Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (4/10/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-7   Win (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAWYER JOHN Nov24         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
2  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Nov29 Sep06       (stowers miche)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  THAT'S JUST GREAT Nov10 Oct24       (rogers mic)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
SCR  AURORA KUMA Nov10 Aug25 Aug05     (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
5  PENTATONIC Nov10 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 Aug25 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
6  OUR ETHAN CHARLES         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
7  PRETORIAN GOLD Nov24         (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
PEN-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME CATALAYA Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
2  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Nov10 Oct26 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARISIAN VIBE Dec05 Nov13 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 (ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
5  SONG SAVER Nov22 Oct23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
6  ROAD TO DREAMS Nov28 Nov17 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00    
7  COSMOLOGICAL Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug21 (ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
8  VANISHING FAITH Nov22 Nov13 Oct30 Sep20 Aug30 (salvaggio v)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOREBOARD LILY Nov29 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep22 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★    
2  DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Dec04 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Oct02 (flores-coba fel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 (miller a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
4  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Oct11 Oct02 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 15.00    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS Nov29 Nov16 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
6  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Dec01 Nov17 Oct06 Aug03 Jun20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
7  MASKED HEROINE Nov17 Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
8  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 May10 Mar23 (crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
9  NADIABIZNIZ Nov15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 (cooper stac)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  SHEA D SECRET Nov15 Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 119 15.00    
11  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Nov14 Sep20 Aug30 Jul31   (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPING RAINBOWS Nov17 Oct27       (caiazzo cor)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  FAST STUDY Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 Jul01 May13 (schettino dominic)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAZINGA D Oct13         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  SHARP STYLE Nov22 Nov03 Sep22 Jan25 Jan13 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
5  UNCLE GEORGY Nov03         (meister willi)INIRIO J 123 20.00    
6  BROKENHEARTED Nov24 Nov03 May03 Apr14 Mar17 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 ★    
7  GOTTA HAVE HEART Nov24         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT A NET Nov30 Nov01 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  DUSTED Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 5% 17.50    
3  DIVINE PROMISE Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  DENIM N LACE Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
5  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Oct25 Sep26       (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 123 10.00    
6  TEMPTRESS CALLING Nov30 Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00    
7  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Nov30 Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug23 (albright)SMITH DANIEL 118 30.00    
8  AUGIE'S GIRL Dec06 Nov07 Sep06 Aug11 Jul09 (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
9  CLASSICALCROSSOVER Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21   (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep12 Sep02 (flores-coba f)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NAUTICAL NATURE Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
3  BAVARIA Nov29 Nov16 Nov02 Sep22 Sep08 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Sep01 Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  MANAHAWKIN Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 (graci kimberly)BERRIOS C 124 30.00    
6  SCREEN STAR Apr28 Mar03 Feb02 Dec30 Dec13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 15.00    
7  MY BLUE EYES Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 Jul27 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
8  COAST TO COAST Nov29 Nov01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SON OF DARKNESS Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 7% 12.90    
10  BAZOO Nov22 Nov04 Oct04 Aug31 Aug05 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-7   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMINI WARRIOR Nov30         (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Nov16 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 Aug31 (demario a)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Jul21 Jun15 May25 May05 Apr26 (zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
4  SECRET SPELL         (zalalas michael)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 24% 3.20    
5  CHIMING IN Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00    
6  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Nov16 Oct27 Jul19     (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 ★    
7  DIXIE MUSIC Nov29 Sep13       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.00    
8  UPTOWN KID         (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 22% 3.50    
9  FIRE EYE Nov16 Oct27 Sep13     (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.