Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/5/8/3)-(8/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/3)-(8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/3)-(8/7/3)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1/6)-(8/7/3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(4/10/9/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2/9)-(1/3/4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(4/10/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(4/10/9/8/1)-(1/4/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/10/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/8/1)-(4/10/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/8/1)-(4/10/9/8/1)-(4/10/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/9/8/1)-(1/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/9)-(1/4/8/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/9)-(1/4/8/6/9)-(1/4/8/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAWYER JOHN Nov24         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHACK UP by SHACKLEFORD)
2  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Nov29 Sep06       (stowers mic)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of STORMY'S HONOR by CONGRATS)
3  THAT'S JUST GREAT Nov10 Oct24       (rogers m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  AURORA KUMA Nov10 Aug25 Aug05     (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
5  PENTATONIC Nov10 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 Aug25 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
6  OUR ETHAN CHARLES         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
  (by BANDBOX out of ANOFFICERANDALADY by OFFICER)
7  PRETORIAN GOLD Nov24         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
 
PEN-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME CATALAYA Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
2  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Nov10 Oct26 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARISIAN VIBE Dec05 Nov13 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
5  SONG SAVER Nov22 Oct23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
6  ROAD TO DREAMS Nov28 Nov17 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00    
7  COSMOLOGICAL Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug21 (ramirez ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
8  VANISHING FAITH Nov22 Nov13 Oct30 Sep20 Aug30 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOREBOARD LILY Nov29 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★    
2  DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Dec04 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Oct02 (flores-coba f)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 (miller a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
4  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Oct11 Oct02 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 15.00    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS Nov29 Nov16 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
6  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Dec01 Nov17 Oct06 Aug03 Jun20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
7  MASKED HEROINE Nov17 Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
8  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 May10 Mar23 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
9  NADIABIZNIZ Nov15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 (cooper st)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  SHEA D SECRET Nov15 Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 119 15.00    
11  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Nov14 Sep20 Aug30 Jul31   (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPING RAINBOWS Nov17 Oct27       (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  FAST STUDY Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 Jul01 May13 (schettino domin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAZINGA D Oct13         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  SHARP STYLE Nov22 Nov03 Sep22 Jan25 Jan13 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
5  UNCLE GEORGY Nov03         (meister wil)INIRIO J 123 20.00    
6  BROKENHEARTED Nov24 Nov03 May03 Apr14 Mar17 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 ★    
7  GOTTA HAVE HEART Nov24         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT A NET Nov30 Nov01 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  DUSTED Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 5% 17.50    
3  DIVINE PROMISE Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  DENIM N LACE Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
5  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Oct25 Sep26       (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 123 10.00    
6  TEMPTRESS CALLING Nov30 Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00    
7  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Nov30 Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug23 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 118 30.00    
8  AUGIE'S GIRL Dec06 Nov07 Sep06 Aug11 Jul09 (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
9  CLASSICALCROSSOVER Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21   (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep12 Sep02 (flores-coba)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NAUTICAL NATURE Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
3  BAVARIA Nov29 Nov16 Nov02 Sep22 Sep08 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Sep01 Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  MANAHAWKIN Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 (graci kimber)BERRIOS C 124 30.00    
6  SCREEN STAR Apr28 Mar03 Feb02 Dec30 Dec13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 15.00    
7  MY BLUE EYES Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 Jul27 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
8  COAST TO COAST Nov29 Nov01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SON OF DARKNESS Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 7% 12.90    
10  BAZOO Nov22 Nov04 Oct04 Aug31 Aug05 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-7   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMINI WARRIOR Nov30         (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Nov16 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 Aug31 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Jul21 Jun15 May25 May05 Apr26 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
4  SECRET SPELL         (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 24% 3.20    
5  CHIMING IN Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00    
6  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Nov16 Oct27 Jul19     (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 ★    
7  DIXIE MUSIC Nov29 Sep13       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.00    
8  UPTOWN KID         (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 22% 3.50    
9  FIRE EYE Nov16 Oct27 Sep13     (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.