The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-2   Win (8/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
PEN-3   Win (9/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $43.60 $43.60 35.60
PEN-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
PEN-5   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
PEN-6   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
PEN-7   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:122 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE KARMA 6 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 12 1¾ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 14% 5.90 2.20 W
TRIBAL NOTION 5 2 41 5 3 32 2¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 29% 2.40 4.50 P
COPPERHEAD CREEK 2 3 7 7 5 43 3(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 22.90  
STYNER 3 7 1nk 1nk 2½ 22 4(englehart j)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 34% 2.00 1.30  
PRATT 4 6 6 4 6 55(mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 17.30  
ONCE A GIANT 7 5 5 3 4 67 610¼ (davis jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 8.80  
CRITICAL THINKING 1 4 3½ 6 78 79 713 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00 10.10  
SCR  CITY RAGE               (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   12/13/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:382   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO 6 2 1 1 1 1nk 1(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 15% 5.50 1.60 W
BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL 7 3 5 5 2 2nk 2(dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 6% 15.60 16.60 P
CURLINGTON 8 8 6 6 53 34 3(mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 29% 2.50 3.70 S
PATTY'S BOY 9 9 911¾ 911¼ 7 54(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.70 19.40  
CAERUS 4 4 43 3 3 459 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 2.50  
PURPLE SHIRT 2 7 7 7 8 814½ 616 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 122 30.00 72.10  
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 5 1 2 2 43 611½ 717½ (shuchman allan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 10.40  
SANTO 3 5 33 42 6 713 819¼ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 12.30  
TINY TIN 1 6 8 810¾ 914½ 920½ 925 (ramirez a)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00 20.40  
 
PEN-3   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARY'S REWARD 5 5 21 2½   2½ 1(crane clovis)CORA D 122 5.00 19% 4.10 20.80 W
DUELA DENT 2 2 11 1½   1½ 2(mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50 15% 5.70 2.60 P
BACK FORTY 9 6 5 31   333 (salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 45% 1.20 0.60 S
LAUGHING FIT 4 9 9 45   46 4(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 11.20  
KOKOPELLI GIRL 6 4 3 7   5510½ (brion keri)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 20.50  
WARRIOR ON THE RUN 8 1 64 8   711½ 611 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 26.80  
STAY SINGLE 7 3 4 6   610½ 712 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 96.00  
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 1 8 8 9   912½ 814¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 48.50  
LITTLE LAMB CHOP 3 7 7 5   812 920 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 13.30  
 
PEN-4   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDICTED 1 2 1½ 21   21¼ (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90 W
CHIEF ENGINEER 5 1 2½ 11   12¼ (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 3.70  
NORTHWOODS 3 3 42 3   43(stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 18% 4.60 6.10 S
LOCO 4 4 32 4   34(hetrick ni)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
ON THE RIM 2 6 5 55   56 5(fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 11.00  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 6 5 66 67   66(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 31.10  
SCR  HAP'S VICTORY               (bryant l)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
SCR  VINDICATO               (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/13/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUIKO 4 3 2 22 21 1nk 12 (ritchey f)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.20 W
MERCY MERCY 2 2 1 12 11 2nk 22 (castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 7.10  
RAINBOW TROUT 1 4 33 55 4 34 35 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 17% 4.80 1.30 S
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 3 1 43 33 3 44(salvaggio v)CORA D 122 3.50 6.10  
MANI PEDI 5 5 5 4 56 511 520½ (castillo miche)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 10.00 13.80  
SCR  MIKEY'S JEWEL               (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
 
PEN-6   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGTAIL 5 1 1½ 11   11(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 43% 1.30 0.50 W
HOPE FOR GOLD 3 3 3 21   22(hamilton s)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 6.20  
NOBLE JON 4 2 2½ 3   33(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 31% 2.20 2.80 S
VIOLENT PASS 1 5 45 4   4412½ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6.50  
POCOPSON STATION 2 4 57 5   511½ 513¾ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 20.00 37.90  
SCR  I SEE THE STARS               (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 1.60    
 
PEN-7   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :581       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 6 4 1nk 12   12 12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 35% 1.90 1.70 W
TILTED TIARA 1 3 3½ 32   22 22 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 7.70  
TERPEYE 7 5 67 6   57 3(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00 16.50  
PHANCY PHILLY 3 6 5 4   35 4(stites w)CORA D 122 5.00 14% 6.30 3.30  
THEA'S THEME 5 2 2nk 22   47 59 (ramirez a)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00 7.60  
WEDONTBELIEVEHER 2 1 4 5   6611¼ (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 18% 4.70 5.30  
STORMY SPELL 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5.00  
SCR  SHATTER ME               (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.