Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(8/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(8/6/9/7)-(9/5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/7)-(8/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/7)-(8/6/9/7)-(8/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/9/7)-(9/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/7)-(9/5/2/8)-(1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/8)-(9/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/8)-(9/5/2/8)-(9/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/2/8)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/8)-(1/4/5)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/1)-(6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/5)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THINKING Dec01 Nov08 Sep14 Aug16 Jul27 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK Dec01 May31 May10 Apr21 Mar22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  CITY RAGE Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50    
4  STYNER Dec01 Oct17 Sep06 Aug25 Jul24 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  PRATT Dec01 Nov01 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 (mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
6  TRIBAL NOTION Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 May31 May18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  DYNAMITE KARMA Nov17 Sep15 Aug10 Jul27 Jun15 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
8  ONCE A GIANT Nov29 Nov01 Jul27 Jun29 May19 (davis jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   12/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINY TIN Nov26 Nov19 Nov04 Oct04 Sep20 (ramirez jose )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
2  PURPLE SHIRT Dec01 Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
3  SANTO Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep01 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
4  CAERUS Nov29 Nov17 Nov01 Oct05 Aug31 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
5  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Nov01 Sep13 Jul26 Jul05 Apr21 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
6  HERE'S WALDO Nov08 Oct20 Sep24 Sep14 Aug16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
7  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Jan16 Dec20 Nov08 Sep26 Sep19 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 6% 15.60    
8  CURLINGTON Apr29 Apr06 Feb25 Jan28 Dec20 (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
9  PATTY'S BOY Nov17 Nov01 Sep30 Sep13 Aug08 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
PEN-3   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Nov22 Oct25 Sep14 Aug23   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  DUELA DENT Nov16 Oct26       (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONKAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  LITTLE LAMB CHOP         (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
4  LAUGHING FIT         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LINE OF BEST FIT by TRAJECTORY)
5  MARY'S REWARD Nov22 Aug23       (crane clovis)CORA D 122 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  KOKOPELLI GIRL         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of STRAIGHT WESTERN by WESTERN PRIDE)
7  STAY SINGLE         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
8  WARRIOR ON THE RUN Nov15 Oct25       (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  BACK FORTY Nov22 Oct25       (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
 
PEN-4   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDICTED Nov17 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  HAP'S VICTORY Nov20 Apr28 Feb10 Jan28   (bryant donald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
3  ON THE RIM Nov30 Aug30 May26 Apr28 Mar17 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00    
4  NORTHWOODS Nov08 Sep25 Sep01 Sep16 Aug31 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  LOCO Nov22 Oct30 Oct05 Sep11 Aug11 (hetrick krista )BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHIEF ENGINEER Aug20 Aug04 Jul09 Jun30 May29 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50    
7  ABBY'S SPIRIT Nov22 Sep13 Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
SCR  VINDICATO Sep16 Sep06 Aug18 Aug02 Jul17 (pessanha )VARGAS L 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW TROUT Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  MERCY MERCY Nov08 Oct30 Oct10 Sep12 Aug23 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
SCR  MIKEY'S JEWEL Nov24 Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Nov24 Nov10 Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 3.50    
5  SUIKO Oct27 Oct06 Sep06 Aug19 Jun30 (ritchey f)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  MANI PEDI Dec04 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS Nov24 Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
2  POCOPSON STATION Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Sep15 Sep07 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 20.00    
3  HOPE FOR GOLD Nov15 Oct11 Sep27 Jul29 Jun13 (hamilton)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
SCR  I SEE THE STARS Nov24 Nov02 Sep20 Jul20 Jun30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 1.60    
5  NOBLE JON Oct27 Oct06 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  LONGTAIL Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 Jun20 May17 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-7   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TILTED TIARA Sep08 Aug16 Jun22 May31 Apr26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
2  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Oct18 Aug23 Jul05 Jun27 Apr13 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
3  PHANCY PHILLY Nov30 Nov15 Oct27 Oct09 Sep20 (stites w)CORA D 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  STORMY SPELL Nov22 Nov09 Jul05 Jun22 May25 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
SCR  SHATTER ME Nov15 Oct27 Sep22 Aug17 Jul14 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
6  THEA'S THEME Nov25 Oct14 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 (ramirez jose )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
7  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Oct27 Sep08 Aug16 Jul21 Jun28 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
8  TERPEYE Nov15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun28 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.