Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (8/3/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-5   Win (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-7   Win (4/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (4/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (4/5/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVEHAPPY Dec16 Nov17 Oct01     (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  TRUE CONNECTION         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
3  TUSCAN SKY         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
4  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Oct26 Sep28 Aug19     (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
5  AMBITION         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  HAVE YOU HEARD Dec16 Nov09 Oct21     (brown bruce )RIVERA R 115 1.60 10% 8.60    
 
AQU-2   01/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Nov02 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 ★    
1A  PRESIDENT Z Jan04 Nov26 Nov15 Aug13 Jul23 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
2  NATURAL HARBOR Dec16 Nov03 Sep25 Feb25 Dec16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 13% 6.70    
3  DARK VECTOR Dec28 Dec02 Oct26 Aug25 Jul08 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER Dec28 Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 Mar04 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
5  CLUBHOUSE Dec16 Nov09 Oct21 Sep15 Aug17 (rodriguez gusta)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
6  MAGNIFICENT MILE Nov18 Oct20 Sep16 Aug26 Jul14 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
7  BAYOU SPIRIT Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 Jul14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLY Nov17 Aug27 Jul03     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  MALU Dec15 Nov17 Oct12     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
3  FIRST CLASS CAT Dec30 Dec08       (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00    
4  TERESA Dec08 Oct12 Aug10     (barrera s)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
5  THE SPLENDID ONE Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Dec15 Oct29 Sep16 Sep02 Jun23 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Dec30 Nov25 Nov05 Oct15 Jun24 (pregman jr)USKE S 122 20.00    
8  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Dec15 Nov26 Oct26 Sep15 Aug10 (miceli micha)RIVERA R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAHANATIEN Dec08         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
2  NEPTUNE BEACH Dec02         (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 14.20    
3  LIBERTY CENTRAL Dec16 Dec02 Nov04     (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  BERNING BEAUTY         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY Dec10         (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
6  SEBA M Dec10 Dec02 Oct19     (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
7  JUST STEP ON IT Dec27 Dec01 Aug31     (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUIET WISDOM Nov17 Oct20 Sep14 Aug12   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
9  HOYA Dec03 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16   (lynch cathal)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
10  HAIR ON FIRE Dec02 Oct05       (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
11  DILLON Nov03 Sep17 Aug03     (schettino domini)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK THE WEEKEND Dec16 Dec10 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
2  DISAPPEARANCE Jan01 Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 ★    
3  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Nov11 Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 Apr02 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  ZAPRUDER Dec03 Nov16 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
5  COMPLETE AGENDA Jan01 Dec07 Oct21 Aug24 Jul16 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  ANTHRACITE Jan01 Dec15 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
7  PREDICTED Dec13 Nov17 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 10% 8.90    
8  STRONG LIGHT Dec31 Dec07 Nov26 Nov11 Oct15 (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
9  PROVEN HOPE Dec28 Oct15 Oct04 Sep09 Aug13 (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Busanda Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN GIN Nov25 Oct29 Sep21 Aug08   (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 ★    
2  SHIMMERING ALLURE Dec02 Nov05 Oct06 Sep20 Aug13 (mcpeek kenneth )FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 66% 0.50    
3  MOST OF ALL Dec02 Oct20 Sep03 Aug20   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 5% 18.90    
4  CLASS ACT Dec07 Nov11 Sep21     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
5  PRINCESS MAYFAIR Dec16 Dec02 Nov11     (chircop steven)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGILITY Dec30 Jul15 May29 Apr22 Mar24 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
2  WARALO Dec16 Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 Jul26 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  TEN CENT TOWN Dec16 Dec01 Oct15 Aug12 Jul10 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
4  PLEASE BE NICE Feb20 Jan07       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  QUICK TO ACCUSE Nov18 Oct01 Aug05 Dec03 Oct30 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan06 Dec07       (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
7  KID BILLY Dec16 Nov18 Dec31     (mott willia)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
8  DOC ADVANTAGE Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 Aug09 (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 8% 11.20    
9  SAFALOW'S MISSION Aug05 Jul03 Jun03 May05 Mar10 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
AQU-8   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Nov05 Sep28 Jul30 Jun03 May07 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Dec15 Aug04 Jun10 May19 Apr29 (chircop steve)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
3  EXPECTED VALUE Apr08 Sep18 Aug20     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
4  CASCAIS Dec02 Oct21 Nov06 Oct01   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  SKYLANDER Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul03 Jun09 (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
6  SILO RIDGE Dec09 Aug20 Jul21     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE Dec17 Nov16 Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
8  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jun24 May11 Apr15 Feb25 Apr02 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY Dec16 Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 Sep21 (potts wayne)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
10  MAMA'S GOLD Dec03 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 Aug17 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
11  WHITTINGTON PARK Aug13 Jul01 May29 Apr14 Mar18 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPHETIC Dec17 Nov17 Oct20     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
2  INONIT Dec17 Nov17 Oct13 Aug11   (lugovich l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 9% 10.60    
3  TRIPLE WORD SCORE         (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
4  THE BIG TORPEDO Dec16 Nov12       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  VIN SANTO Dec17 Nov17 Nov03 Sep17 Sep02 (brown r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  MALIBU MARGARITA Dec17 Nov04       (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
7  OUTTAWATERBURY Dec10 Nov12       (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIXIE PHARAOH Dec17 Nov03 Sep04 Aug23 Jul16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
9  ERIC FROM MIAMI Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 Aug18 Jul28 (de horac)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SWEPT Nov11 Oct22 May28     (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 50.00    
11  MANNY PENNY Dec17         (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.