Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $11.70 $2.70 30%
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-5-2 $25.50 $16.50 183%
    SFT (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.10 $1.80  4-5-2-7 $21.39 $19.59 1088%
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $11.50 $2.50 28%
    PK3 (1/9/2/8)-(1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-4-5 $20.65 $2.65 15%
    PK4 (7/4/5)-(1/9/2/8)-(1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 108 $0.50 $54.00  4-1/2-2/4/8/10-5 $63.60 $9.60 18%
PEN-5   TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-6-3 $17.00 $5.00 42%
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $25.10 $13.10 109%
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2/4/8/10-5-8 $29.00 $11.00 61%
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $32.20 $24.20 303%
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-7 $39.90 $23.90 149%
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4/9)-(7/5/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-7-5 $38.25 $14.25 59%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:42         1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOM'S OPAL 4 6 52 52 32 2½ 1hd (trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.00 24% 3.20 1.30 W
KOKOPELLI GIRL 5 2 2nk 1nk 1 1½ 2hd (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 11% 8.20 8.60 P
WARRIOR ON THE RUN 2 1 6 66 7 6 3 (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 6.10 S
WARRIOR BERNICE 7 4 3½ 31 2 3 4 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.50  
ZIFFY BUG 1 7 41 4 4 45 5 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 15.00  
HURRICANE BON 3 3 7 7 5 57 610¾ (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 5.00  
ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU 6 5 1nk 2nk 6 711½ 724½ (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 41.90  
 
PEN-2   01/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 1 5 33 3 5 5 1¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 58% 0.70 1.60 W
MY REDEMPTION 2 6 7 5 72 41 1¼ (kreiser c)CORA D 120 10.00 6% 14.70 2.30 W
WISH FOR PEACE 3 8 8 8 4 1½ 3¼ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00 23.40  
BESTSUGARDADDYEVER 8 7 5 6 62 31 4 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 11% 8.00 1.10  
DYNAMITE KARMA 7 4 43 4 3.2 2½ 5 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
FUNKENSTEIN 5 2 6 7 8 8 6 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 17.10  
10  MIDNIGHT ACT 9 9 9 9 9 9 77 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 33.70  
NOT NORMAL 4 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 810¼ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 6.40  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 6 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 7 911¾ (noda orland)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 7.70  
SCR  REDEEM EDDIE               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 3 3 32 21   1½ 15 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 27% 2.70 1.00 W
UNCLE DAR 1 1 1 11   2½ 25 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 39% 1.60 2.10 P
ZAMBONI WARRIOR 6 5 4 45   3 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 17.30  
TIZ SPEEDY 4 7 66 56   46 4 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00 4.70  
SHY DA RUNNER 5 4 2 33   5 513 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 8.10  
YO NESSROUNDONKERN 7 6 77 7   69 614¼ (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 120 20.00 33.60  
BANJO 2 2 54 6   7 717¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 7% 13.50 30.00  
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE               (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE               (brooks gera)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
SCR  KINGDOM               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
 
PEN-4   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS TANGIE 5 1 2½ 21   1½ 12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 33% 2.00 2.70 W
MOONSHINE WARRIOR 7 4 31 3   32 22 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 18.50  
WARRIOR'S MISS 3 6 5 4   42 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 12% 7.10 1.40 S
SPEEDY BUBBLES 4 2 1½ 11   2½ 4 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 5.30  
MO TOUGH 1 7 710½ 711   710 5 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 27% 2.70 4.00  
FANCY WARRIOR 6 5 63 66   68 6 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 16.40  
AUGIE'S GIRL 2 3 4 5   57 712½ (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 15.70  
 
PEN-5   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING WATER 8 1 2½ 21   2½ 1 (ramirez sil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00 10% 9.00 2.30 W
U U STAR 6 3 1½ 11   1½ 2 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.50 1.90 P
BEYOND THE BEND 3 6 6 3   3 3 (george br)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 32% 2.10 2.40 S
SANTO 2 7 7 7   68 4 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 31.90  
FEDERAL CASE 4 5 53 6   78 5 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 6.70  
SPOOKY ONE 5 2 31 4   4 6 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 17.70  
BUCK WILD 7 8 8 8   810½ 7 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 35.60  
ANNAMATED MOON 1 4 41 5   57 812 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00 20% 4.00 26.10  
 
PEN-6   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:274     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 4 3 4 44 4 2nk 1 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 3.20  
MAKE A SPLASH 1 2 56 5 5 5 2 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.80 P
WAHINE MEANIE 3 5 33 33 3.2 1nk 34 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 122 4.50 16% 5.40 17.40 S
INCONTROVERTIBLE 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 4¼ 4 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 6.60  
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 3.2 5 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 3.60  
NANASQUAN 7 6 66 6 6 6 616¾ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 9.90  
LADYNESS 2 7 7 78 7 711¼ 722 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 14% 6.30 6.90  
 
PEN-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARISTOCAT 2 4 1½ 1½ 1 13 1 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 8.00 6% 14.60 15.10 W
SOUPER CATCH 7 3 53 43 3 23 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 1.40 65% 0.50 0.10 P
CAPE HEDGE 5 9 9 7 4 4 37 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 7% 14.20 8.30 S
SUNNY SAINT 6 2 3 2½ 2 3 4 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 124 4.50 13.30  
HROTHGAR 4 1 2½ 3½ 54 510½ 510½ (morzan e)CORA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 58.70  
GUSHING OIL 9 5 6 64 6 610½ 612 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 28.40  
JUST NOD AND SMILE 3 7 75 8 79 712½ 713 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 26.00  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 8 43 5 8 813½ 815¾ (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 98.70  
PURPLE SHIRT 8 6 8 9 9 914½ 917 (harigeorgiou kons)BAKER J 124 30.00 ######  
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.