Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $23.60 $5.60 31%
PEN-3   WIN (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  9-3 $66.80 $48.80 271%
    TRI (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/5)-(9/7/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  9-3-7 $136.20 $118.20 657%
PEN-4   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    DD (9/7/3)-(7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  9-7 $38.40 $26.40 220%
PEN-5   DD (7/1)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-5 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    PK3 (9/7/3)-(7/1)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  9-7-ALL $61.35 $52.35 582%
PEN-6   PK3 (7/1)-(1/5/4)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  7-ALL-2/3 $12.90 $6.90 115%
PEN-7   EXA (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-2 $31.60 $7.60 32%
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/1)-(2/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  ALL-2/3-8 $30.30 $18.30 153%
    PK4 (7/1)-(1/5/4)-(3/1)-(2/8/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-ALL-2/3/5/8-8 $57.15 $33.15 138%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA SPRINGS 1 2 1½ 11   1½ 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 12% 7.70 2.70 W
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MARQUEE KELLY by MARQUETRY)
2  REIGERT GIRLS 2 6 65 62¾   2½ 2¼ (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 2.50 57% 0.70 2.00 P
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  STORMIN HEIST 4 4 32½ 31½   31 32¾ (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 9.50  
  (by BANK HEIST out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  CARSONS COOL WOMEN 5 1 44 42½   53 48¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 7.60  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of CIRCUS LIFE by MORE THAN READY)
8  PYROTECHNICS 6 5 54½ 52½   43 514 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 ★ 1.70  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FIVE GRAND GIRL by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  STAY SINGLE 3 3 2½ 21   65 617 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 24.70  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
SCR  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS               (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
  (by ENTICED out of J AND J O'SHEA by SKY MESA)
SCR  STACY'S RARE FIND               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MOUNTAINOFMUNNY by MUNNINGS)
 
PEN-2   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JACK'S LILLY 3 4 54½ 64   42 13 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★ 11.30  
5  TERPEYE 5 5 78 77   53½ 23 (moreno ti)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 11.90  
6  GREEN GABLES 6 1 12 11½   1½ 33 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 6% 16.20 2.80 S
4  SHATTER ME 4 2 22 21½   2½ 43¾ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 39% 1.50 2.50  
2  STORMY SPELL 2 3 43½ 33   31½ 54½ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 4.10  
1  TILTED TIARA 1 7 65 43   64 617¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 30% 2.30 3.00  
7  SEVEN YEARS LATER 7 6 33 53½   76 721¼ (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 122 12.00 13.50  
 
PEN-3   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NOBLE JON 7 2 21 2nk   11½ 12¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 49% 1.10 4.10 W
3  INDOCTRINATE 2 5 67 65¾   65 22¼ (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 10% 9.20 5.30 P
7  MY BLUE EYES 5 1 11 1nk   21½ 33½ (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 11% 8.40 1.00 S
8  ARISTOCAT 6 4 42½ 32   32½ 45 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 15.00 32.50  
2  SCREEN STAR 1 6 53 53¾   43 57¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 10.00 6.00  
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 3 3 31½ 42¼   53½ 67¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 ★ 7.00  
6  JUMP SHOT 4 7 711 79¾   79 714 (diaz jorge)ANGULO J 124 10.00 13.60  
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER               (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY BOUND               (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00    
 
PEN-4   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:40   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SECRETARY AT WAR 5 2 21½ 2½ 1nk 11 14 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 58% 0.70 1.40 W
2  EASY SHOT 2 4 36½ 36½ 45¼ 33 24 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 6.50  
5  DEVOTED KITTEN 4 3 47½ 47½ 35 43½ 35½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 10.00 8.70  
1  FED CHAIR 1 1 11½ 1½ 2nk 21 46¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.20  
3  TRUE DAKOTAN 3 5 513½ 513½ 57¼ 54½ 56½ (soto- marti)RAMOS C 122 6.00 ★ 7.80  
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE               (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
SCR  PATTY'S BOY               (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS               (castillo mi)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNFETTERED DIVA 3 5 55 53½   31½ 1½ (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40 1.90 W
7  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 5 1 42 31   1½ 2½ (demario a)CORA D 123 6.00 2.60  
2  CURLIN'S DOVE 2 2 11 11   2½ 33¾ (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★ 4.90 S
1  MY SWEET SUMMER 1 3 21 43   52½ 47 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 121 3.00 53% 0.90 2.40  
6  DISCO DAISY 4 4 31½ 21   42 57½ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 6.20  
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR               (pregman j)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:132 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JEANETTEO 2 1 11½ 11½ 12 14 14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 58% 0.70 0.60 W
1  QUEEN'S DREAM 1 3 32½ 33 33½ 24 24 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 3.50 20% 3.90 3.60 P
6  LIVIN' AT THE BU 4 4 21½ 21½ 22 34 35¾ (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.10  
4  SALAGADOOLA 3 5 57 58 57½ 57 47¼ (samaniego jos)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 ★ 7.60  
7  PRUSSIAN BLUE 5 2 43 44 44½ 45 59 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00 9.60  
SCR  BONITA LASSIE               (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SCR  HEART LIGHT               (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T               (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
 
PEN-7   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:142 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THE METHOD 8 5 41¼ 42 2½ 1nk 1¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 21% 3.90 2.90 W
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 2 2nk 21 1½ 2nk 2¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 34% 1.90 2.30 P
3  TEMPESTUOUS 3 6 62¾ 74½ 74½ 32 37 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 3.10  
1  THE GREAT CASBY 1 3 52¼ 53½ 43 42½ 49¼ (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 50.90  
5  NOBLE CONQUEST 5 1 3.2 32 53½ 54½ 59½ (allen ferris)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
6  LAKE NAKURU 6 7 73¼ 64 64 64¾ 613½ (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 8.00 16% 5.30 7.00  
4  PURPLE SHIRT 4 8 85¼ 88½ 810½ 87¾ 721 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 120 30.00 64.40  
7  CLOSER LOOK 7 4 1nk 11 31 77¾ 8100 (allen ferris)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 3.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.