Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/1/4)-(4/8/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/8/6/9)-(3/6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/6/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/9)-(3/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/9)-(3/6/8/1)-(4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/8/1)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/1)-(4/7/2)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/7)-(6/10/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(6/10/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/10/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9)-(6/10/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Nov10 Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
2  SYNONYM Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Sep07 Jul27 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
3  MORNING THOUGHTS Dec07 Nov16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  CAJUN OCCASION Dec01 Nov10 Sep15 Aug10 Jul14 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  MIDNIGHT STRIKES Nov03 Oct27 Oct07 Sep07 Aug17 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Nov13 Oct31 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 118 12.00    
7  TEMPESTUOUS Nov17 Oct27 Oct17 Feb15 Jan16 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON WARRIOR Dec07 Nov15 Jul06 Jun20 May17 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  SOUL STORY Mar16 Feb22 Feb09 Nov04 Oct11 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
3  DOUBLE O OTTO Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 Sep09 Aug30 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 3.50    
4  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Dec07 Nov17 Oct25 Sep30 Jul06 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KAZ SWEET HEIST Nov15 Oct25 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  EL POLICIA Dec07 Nov15 Nov03 Sep06 Aug17 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00    
7  DON'T QUESTION ME Nov16 Sep13 Jun21 Jun14 May26 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   12/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG TOM Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 Oct25 Sep07 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
2  LAWLESSNESS Dec07 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 (lake a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
3  GO GREEN Nov15 Nov01 Sep09 Aug17 Jul08 (hamilton step)OCASIO M 119 15.00    
4  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 Jul07 (simoff andre)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
5  MONEYONTHELINE Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Sep06 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
6  BLUEBERRY MASH Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Sep15 Jul06 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 17.40    
7  JACK SLYE Dec07 Nov03 Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
8  HELLMAN Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 6% 16.70    
9  DORSODURO Dec08 Nov24 Nov16 Oct18 Sep20 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CANTANKEROUS CAT Nov29 Nov09 Oct03 Sep21 Sep09 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  KABOD Dec06 Nov20 Oct04 Aug25 Jul21 (soto- martine)RANGEL JOEZER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Oct27 Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WICKED T Nov01 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 Jul26 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 20.00    
3  LADY JEAN Nov27 Nov03 Oct20 Oct09 Sep21 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  HELLO GRACIE Nov22 Nov01 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
5  FIELD LETTERS Nov30 Nov01 Sep14 Aug17 Aug04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00    
6  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Nov10 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIVE AID Nov22 Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 Aug03 (pattershall)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
9  KIRBY Nov30 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
10  MISS ALEX Dec11 Nov27 Nov01 Sep27 Sep12 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
 
PEN-5   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE Sep21 Sep07 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00    
2  ANGELIC GAL Nov14 Oct23 Oct12 Sep04 Aug12 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANIMAL PRINCESS Dec01 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 (graci kimberly)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
4  WAHINE MEANIE Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep22 Sep14 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  LADYNESS Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER Dec01 Sep18 Jul25 Jun15 May18 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 15.00    
7  THROWBACK Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  EMPRESS PALPATINE Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
9  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Sep21 Aug31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
10  TRECHMO GIRL Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 Sep21 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 Oct09 Aug12 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
2  SPOOKY ONE Dec08 Nov01 Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov16 Oct20 Oct11 Sep21 Aug20 (ramirez )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50    
4  HASHTAG WINNING Nov22 Oct25 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
6  BEYOND THE BEND Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 Sep20 Aug25 (george br)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  COFFEE WITH ALEX Nov14 Nov02 Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
PEN-7   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEWIPERSONTHEBUS Nov22 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 Sep18 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
2  WATERMELON CRUSH Nov22 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (wadams j)CORA D 124 15.00    
3  HE AROSE Dec07 Jun28 May26 May11   (shea lydee)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM Dec07 Nov08 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
5  LOUIE'S HEAT Nov09 Oct05       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  BEAR OR BULL Aug23 Jul21 Jun30 May03   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP Dec06 Nov22 Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00    
SCR  COMMANDING Oct17 Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
9  NECCO Nov24 Nov03 May19 Apr21 Mar24 (murtough st)INIRIO J 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
10  BEJUCO Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  GEM DANCER Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Sep13 Aug24 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.