Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $82.00 $70.00 583%
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-4-3 $49.87 $46.87 1562%
FL-3   DD (3/4/2)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $19.00 $7.00 58%
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:141 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHANTY SHACK 2 2 11 12 12 12 1½ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 4.50  
1  BREW PUB 1 3 34 33 44½ 32 2½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 7% 13.60 1.85 P
6  BAR FOURTEEN 6 4 21 22 22 22 32¼ (sells rachel)COA J 122 10.00 20.40  
5  DOC ADVANTAGE 5 5 55 43 34½ 43 42½ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 14% 6.00 5.10  
3  CIVIL SERVICE 3 1 44 55 58½ 58 57¾ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.60 56% 0.80 1.25  
4  ASAP RESTORATION 4 6 66 66 610½ 611 69½ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 20.90  
 
FL-2   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIAMI CHROME 2 5 57 45   1nk 11¼ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00 7% 12.80 2.40 W
4  DEVIL OR ANGEL 4 4 46 56   43½ 21¼ (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 16% 5.40 11.70 P
3  FATHER WALSH 3 1 11 12   2nk 33 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 55% 0.80 0.95 S
8  VICTORY BUILT 6 3 21 22   31½ 43¼ (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 4.00  
1  SMOKIN' ALONE 1 6 612 614   68 55 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 10.00 8.20  
6  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO 5 2 31 32   54 610¼ (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 12.00 25.75  
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS               (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 3.00    
SCR  MARGARITA SUNRISE               (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
 
FL-3   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVOLI GARDENS 1 1 11 1½ 14 19 18½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
4  HOLIDAY JAZZ 3 3 42 3½ 24 29 28½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 3.15  
3  ALLURE FORTUNE 2 4 32 4¾ 34 310 312½ (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 23% 3.30 1.35 S
6  WAIT A MINUTE 4 2 21 2½ 419 4100 4100 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 10.20  
SCR  B B'S BUSTED               (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 1.40    
SCR  SILENT INVASION               (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TASTY WAVE 3 4 11 1nk   11 12 (ash)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 1.05  
9  LADY YELLEN 9 1 21 2nk   21 22 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 15% 5.90 3.30 P
5  SWEET SUGAR BABY 5 2 32½ 34   36 35 (breed a)COA J 122 2.50 53% 0.90 5.20 S
8  JACKIE B GOOD 8 7 66 611¼   510 46½ (clarke d)DAVIS A 122 4.00 9% 9.90 7.50  
4  FREE SHOT 4 3 44 48   49 58 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 3.50 6.40  
2  YES YOUR HONOR 2 5 78 713¼   711 68¾ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 70.50  
7  QUIET HORIZON 7 9 88½ 814¼   814 79¾ (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
6  ROYAL JUBILEE 6 8 910½ 918¼   918 812¼ (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 119 20.00 74.75  
1  WINE TRAIL 1 6 54 58¼   610 912¾ (progno michael )ROHENA JR 122 15.00 24.50  
 
FL-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TUMBLES 3 6 75¾ 66½   33½ 11 (ashley julius)PEREZ E 121 6.00 2.30  
4  BUSTINROXY 4 1 12 11   12½ 21 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 P
5  DEVILLY 5 5 22 21   22½ 35 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 3.95  
1  RULER OF THE NIGHT 1 2 42¼ 45   45 45½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 22% 3.60 9.40  
2  STAR SPEAKER 2 7 54¼ 76¾   67 56¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 3.45  
7  PUZZLE 7 4 64¾ 55½   56 67 (barrow p)DAVIS A 121 4.00 27% 2.70 10.30  
6  FUNNY HONEY 6 3 32 35   79 715¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 16.00  
 
FL-6   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:23 :463 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CENTRAL CAPITAL 8 6 79 79¾   43½ 1½ (rivera d)DAVIS A 122 15.00 37.75  
1  BAD CONNECTION 1 2 11 11   13 2½ (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.75 P
3  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN 3 8 812 811¼   56½ 3¾ (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 3.50 ★ 14.70 S
4  MOTLEY SUE 4 5 53 59½   66¾ 42½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 47% 1.10 4.70  
6  BON FIRE DIVA 6 4 42½ 34   23 53 (williams omani)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00 49.00  
2  SUBTLE GIANT 2 7 65 69½   88¾ 66½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 10.30  
7  ONE FLASHY GIRL 7 1 32½ 45½   76¾ 76½ (cotrone denise)ROHENA JR 122 20.00 48.25  
5  PRINCESS SONYA 5 3 21 21   33 87¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 28% 2.50 0.25  
SCR  MIDMON               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
 
FL-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WRITER'S REGRET 5 3 41½ 3.2   2½ 1¼ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 7.80  
1  BANYAN BREEZE 1 6 31 1nk   1½ 2¼ (tasso ma)DAVIS A 124 8.00 16% 5.20 9.10 P
7  ALLURE OF MONEY 6 2 77½ 68¼   56 33¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 S
8  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 7 1 11 2nk   31 43¼ (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 30% 2.40 2.40  
4  DON'T POKE THE CAT 4 4 67 79¼   66 54½ (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00 22.60  
3  GAGETOWN 3 7 55½ 56¼   76¼ 65 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 6.50  
2  DISCO DEANO 2 5 21 43¼   45 710¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 120 6.00 5.20  
SCR  WARALO               (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50    
 
FL-8   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:492 1:142 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OLIVER WITHA TWIST 7 2 1½ 1½ 13 14 11¾ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 57.00  
10  OVER THE CAP 9 9 911¼ 911 66¾ 34½ 21¾ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 5.20  
6  BERT BERT BERT 6 7 65¼ 64½ 43½ 24 32 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 6.00 9.30  
1  SEATIGER 1 3 88¼ 88 76¾ 45 44½ (grabowski john)COA J 122 6.00 17% 4.90 5.20  
2  MAKE IT IN NY 2 1 55 75½ 97¾ 810¼ 59¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 1.90  
5  TRISAETUM 5 6 41 41½ 56½ 79¼ 610 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 5.00 23% 3.40 8.70  
4  EIGHT WEEKS LONG 4 8 75¼ 54½ 33½ 55 713 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 5.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
9  MOON HUNTER 8 4 2½ 2½ 23 69 817½ (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
3  LORENZEN 3 5 31 31 87¼ 915¼ 922½ (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 15.30  
SCR  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY               (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.