The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.00 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
AQU-3   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -0.30
AQU-4   Win (8/3/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $40.40 $40.40 30.40
AQU-5   Win (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $12.60 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $7.60 -4.00
AQU-7   Win (4/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.90 -8.00
AQU-8   Win (4/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 0 $13.40 -6.00
AQU-9   Win (4/5/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -6.70
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TUSCAN SKY 3 3 2nk 33½   21½ 15¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 3.50  
6  HAVE YOU HEARD 6 1 1nk 11   11½ 25¼ (brown bruce )RIVERA R 115 1.60 10% 8.60 0.75 P
2  TRUE CONNECTION 2 6 614½ 610½   46½ 38¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 27.75  
5  AMBITION 5 4 31½ 21   32½ 412 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 23% 3.30 4.60  
4  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS 4 2 42 56   67½ 513¾ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 29.50  
1  LIVEHAPPY 1 5 52½ 45½   57 614¾ (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 43% 1.30 5.40  
 
AQU-2   01/13/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRESIDENT Z 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.50 10% 9.00 5.60 W
5  CLUBHOUSE 4 4 31½ 42   32 2¼ (rodriguez gusta)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 5.00  
2  NATURAL HARBOR 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 13% 6.70 1.35 S
6  MAGNIFICENT MILE 5 7 63 62¾   45½ 45½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 10.50  
1  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 3 5 52 52½   68 57¾ (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 ★ 5.60  
7  BAYOU SPIRIT 6 3 42 31   56 611 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 ★ 10.10  
3  DARK VECTOR 2 6 79 78¾   712 720 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 49% 1.00 2.60  
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
 
AQU-3   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLY 1 6 51¾ 41½ 42 41½ 11½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 66% 0.50 0.85 W
2  MALU 2 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 21½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 3.15  
5  THE SPLENDID ONE 5 1 41½ 52 52¼ 52 33 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 ★ 5.90 S
8  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 3 3½ 3½ 3½ 2½ 44½ (miceli micha)RIVERA R 117 6.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
3  FIRST CLASS CAT 3 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 56¼ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 15.40  
4  TERESA 4 5 62¼ 63½ 68¼ 612 621¾ (barrera s)LUZZI J 122 8.00 7.00  
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman jr)USKE S 122 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:124 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUST STEP ON IT 7 2 1½ 11½ 11½ 12 11½ (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 19.20 W
3  LIBERTY CENTRAL 3 1 52¼ 52½ 42 32½ 21½ (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 20% 3.90 2.65 P
8  QUIET WISDOM 8 7 73¼ 63½ 52¼ 22 31¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 49% 1.10 1.45 S
4  BERNING BEAUTY 4 4 1019¼ 1018 1012¼ 65½ 44 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
5  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY 5 5 42 32 32 54 59¼ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 19.40  
9  HOYA 9 8 32 42½ 21½ 44 610 (lynch cathal)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 26.75  
10  HAIR ON FIRE 10 9 2½ 21½ 65¼ 79 719 (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 20.00 76.50  
6  SEBA M 6 3 96¼ 98 79¼ 810½ 820 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 12.40  
11  DILLON 11 10 62¾ 74 810¼ 912½ 921 (schettino domini)LUZZI J 120 30.00 53.00  
2  NEPTUNE BEACH 2 6 84¾ 87½ 912¼ 1014 1022¼ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 14.20 6.80  
1  SAHANATIEN 1 11 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 13.60  
 
AQU-5   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:121 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PROVEN HOPE 9 2 64¼ 63½ 22 11½ 15 (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 8.00 5.30  
5  COMPLETE AGENDA 5 9 710¼ 76 33½ 34 25 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 14% 6.00 3.55 P
7  PREDICTED 7 1 12½ 12 12 21½ 36 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 10% 8.90 14.20 S
6  ANTHRACITE 6 5 43½ 43 44 46 47¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 32% 2.10 3.85  
2  DISAPPEARANCE 2 8 916¼ 918 912 69½ 59½ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 ★ 12.20  
8  STRONG LIGHT 8 6 812¼ 812½ 78½ 810 610½ (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 24.75  
3  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 3 7 53¾ 53 55 59 711½ (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.30  
4  ZAPRUDER 4 3 32½ 32½ 66 710 814 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 5.90  
1  ROCK THE WEEKEND 1 4 22½ 22 810½ 920 950¼ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 17.50  
 
