Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-3 $28.80 $10.80 60%
PEN-2   TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1-4 $10.50 $4.50 75%
PEN-3   SFT (4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/6/10/9) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-4-6-9 $21.84 $12.24 128%
PEN-5   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-7 $52.60 $34.60 192%
    DD (3/6/8/7/1)-(4/7/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-2 $36.80 $6.80 23%
    PK3 (4/8/6/9)-(3/6/8/7/1)-(4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8/11-6/7-2 $47.60 $17.60 59%
PEN-6   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6-2 $18.20 $10.20 128%
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-2-7 $33.40 $29.40 735%
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $32.60 $20.60 172%
    PK3 (3/6/8/7/1)-(4/7/2)-(6/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00  6/7-2-3/5/6 $43.60 $28.60 191%
    PK5 (5/1/4)-(4/8/6/9)-(3/6/8/7/1)-(4/7/2)-(6/7) 360 $1.00 $360  5/6-8/11-6/7-2-3/5/6 $623.00 $263.00 73%
PEN-7   WIN (6/10/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $19.20 $11.20 140%
    EXA (6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-5 $178.20 $154.20 643%
    TRI (6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00  9-5-6 $204.00 $180.00 750%
    SFT (6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9) 24 $0.10 $2.40  9-5-6-10 $55.96 $53.56 2232%
    DD (6/7)-(6/10/5/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00  6-9 $36.20 $20.20 126%
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/7)-(6/10/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-3/6-9 $57.60 $45.60 380%
    PK4 (3/6/8/7/1)-(4/7/2)-(6/7)-(6/10/5/9) 120 $0.50 $60.00  6/7-2-3/5/6-9 $371.40 $311.40 519%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN OCCASION 4 3 33 3 31 1 1¾ (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 23% 3.30 3.00 W
MORNING THOUGHTS 3 7 6 4 43 3 2¾ (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 50% 1.00 3.00 P
SYNONYM 2 1 1 12 11 2 3 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 5.60  
TEMPESTUOUS 7 6 710 6 5 5 44 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 15.70  
THAT'S MY BUSINESS 6 5 5 5 6 67 5 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 118 12.00 19.80  
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 1 2 2 22 21 4 69 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 1.70  
MIDNIGHT STRIKES 5 4 47 712½ 714 712 714¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
 
PEN-2   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SWEET HEIST 5 1 3 33 2nk 1 1 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 61% 0.60 0.90 W
MOON WARRIOR 1 4 4 55 5 3 2 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 16% 5.40 1.30 P
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 4 2 11 1 1nk 2 3 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90 S
DOUBLE O OTTO 3 5 21 2 4 5 4 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 9.70  
DON'T QUESTION ME 6 3 54 4 3 4 5 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 10.80  
SOUL STORY 2 6 6 68 6 612½ 617 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 12.00 37.00  
SCR  EL POLICIA               (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   12/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:132     1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLMAN 8 7 4 6 4 21 1 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 6% 16.70 1.60 W
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE 4 10 7 33 1nk 11 2 (simoff andre)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 65% 0.50 2.10 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 6 9 913½ 8 8 5 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 17.40 5.60 S
DORSODURO 9 6 6 5 31 44 410¼ (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
LAWLESSNESS 2 3 812½ 9 7 68 512¼ (lake a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 18.70  
JACK SLYE 7 2 1 1 2nk 33 612¼ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12.90  
LONG TOM 1 8 1015½ 1011½ 9 810½ 716¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00 94.40  
MONEYONTHELINE 5 1 5 43 5 7 820½ (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 14.90  
10  CANTANKEROUS CAT 10 5 2 2 6 915½ 930 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 8.00  
GO GREEN 3 4 35 7 1010¾ 1025½ 1051 (hamilton step)RANGEL JOEZER 119 15.00 40.50  
SCR  KABOD               (soto- martine)RANGEL JOEZER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 6 4 3 2½   1 1 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 32% 2.10 1.20 W
KIRBY 8 1 4 4   2 2 (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 1.90  
LADY JEAN 3 8 7 7   6 3 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 32% 2.10 3.50 S
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 1 5 54 5   3 4 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
FIELD LETTERS 5 9 8 6   7 510¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 64.50  
WICKED T 2 7 9 9   9 610¾ (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 20.00 74.90  
LIVE AID 7 2 1nk 1½   4 711½ (pattershall)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 10% 8.90 32.30  
10  MISS ALEX 9 6 6 8   8 812 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 34.60  
HELLO GRACIE 4 3 2nk 3½   5 914¼ (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 6.00 21.40  
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES               (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELIC GAL 1 2 1nk 11   12 1 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90 W
THROWBACK 5 1 2nk 21   22 2 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50 27% 2.70 2.90 P
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 6 3 31 31   3 36 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00 2.90  
10  TRECHMO GIRL 7 6 6 6   57 4 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 20.90  
LADYNESS 4 5 7 7   47 5 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 4.40  
WAHINE MEANIE 3 7 5 56   7 614¾ (fields kevi)INIRIO J 121 3.00 35% 1.90 3.50  
ANIMAL PRINCESS 2 4 4 42   6 715 (graci kimberly)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 11.30  
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER               (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 15.00    
SCR  EMPRESS PALPATINE               (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE               (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00    
 
PEN-6   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE BEND 4 5 32 3   1½ 13 (george br)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 59% 0.70 1.30 W
SPOOKY ONE 2 1 2½ 21   32 23 (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 3.50 2.90 P
COFFEE WITH ALEX 5 3 1½ 11   2½ 3 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.90 3.30 S
HASHTAG WINNING 3 4 54 55   4 44 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 4.70  
PRIMORDIAL FEAR 1 2 42 44   5 5 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 6.60  
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT               (ramirez )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
 
PEN-7   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECCO 7 1 11 13   1 1 (murtough st)INIRIO J 124 5.00 8% 11.30 8.60 W
LOUIE'S HEAT 4 4 21 23   2 2 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.50 16% 5.40 8.10 P
BEAR OR BULL 5 7 69 610   46 3 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 123 2.50 37% 1.70 0.70 S
10  BEJUCO 8 3 4 46   3 4 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 19% 4.40 3.20  
HE AROSE 3 8 812½ 813½   78 5 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 24.40  
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS 1 6 711½ 713   89 6 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 11.00  
WATERMELON CRUSH 2 5 5 58   67 79 (wadams j)CORA D 124 15.00 26.00  
PRALINESALLSHOOKUP 6 2 3 35   57 811 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00 76.70  
SCR  COMMANDING               (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
SCR  GEM DANCER               (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM               (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.