The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
PEN-2   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $24.60 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
PEN-4   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
PEN-5   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
PEN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
PEN-7   Win (2/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA SPRINGS 1 2 1½ 11   1½ 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 12% 7.70 2.70 W
REIGERT GIRLS 2 6 65 6   2½ 2¼ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 122 2.50 57% 0.70 2.00 P
STORMIN HEIST 4 4 3 3   31 3(sinnefia paul)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 9.50  
CARSONS COOL WOMEN 5 1 44 4   53 4(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 7.60  
PYROTECHNICS 6 5 5 5   43 514 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 1.70  
STAY SINGLE 3 3 2½ 21   65 617 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 24.70  
SCR  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS               (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
SCR  STACY'S RARE FIND               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LILLY 3 4 5 64   42 13 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 11.30  
TERPEYE 5 5 78 77   523 (moreno tito)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 11.90  
GREEN GABLES 6 1 12 1   1½ 33 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 6% 16.20 2.80 S
SHATTER ME 4 2 22 2   2½ 4(beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 39% 1.50 2.50  
STORMY SPELL 2 3 4 33   35(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 4.10  
TILTED TIARA 1 7 65 43   64 617¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 30% 2.30 3.00  
SEVEN YEARS LATER 7 6 33 5   76 721¼ (nicholson junio)TORRES WESLEY 122 12.00 13.50  
 
PEN-3   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE JON 7 2 21 2nk   11(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 49% 1.10 4.10 W
INDOCTRINATE 2 5 67 6   65 2(diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 10% 9.20 5.30 P
MY BLUE EYES 5 1 11 1nk   23(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 11% 8.40 1.00 S
ARISTOCAT 6 4 4 32   345 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 15.00 32.50  
SCREEN STAR 1 6 53 5   43 5(houghton thomas)CORA D 124 10.00 6.00  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 3 3 3 4   56(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 7.00  
JUMP SHOT 4 7 711 7   79 714 (diaz jorge)ANGULO J 124 10.00 13.60  
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER               (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY BOUND               (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00    
 
PEN-4   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:40   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETARY AT WAR 5 2 2 2½ 1nk 11 14 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 58% 0.70 1.40 W
EASY SHOT 2 4 3 3 4 33 24 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 6.50  
DEVOTED KITTEN 4 3 4 4 35 43(moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 10.00 8.70  
FED CHAIR 1 1 1 1½ 2nk 21 4(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.20  
TRUE DAKOTAN 3 5 513½ 513½ 5 55(soto- martine)RAMOS C 122 6.00 7.80  
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE               (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
SCR  PATTY'S BOY               (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS               (castillo mich)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNFETTERED DIVA 3 5 55 5   31½ (demario a)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40 1.90 W
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 5 1 42 31   1½ 2½ (demario a)CORA D 123 6.00 2.60  
CURLIN'S DOVE 2 2 11 11   2½ 3(lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 4.90 S
MY SWEET SUMMER 1 3 21 43   547 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 121 3.00 53% 0.90 2.40  
DISCO DAISY 4 4 3 21   42 5(kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 6.20  
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR               (pregman joh)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:132 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEANETTEO 2 1 1 1 12 14 14 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 58% 0.70 0.60 W
QUEEN'S DREAM 1 3 3 33 3 24 24 (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 3.50 20% 3.90 3.60 P
LIVIN' AT THE BU 4 4 2 2 22 34 3(rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.10  
SALAGADOOLA 3 5 57 58 5 57 4(samaniego jose)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 7.60  
PRUSSIAN BLUE 5 2 43 44 4 45 59 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00 9.60  
SCR  BONITA LASSIE               (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SCR  HEART LIGHT               (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T               (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
 
PEN-7   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:142 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE METHOD 8 5 4 42 2½ 1nk 1¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 21% 3.90 2.90 W
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 2 2nk 21 1½ 2nk 2¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 34% 1.90 2.30 P
TEMPESTUOUS 3 6 6 7 7 32 37 (salvaggio mark )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 3.10  
THE GREAT CASBY 1 3 5 5 43 44(moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 50.90  
NOBLE CONQUEST 5 1 3.2 32 5 55(allen ferris)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
LAKE NAKURU 6 7 7 64 64 6613½ (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 8.00 16% 5.30 7.00  
PURPLE SHIRT 4 8 8 8 810½ 8721 (harigeorgiou )INIRIO J 120 30.00 64.40  
CLOSER LOOK 7 4 1nk 11 31 78100 (allen ferris)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 3.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.