Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/1/6)-(9/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(9/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(9/7/3)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/5)-(9/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/3)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3)-(7/1)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(1/5/4)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/1)-(2/8/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/8/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA SPRINGS         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MARQUEE KELLY by MARQUETRY)
2  REIGERT GIRLS Nov15 Oct16 Oct02     (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  STAY SINGLE Dec13         (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
SCR  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct07   (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
  (by ENTICED out of J AND J O'SHEA by SKY MESA)
SCR  STACY'S RARE FIND         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MOUNTAINOFMUNNY by MUNNINGS)
6  STORMIN HEIST         (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  CARSONS COOL WOMEN         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of CIRCUS LIFE by MORE THAN READY)
8  PYROTECHNICS         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FIVE GRAND GIRL by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
PEN-2   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TILTED TIARA Dec13 Sep08 Aug16 Jun22 May31 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  STORMY SPELL Dec13 Nov22 Nov09 Jul05 Jun22 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
3  JACK'S LILLY Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
4  SHATTER ME Nov15 Oct27 Sep22 Aug17 Jul14 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
5  TERPEYE Dec13 Nov15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (moreno ti)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
6  GREEN GABLES Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Oct02 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 6% 16.20    
7  SEVEN YEARS LATER Dec19 Nov03 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-3   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHWAY BOUND Dec20 Nov15 Nov03 Sep10 Aug04 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00    
2  SCREEN STAR Dec14 Apr28 Mar03 Feb02 Dec30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 10.00    
3  INDOCTRINATE Dec20 Dec06 Oct23 Oct10 Sep20 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER Dec15 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 Aug11 (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Dec14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 ★    
6  JUMP SHOT Nov01 Oct25 Sep26 Sep05 Jul24 (diaz jorge)ANGULO J 124 10.00    
7  MY BLUE EYES Dec14 Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 11% 8.40    
8  ARISTOCAT Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Sep01 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
9  NOBLE JON Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Aug02 Jul12 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
PEN-4   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FED CHAIR Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Sep08 Aug23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
2  EASY SHOT Nov21 Nov06 Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
3  TRUE DAKOTAN Nov15 Oct31 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS Dec20 Dec13 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (castillo mi)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
5  DEVOTED KITTEN Dec07 Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Aug02 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE Dec20 Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
7  SECRETARY AT WAR Dec07 Nov15 Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  PATTY'S BOY Dec13 Nov17 Nov01 Sep30 Sep13 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
 
PEN-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET SUMMER Dec15 Nov22 Nov13 Oct04 Aug22 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  CURLIN'S DOVE Dec15 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR Dec10 Nov30 Jul28 May12 Nov19 (pregman j)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep29 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
5  UNFETTERED DIVA Dec01 Nov01 Jul21 Jul01   (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  DISCO DAISY Dec15 Nov30 Nov01 Sep11 Aug23 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
7  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Dec14 Nov16 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 (demario a)CORA D 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN'S DREAM Nov22 Oct27 Oct14 Sep22 Aug16 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  HEART LIGHT Dec18 Nov15 Oct18 Sep12 Aug29 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00    
3  JEANETTEO Nov10 Oct27 Oct09 Feb22 Jan27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
4  SALAGADOOLA Nov27 Jun03 May19 Apr30 Dec31 (samaniego jos)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 ★    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T Dec08 Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 Sep14 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
6  LIVIN' AT THE BU Oct12 Jun07 Jan30 Aug18 Jul31 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
7  PRUSSIAN BLUE Dec15 Nov02 Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00    
SCR  BONITA LASSIE Nov16 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-7   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT CASBY Jun16 May26 Mar29 Feb24 Feb02 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Nov10 Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 Jun18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  TEMPESTUOUS Dec21 Nov17 Oct27 Oct17 Feb15 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00    
4  PURPLE SHIRT Dec13 Dec01 Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
5  NOBLE CONQUEST Nov18 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 (allen ferris)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAKE NAKURU Nov01 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Jul26 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
7  CLOSER LOOK Sep07 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun04 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
8  THE METHOD Dec07 Nov16 Nov02 Sep30 Sep13 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.