Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-5 $24.80 $6.80 38%
MNR-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPERNESS 5 1 3½ 3   2nk 1¼ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 3.00 68% 0.50 2.10 W
TRUST FUND ROBBER 4 4 6 7   42 2¼ (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 5.80 P
CAPTAIN BERNARDO 6 2 41 5   5 3 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00 8.30  
WILDCAT HAGRID 7 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 4 (smith r)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 12.00  
BEST AND FINAL 3 6 74 6   7 5 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 123 4.50 6% 16.60 8.30  
COMMANDER CODY 1 7 5 43   6 6 (pizzurr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
SECOND LIEUTENANT 2 5 1½ 1nk   3 713 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 1.70  
SCR  RECTANGLE               (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 123 15.00    
 
MNR-2   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :454 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER BREEZE 3 6 6 4   11 1 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 6.40  
KICKSTARTER 6 5 2nk 33   21 2 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.00 4.70 P
JOCKO ROAD 4 1 4 23   5 3 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 21% 3.80 3.30 S
BEYOND GONE 5 3 5 6   6 4 (zook je)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 11.60  
FEDERALE 2 2 3.2 5   42 57 (pease har)HERNANDEZ H 120 5.00 30.90  
SUTTON VALLEY 7 4 1nk 13   3 6 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 1.10  
SKYSCANNER 1 7 714¼ 713¼   712½ 713½ (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 123 8.00 21% 3.80 9.00  
 
MNR-3   11/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:02     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TOWN BLUES 3 1 1nk 2½   2½ 1 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 118 5.00 15% 5.60 2.80 W
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
MOON OVER DUBAI 1 3 2nk 1½   1½ 2 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 1.40 34% 1.90 0.40 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TIZCOOL by TIZNOW)
SPY TOWN 5 4 5 44   43 32 (meals lois)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 18.70  
  (by MO TOWN out of SENORA QUATORZE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
MR HARRY 2 5 3 3   3 45 (sipp b)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 7.10  
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
COSMIC CONNECTION 4 2 4 5   5 513 (meals lois)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 9.80  
  (by EASTWOOD out of STREET SHINER by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  BLANTON               (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CHAPARELLA by SERVICE STRIPE)
SCR  BRAZILIAN SEA               (sipp k)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SEA SWIFT by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
 
MNR-4   11/14/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221         :221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REJUVENATE 1 1       1½ 1hd (logston chr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 137 0.50 43% 1.30 0.70 W
CAJUN MANDATE 6 2       2½ 2hd (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 27% 2.80 4.70 P
INSPIRING JUSTICE 7 3       42 31 (fairma)BATISTA ALBERTO 131 8.00 6% 16.70 5.10 S
SOMERSET BAY 3 4       5 4 (stano)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00 54.70  
COFFEE WITH ALEX 5 7       6 5 (kravets)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 5.60  
SKYLAS GOLD 2 5       31 6 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 125 30.00 29.10  
VASY SAYS NYET 4 6       7 75 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 15.00 50.20  
BORN FOR VICTORY 8 8       812½ 8 (cordero-lop)BARRIOS RICARDO 125 8.00 5% 18.90 10.40  
SCR  M J GOLD               (noland a)MAILHOT P 120 50.00    
 
MNR-5   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XCELLENT START 3 6 5 3½   31 1nk (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.40 44% 1.30 0.70 W
KARMA BUS 7 3 3 1½   1nk 2nk (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.30 P
ROAD MINISTER 2 5 42 2½   2nk 3¼ (chain pearl)YARANGA Y 118 2.50 3.10  
WHY WINCHILL WHY 6 7 7 710¼   612 410½ (meeks karl)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 65.70  
WATCHING SNOW FLY 4 4 2 52   47 513½ (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
FAST RIDE 1 1 1 41   59 618½ (rawlings am)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00 82.50  
ZERO FOR CONDUCT 5 2 6 610   727 745¾ (witherow sandra )VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  SWORD OF DAMOCLES               (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50 5% 17.30    
 
MNR-6   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTENT (IRE) 1 7 7 66   35 1 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 21% 3.70 1.50 W
LOVELY LOLA 9 6 6 54   46 2 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00 5.40  
SWEET QUEEN BEE 2 5 2nk 11   11 3 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 1.20 44% 1.20 1.10 S
IN TO THE NIGHT 7 9 914¾ 913   810 4 (shuler )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 37.00  
ACCOLADES GALORE 5 3 54 44   21 5 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 12% 7.30 18.40  
SUM KINDA PRETTY 4 4 31 33   5 6 (ramos francisco)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 5% 19.00 41.10  
TUNSTALL 8 2 1nk 21   6 7 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00 73.90  
WHISKEY TALKING 6 8 8 810   910½ 811¾ (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00 83.20  
MUSICAL RIDE 3 1 42 78   7 914 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00 17.90  
 
MNR-7   11/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:134     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLIE Q BLUE 4 1 12 11 1½ 11 1½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 47% 1.10 2.40 W
PETTIGO GIRL 6 2 22 21 2½ 21 2½ (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 16% 5.40 1.10 P
CAR LADY 1 8 811¾ 711½ 4 310 3½ (kravets)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 5.60  
HUMMIN' THE FUNK 7 7 6 6 510 614 411½ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 20.20  
STARSHIP NUGGET 5 6 5 5 610 513½ 511½ (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 6.30  
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 8 5 7 813 815 715 611¾ (ortiz-r)BRAVO MISAEL 113 20.00 37.40  
LILAC LACE 2 4 45 4 3 413 719½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 13% 6.70 14.20  
ALITTLESLICEOF PIE 3 3 33 33 712 821 830½ (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 41.60  
SCR  VINTAGE SPARKLE               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   11/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENTIROSA 6 6 6 4   23 1½ (si)DA FAUSTO 121 1.80 30% 2.30 0.60 W
ROCKIN MACHEN 1 1 11 1nk   13 2½ (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 10% 8.90 6.50 P
ELUSIVE MOTION 5 4 3 3.2   33 3 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 27.60  
THE FIVE B'S 4 2 21 2nk   44 4 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 10.00 18% 4.50 7.60  
I'LL FINISH 2 5 4 6   6 511¼ (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5.30  
PITCH DARK 3 3 5 5   59 616½ (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 120 2.50 19% 4.20 4.90  
SCR  FIFTY PESOS               (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 5.00    
SCR  INGERSOLL               (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
SCR  JOYFUL CANDY               (fiesman r)GONZALEZ J 110 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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