The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
PEN-2   Win (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
PEN-3   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.00 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
PEN-5   Win (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
PEN-6   Win (4/10/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -2.20
PEN-7   Win (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $4.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAWYER JOHN 1 4 1½ 1   15 16 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 66% 0.50 0.20 W
PENTATONIC 4 1 2½ 2   25 26 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 33.80  
OUR ETHAN CHARLES 5 3 511 511½   510 38 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 7.20 S
PRETORIAN GOLD 6 2 3 3   38 4(mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 9% 9.60 4.60  
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 2 5 43 4   49 510½ (stowers miche)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
THAT'S JUST GREAT 3 6 612 613½   613 617 (rogers mic)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 17.60  
SCR  AURORA KUMA               (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PEN-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 2 3 12 13   12 1(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.50 W
BLAME CATALAYA 1 7 33 23   22 2(beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00 7.50  
COSMOLOGICAL 7 8 5 45   53(ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 3.50  
ROAD TO DREAMS 6 1 22 3   35 49 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00 17.10  
VANISHING FAITH 8 2 4 6   710 510¾ (salvaggio v)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00 7.10  
SONG SAVER 5 5 7 5   4611¼ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 29% 2.50 4.40  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 3 4 66 77   6712½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
PARISIAN VIBE 4 6 8 810   811 812½ (ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 120 12.00 10.40  
 
PEN-3   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 5 2 2 3   31 1¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 5.50  
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 7 3 32 2½   11 2¼ (crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 61% 0.60 1.80 P
SCOREBOARD LILY 1 6 65 53   43(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5.10 S
DEBBIE'S SURPRISE 2 9 76 7   54(flores-coba fel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 7.00  
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 4 5 4 6   65 5(salvaggio v)CORA D 120 15.00 28.60  
MASKED HEROINE 6 7 98 9   86(martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 10% 9.10 10.50  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 3 8 86 8   77(miller a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 6% 15.30 13.90  
11  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO 9 1 1 1½   21 8(lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 121 6.00 8.20  
NADIABIZNIZ 8 4 54 43   910½ 915¼ (cooper stac)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7.20  
SCR  SHEA D SECRET               (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS               (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
 
PEN-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPING RAINBOWS 1 7 5 5   4¾ 1¼ (caiazzo cor)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 41% 1.40 3.60 W
BROKENHEARTED 6 3 3 3   2nk 2¼ (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 2.10 P
BAZINGA D 3 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 3½ (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 30% 2.40 1.50 S
GOTTA HAVE HEART 7 1 2½ 1nk   3.2 4(stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 15.50  
FAST STUDY 2 6 711 7   75(schettino dominic)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
UNCLE GEORGY 5 5 4 4   56(meister willi)INIRIO J 123 20.00 36.80  
SHARP STYLE 4 4 68 6   67(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50 6.30  
 
PEN-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE PROMISE 3 5 5 2nk   12 1(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 16% 5.10 1.80 W
AUGIE'S GIRL 8 1 21 1nk   22 2(chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 21.50  
DUSTED 2 8 7 68   53(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 5% 17.50 7.50 S
JOYFUL DEPARTURE 5 3 33 56   69 4(grusmark karl)INIRIO J 123 10.00 16.30  
CLASSICALCROSSOVER 9 4 43 44   4510½ (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 1.70  
WITHOUT A NET 1 2 11 31   3613¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 49% 1.00 7.10  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 7 6 6 8   710 713¾ (albright)SMITH DANIEL 118 30.00 33.70  
TEMPTRESS CALLING 6 9 9 9   911½ 815½ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00 60.20  
DENIM N LACE 4 7 8 7   810½ 916½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 8% 11.20 8.90  
 
PEN-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22 :444 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON OF DARKNESS 9 3 2 21   1nk 11 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 7% 12.90 2.90 W
COAST TO COAST 8 7 5 43   3½ 21 (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 20.30 P
MY BLUE EYES 7 1 1 11   2nk 3(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 2.40  
SCREEN STAR 6 9 77 65   74(houghton thomas)CORA D 124 15.00 32.10  
10  BAZOO 10 2 33 33   44 53 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 14% 6.00 2.30  
JUPI'S LIGHTNING 1 6 811 88   88 6(flores-coba f)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
BAVARIA 3 10 1013 1010   99 7(rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 ######  
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 4 66 7   68(ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 32.60  
MANAHAWKIN 5 8 912 99   1010 9(graci kimberly)BERRIOS C 124 30.00 ######  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 4 5 4 54   51011¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 51% 1.00 6.50  
 
PEN-7   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:224 :592       1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 2 3 46 4   22 1(demario a)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 1.40  
UPTOWN KID 8 2 12 12   12 2(albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 22% 3.50 3.50 P
GEMINI WARRIOR 1 8 22 22   32 3(fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 31% 2.20 9.70 S
PRIDEFUL VILLANO 6 7 912 912¼   748 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 6.00  
SECRET SPELL 4 9 67 6   46 5(zalalas michael)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 24% 3.20 11.20  
FIRE EYE 9 1 5 5   869 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
CHIMING IN 5 6 88 7   5710¼ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00 77.70  
DIXIE MUSIC 7 5 7 810¼   67 812¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.00 4.30  
WIN FOR LAILA 3 4 33 3   9912¾ (zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 35.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.