.00 0.60 P
7  FIRST CLASS CAT 5 1 1nk 2½ 21½ 33½ 33¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 ★ 5.80 S
4  PUREST PERFORMANCE 3 3 32 32 42½ 46½ 410 (pregman jr)USKE S 122 12.00 7.20  
9  FOLLOW THE FED 7 4 42½ 53½ 54 510 510¼ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 8.00 18% 4.60 5.70  
6  BELLA ISOLA 4 7 53 75¾ 612 621 627 (lugovich l)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 22.70  
1  SASSY TALLAHASSEE 1 5 63¼ 65½ 712¼ 723 732½ (sells rachel)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 20.00 12% 7.30 56.25  
SCR  BOMB SQUAD               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  TERESA               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
 
AQU-5   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DONTBELATE 10 5 41½ 32   3½ 11½ (persaud rand)RIVERA R 117 10.00 ★ 10.00  
1A  BUSTIN SHOUT 8 7 83¼ 76   62¾ 21½ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 4.50 19% 4.30 4.70 P
3  RYAN'S CAT 3 3 31½ 42½   41 32¼ (rodriguez gust)HARKIE K 120 15.00 19.30  
8  MISTER J T 9 2 2½ 2½   2½ 42¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 39% 1.60 5.10  
1  CHATEAU 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 52¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 4.70  
10  MAGICAL WAYS 11 6 72¾ 54   52½ 63¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 9.80  
4  POGI 4 4 52 65   75¼ 76¾ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.60 2.20  
7  BRAZILLIONAIRE 7 10 104¾ 911   810¼ 87¾ (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
6  FLAMINGO HAWK 6 11 118¾ 1115   1011¼ 98½ (dutrow e)LUZZI J 120 5.00 5.80  
2  PRINCE JAMES 2 9 93¾ 1011½   910¾ 108¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 12.50  
5  RALLY SQUIRREL 5 8 62½ 89½   1117¼ 1120 (goberdhan chandra)RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00 54.25  
 
AQU-6   12/30/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111 1:362   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEADING CONTENDER 4 1 51¾ 52¾ 21½ 1½ 12¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 28% 2.60 1.80 W
3  SUERTE 3 3 1nk 11 11½ 2½ 22¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 3.15  
1  OVERSTEP 1 4 63¼ 64¾ 65 39 39 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 40% 1.50 1.10 S
2  AMERICAN LAW 2 2 2nk 21 32½ 49 411¼ (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 13.20  
7  HOLD THE SALSA 6 6 4¼ 41¼ 53½ 515 519½ (lugovich lis)RIVERA R 116 15.00 30.50  
5  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) 5 5 3.2 31 42½ 616 622 (ginter jr)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00 7% 12.40 43.25  
SCR  JUST CALL RAY               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
 
AQU-7   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHASING DAYLIGHT 8 2 82¼ 4¾   11½ 13 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 33% 2.00 4.00 W
2  MOULY 1 8 51¼ 51¼   42½ 23 (duggan david)RIVERA R 117 8.00 14.00  
5  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 4 7 2½ 2nk   21½ 33½ (klesaris)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 ★ 5.90 S
7  MY GIRL JAL 7 3 71¾ 73¾   86¾ 44¾ (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 17.10  
1A  DUCKPHAT 6 9 96¼ 96¼   76½ 54¾ (davis g)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 6% 15.30 5.80  
4  ROMAN GODDESS 3 4 4¾ 62¼   55 65¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 17% 5.10 1.95  
3  IRISH JACKSON 2 6 61¼ 85¼   65½ 75¾ (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 14% 6.00 11.30  
9  LA GROTTE 9 1 1½ 1nk   32½ 88¾ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 6.90  
6  VAX 5 5 3½ 3.2   98¾ 913 (barrera os)DAVIS A 120 10.00 27.25  
SCR  RED PEPPER GRILL               (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00    
 
AQU-8   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE INSTITUTE 2 6 66½ 51¾   21 11¾ (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 28% 2.50 8.30 W
8  ICY FLAVOR 8 2 2½ 1nk   11 21¾ (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 3.00 31% 2.20 3.30 P
1  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 1 5 42½ 41¾   43 33¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 10% 8.70 3.25 S
5  KAZ SUGAR BANK 5 7 98 74¾   64¾ 43¾ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
7  AGILITY 7 4 32 2nk   33 55 (abreu fernando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 4.40  
9  BOURBON'S HOPE 9 1 54½ 63¼   75¼ 67½ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 30.00 42.75  
10  PRINCE OF TRUTH 10 8 77 96   87¼ 77¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.20  
4  TRA LAD 4 9 87 85¾   97¾ 88½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 8% 11.00 5.60  
6  SHARPAZ 6 3 1½ 3.2   54½ 98½ (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 20.80  
3  BEACH BOY AL 3 10 1010½ 108   109¾ 109¼ (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 29.00  
 
AQU-9   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BAYOU SPIRIT 10 2 41½ 3.2   14 13¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 11% 7.80 4.40 W
8  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 7 10 74¼ 72¾   24 23¾ (toscano jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★ 13.10 P
3  THREE ZERO 3 5 52 51¾   34 34 (david a)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00 S
9  GUN MAESTRO 8 3 62¼ 41¼   45½ 44 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 117 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
1  NEWPORT BRIDGE 1 6 105½ 106¾   99 58 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 60% 0.70 2.45  
4  BURN JAKEY BURN 4 4 1nk 1nk   56½ 68¼ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 9.50  
6  COLLECT FROM IKE 5 7 31 62¼   77½ 78¼ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 22.60  
2  BARGAINING POWER 2 8 84¼ 83¾   67 88¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 10.80 DH
7  SHORTSINTHEWINTER 6 9 94½ 95¼   88½ 88¾ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 37.25 DH
10  DOCTOR JERRY 9 1 2nk 2nk   109½ 1015 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 20.00 50.25  
SCR  RED D G P               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.