AQU-6   01/13/2024 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Busanda Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:384   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN GIN 1 2 32½ 32 42½ 1½ 11 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 ★ 2.80  
5  PRINCESS MAYFAIR 5 3 11 11 11½ 2½ 21 (chircop steven)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 10.80  
2  SHIMMERING ALLURE 2 5 52¾ 42 32½ 48½ 310 (mcpeek kenneth )FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 66% 0.50 0.80 S
3  MOST OF ALL 3 1 21 21 21½ 38 413¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 5% 18.90 5.60  
4  CLASS ACT 4 4 42½ 53 514½ 525½ 525½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 6.10  
 
AQU-7   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TEN CENT TOWN 3 2 11 11   1½ 11½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 2.45  
2  WARALO 2 3 41½ 21   2½ 21½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.20 3.75 P
5  QUICK TO ACCUSE 5 6 63 44   410½ 312 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 7.10  
9  SAFALOW'S MISSION 8 4 52½ 54½   310½ 412½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 11% 8.00 5.20  
8  DOC ADVANTAGE 7 8 74½ 89   614 512¾ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 8% 11.20 35.25  
1  AGILITY 1 5 31½ 34   511 615½ (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 115 6.00 9.30  
7  KID BILLY 6 7 85 78½   715½ 715½ (mott willia)VARGAS A 120 8.00 10.30  
4  PLEASE BE NICE 4 1 21 67   818½ 821½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 32% 2.10 4.00  
SCR  MESSI THE MAGICIAN               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
 
AQU-8   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHITTINGTON PARK 7 5 57½ 67½ 66½ 42½ 12¼ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 ★ 5.70  
6  SILO RIDGE 4 2 2nk 21½ 32½ 22 22¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.00  
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 4 45½ 34 1½ 12 32¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 22.00  
3  EXPECTED VALUE 2 7 710½ 710½ 79 66 43¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5.60  
10  MAMA'S GOLD 6 3 1nk 11½ 2½ 32½ 55 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 21% 3.80 1.65  
8  PRINCIPE D'ORO 5 6 69 46½ 44 54 69¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 20% 3.90 11.10  
4  CASCAIS 3 1 34 56½ 56½ 78 719½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 27% 2.70 2.95  
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY               (potts wayne)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC GAMBLE               (chircop steve)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:123 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE BIG TORPEDO 4 8 1½ 11 11½ 15½ 110 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 52% 0.90 0.65 W
7  OUTTAWATERBURY 7 1 2½ 21 21½ 25½ 210 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 16.30 P
5  VIN SANTO 5 6 53 31½ 32 36 312½ (brown r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 11% 8.10 7.20 S
2  INONIT 2 7 86½ 84½ 46½ 411 416¾ (lugovich l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 9% 10.60 13.00  
6  MALIBU MARGARITA 6 5 43 42 57½ 515 520¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 12.40  
9  ERIC FROM MIAMI 9 2 74½ 73 610 615½ 621 (de horac)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
1  PROPHETIC 1 10 97 95 816 722 728 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 29.25  
11  MANNY PENNY 11 4 63½ 63 916½ 825½ 835¼ (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00 64.50  
10  SWEPT 10 3 31 52½ 715½ 925½ 937¾ (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 50.00 89.25  
8  DIXIE PHARAOH 8 9 107¼ 105½ 1022½ 1035½ 1054¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7.60  
3  TRIPLE WORD SCORE 3 11 118¼ 118½ 1137½ 1150½ 1174¾ (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 54.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.