Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $11.00  
FL-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
FL-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
FL-4   Win (5/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $4.10  
FL-5   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.60  
FL-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $77.50  
FL-7   Win (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $17.60  
FL-8   Win (4/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $116.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:141 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANTY SHACK 2 2 11 12 12 12 1½ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 4.50  
BREW PUB 1 3 34 33 4 32 2½ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50 7% 13.60 1.85 P
BAR FOURTEEN 6 4 21 22 22 22 3 (sells rachel)COA J 122 10.00 20.40  
DOC ADVANTAGE 5 5 55 43 3 43 4 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 14% 6.00 5.10  
CIVIL SERVICE 3 1 44 55 5 58 5 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.60 56% 0.80 1.25  
ASAP RESTORATION 4 6 66 66 610½ 611 6 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 20.90  
 
FL-2   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIAMI CHROME 2 5 57 45   1nk 1 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00 7% 12.80 2.40 W
DEVIL OR ANGEL 4 4 46 56   4 2 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 8.00 16% 5.40 11.70 P
FATHER WALSH 3 1 11 12   2nk 33 (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 55% 0.80 0.95 S
VICTORY BUILT 6 3 21 22   3 4 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 4.00  
SMOKIN' ALONE 1 6 612 614   68 55 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 122 10.00 8.20  
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO 5 2 31 32   54 610¼ (murphy tim)DAVIS A 124 12.00 25.75  
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS               (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 122 3.00    
SCR  MARGARITA SUNRISE               (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
 
FL-3   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVOLI GARDENS 1 1 11 1½ 14 19 1 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
HOLIDAY JAZZ 3 3 42 3½ 24 29 2 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 3.15  
ALLURE FORTUNE 2 4 32 4¾ 34 310 312½ (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 23% 3.30 1.35 S
WAIT A MINUTE 4 2 21 2½ 419 4100 4100 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 10.20  
SCR  B B'S BUSTED               (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 122 1.40    
SCR  SILENT INVASION               (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TASTY WAVE 3 4 11 1nk   11 12 (ashle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 1.05  
LADY YELLEN 9 1 21 2nk   21 22 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 15% 5.90 3.30 P
SWEET SUGAR BABY 5 2 3 34   36 35 (breed a)COA J 122 2.50 53% 0.90 5.20 S
JACKIE B GOOD 8 7 66 611¼   510 4 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 122 4.00 9% 9.90 7.50  
FREE SHOT 4 3 44 48   49 58 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 119 3.50 6.40  
YES YOUR HONOR 2 5 78 713¼   711 6 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 70.50  
QUIET HORIZON 7 9 8 814¼   814 7 (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
ROYAL JUBILEE 6 8 910½ 918¼   918 812¼ (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 119 20.00 74.75  
WINE TRAIL 1 6 54 5   610 912¾ (progno s)ROHENA JR 122 15.00 24.50  
 
FL-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMBLES 3 6 7 6   3 11 (ashley julius)PEREZ E 121 6.00 2.30  
BUSTINROXY 4 1 12 11   1 21 (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 P
DEVILLY 5 5 22 21   2 35 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 3.95  
RULER OF THE NIGHT 1 2 4 45   45 4 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 22% 3.60 9.40  
STAR SPEAKER 2 7 5 7   67 5 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 3.45  
PUZZLE 7 4 6 5   56 67 (barrow pau)DAVIS A 121 4.00 27% 2.70 10.30  
FUNNY HONEY 6 3 32 35   79 715¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 16.00  
 
FL-6   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:23 :463 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL CAPITAL 8 6 79 7   4 1½ (rivera dav)DAVIS A 122 15.00 37.75  
BAD CONNECTION 1 2 11 11   13 2½ (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.75 P
UNBRIDLED'S REIGN 3 8 812 811¼   5 3¾ (breed jr)DAVILA A 124 3.50 14.70 S
MOTLEY SUE 4 5 53 5   6 4 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 3.00 47% 1.10 4.70  
BON FIRE DIVA 6 4 4 34   23 53 (williams omani)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00 49.00  
SUBTLE GIANT 2 7 65 6   8 6 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 10.30  
ONE FLASHY GIRL 7 1 3 4   7 7 (cotrone denise)ROHENA JR 122 20.00 48.25  
PRINCESS SONYA 5 3 21 21   33 8 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 28% 2.50 0.25  
SCR  MIDMON               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
 
FL-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITER'S REGRET 5 3 4 3.2   2½ 1¼ (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 7.80  
BANYAN BREEZE 1 6 31 1nk   1½ 2¼ (tasso mark)DAVIS A 124 8.00 16% 5.20 9.10 P
ALLURE OF MONEY 6 2 7 6   56 3 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 S
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 7 1 11 2nk   31 4 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 30% 2.40 2.40  
DON'T POKE THE CAT 4 4 67 7   66 5 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00 22.60  
GAGETOWN 3 7 5 5   7 65 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 6.50  
DISCO DEANO 2 5 21 4   45 710¾ (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 6.00 5.20  
SCR  WARALO               (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 3.50    
 
FL-8   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:492 1:142 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVER WITHA TWIST 7 2 1½ 1½ 13 14 1 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 57.00  
10  OVER THE CAP 9 9 911¼ 911 6 3 2 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 5.20  
BERT BERT BERT 6 7 6 6 4 24 32 (gutierrez a)ROHENA JR 122 6.00 9.30  
SEATIGER 1 3 8 88 7 45 4 (grabowski a)COA J 122 6.00 17% 4.90 5.20  
MAKE IT IN NY 2 1 55 7 9 810¼ 5 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 3.00 1.90  
TRISAETUM 5 6 41 4 5 7 610 (acquilano james)DAVILA A 122 5.00 23% 3.40 8.70  
EIGHT WEEKS LONG 4 8 7 5 3 55 713 (ferraro m )DAVIS A 122 5.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
MOON HUNTER 8 4 2½ 2½ 23 69 817½ (sells rachel)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
LORENZEN 3 5 31 31 8 915¼ 922½ (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 15.30  
SCR  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY               (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.