Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/9/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(1/9/2/8)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/8)-(1/9/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/8)-(1/9/2/8/6)-(1/9/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/2/8)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/8)-(1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/1/6/8)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(1/3/2)-(7/5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4/9)-(7/5/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIFFY BUG Nov22 Nov09 Oct09 Sep14   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
2  WARRIOR ON THE RUN Dec13 Nov15 Oct25     (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 ★    
3  HURRICANE BON Nov22 Oct26       (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
4  MOM'S OPAL Dec15 Oct25 Oct02     (trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  KOKOPELLI GIRL Dec13         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
6  ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU Nov22         (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
7  WARRIOR BERNICE Dec20 Oct16 Sep28     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   01/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Dec22 Nov22 Oct18 Sep23 Sep01 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
2  MY REDEMPTION Dec27 Nov08 Oct27 Oct10 Aug31 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 10.00 6% 14.70    
3  WISH FOR PEACE Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 Oct26 Aug03 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  REDEEM EDDIE Dec22 Dec07 Nov04 Aug31 Aug04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00    
5  NOT NORMAL Jun13 May22 May03 Aug13   (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
6  FUNKENSTEIN Dec09 Nov03 Oct12 Jan23 Oct16 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 ★    
7  TWO THIRTY FIVE Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 (noda orland)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00    
8  DYNAMITE KARMA Dec13 Nov17 Sep15 Aug10 Jul27 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER Dec06 Oct17 Sep21 Sep02 Oct22 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
10  MIDNIGHT ACT Dec22 Nov08 Oct09 Sep30 Sep14 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE DAR Dec15 Nov24 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov24 Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (brooks gera)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
3  BANJO Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
4  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep07 Aug02 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  TIZ SPEEDY Nov24 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug02 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
6  SHY DA RUNNER Oct25 Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 ★    
7  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Oct26 Oct09 Sep15     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
SCR  KINGDOM Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 May24 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
9  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jan01 Dec15 Nov01 Oct24 Sep13 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 120 20.00    
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Dec21 Nov25 Nov15 Oct16 Sep28 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
 
PEN-4   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOUGH Dec23 Dec07 Nov17 Oct28 Mar24 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  AUGIE'S GIRL Dec27 Dec14 Dec06 Nov07 Sep06 (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00    
3  WARRIOR'S MISS Nov16 Oct24 Oct09 Sep20 Sep12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  SPEEDY BUBBLES Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Sep21 Aug04 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 ★    
5  TEXAS TANGIE Nov17 Feb07 Dec14 Oct24   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  FANCY WARRIOR Dec06 Nov07 Oct14 Sep30 Sep06 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
7  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Nov30 Nov02 Sep06 Jan27   (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
 
PEN-5   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAMATED MOON Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  SANTO Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
3  BEYOND THE BEND Dec21 Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 Sep20 (george br)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  FEDERAL CASE Dec08 Nov22 Oct26 Sep07 Aug25 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
5  SPOOKY ONE Dec21 Dec08 Nov01 Sep07 Aug24 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
6  U U STAR Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct17 Sep20 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
7  BUCK WILD Nov29 Nov15 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
8  LIVING WATER Dec27 Dec06 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 (ramirez sil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
PEN-6   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE A SPLASH Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Sep06 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  LADYNESS Dec21 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 Sep07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
3  WAHINE MEANIE Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep22 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00    
5  INCONTROVERTIBLE Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
6  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
7  NANASQUAN Dec27 Nov10 Oct26 Aug18 Jul07 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Dec13 Nov22 Jul12 Jun22 May24 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00    
2  ARISTOCAT Dec29 Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
3  JUST NOD AND SMILE Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
4  HROTHGAR Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 Oct09 Oct03 (morzan e)CORA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAPE HEDGE Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 7% 14.20    
6  SUNNY SAINT Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 Sep30 Sep06 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 124 4.50    
7  SOUPER CATCH Dec02 Nov02 Oct10 Aug30 Aug06 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
8  PURPLE SHIRT Dec29 Dec13 Dec01 Oct25 Oct13 (harigeorgiou kons)BAKER J 124 30.00    
9  GUSHING OIL Dec06 Nov16 Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  PECOS BILL Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 Sep22 Jul13 (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.