The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
PEN-2   Win (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
PEN-3   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60
PEN-5   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 6.00
PEN-6   Win (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
PEN-7   Win (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 4 6 23 23 2nk 11 14 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 71% 0.40 1.20 W
SITTIN ON GO 3 4 13 13 1nk 21 24 (jacobson da)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 2.70  
MIDNIGHT ACT 5 3 33 4 3 33 3(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
REDEEM EDDIE 6 5 57 5 45 43 45 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 22.70  
WISH FOR PEACE 1 1 6 6 5 55 5(stites w)CORA D 115 10.00 4.40  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 2 2 44 3 67 6614 (zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
SCR  IYWAAN               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60    
 
PEN-2   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAB THE GOLD 6 2 21 11   1nk 1¼ (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 20% 4.00 2.40 W
JUMPMASTER 4 5 52 21   2nk 2¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 54% 0.80 0.70 P
BOURBON CURRENCY 3 4 42 4   33 3(wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 10.00 14.00  
SHANGHAI CANDY 5 6 6 55   46 4(rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
MARTINKELLY 1 3 3 6   6513¼ (keller christopher )HO WESLEY 120 6.00 4.10  
THE ILLUSIONIST 2 1 11 3   5617 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 31.70  
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON               (smith th)SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-3   12/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR RAGS 8 3 4¾ 2½   1nk 1¾ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 2.80  
FREEDOM'S START 4 7 7 75   62¾ (albright geor)INIRIO J 120 8.00 10.40  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 6 1 1½ 1½   2nk 3(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 12% 7.20 11.70 S
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 5 5 53   443 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 52% 0.90 2.40  
AMICALOLA FALLS 3 2 6 6   55(patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 6% 16.20 9.50  
ON OUR WAY BOYZ 7 4 3½ 31   32 6(kirby t)RANGEL JOEZER 120 6.00 12.40  
JUGGLER 1 8 8 8   77(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 4.30  
LARZ 2 6 2½ 41   8813¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.50 6.50  
SCR  BORN HAPPY               (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 2 1 11 11   12 12 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 18% 4.50 8.30 W
STASSI 6 3 31 21   22 22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50 43% 1.30 13.80 P
CUT FROM CLASS 5 8 42 4   332 (keil steven)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70 S
CHARM ALARM 4 6 7 6   66 4(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 9.10  
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 7 5 5 5   54 54 (jacobson da)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 15% 5.60 1.10  
CABRA CHICA 3 7 6 7   78 68 (caban carlos )RAMOS C 120 5.00 2.60  
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 1 4 21 31   43 7(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 6.60  
EARLY FROST 8 2 8 8   815½ 815¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 80.00  
SCR  POSITIVE FORCE               (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO WARRIOR 5 2 2nk 1½   11(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.50 19% 4.40 4.00 W
BROKENHEARTED 3 3 42 3½   22(kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 56% 0.80 0.30 P
CALL ME NOW 2 4 56 4   433 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 9.50  
SPORTING THE GOLD 1 1 1nk 2½   3412¼ (houghton th)VARGAS L 123 4.00 7.40  
SUPER JO 4 5 31 56   523½ 535 (morris r)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 22.30  
SCR  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR               (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00    
SCR  SALVO TRIGGER               (meister willi)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MAKING KAZ 8 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 1(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 18% 4.40 1.40 W
HE IS BAD 7 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2(salvaggio v)CORA D 122 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 P
WICKED IRISHMAN 5 2 44 3   43(wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 4.00 14% 6.20 4.10 S
SPELLED WELL 6 6 55 44   34(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 15.40  
OVER THE BORDER 9 4 6 77   65(allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 15.60  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 3 5 3 55   565 (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 30.00 84.10  
BUMBLE MONSTER 4 9 7 66   7711½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 10% 8.90 8.30  
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 1 8 88 810   810¼ 814 (crane cl)SMITH DANIEL 116 20.00 77.10  
LYFE IS SIMPLE 2 7 9 915   918¼ 919 (nicholson jun)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00 22.90  
 
PEN-7   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 4 3 1 11   14 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.05 W
DAILY BRIEFING 6 1 2 21   24 2(moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 6.00 18% 4.40 15.40 P
RISQUE'S JEWEL 2 6 66 5   48 3(rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 124 8.00 18.50  
HALLIGIRL 3 5 5 3   37 4(rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 15.00 57.20  
MELODIA 5 2 3 45   5511 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 5.00 8% 12.10 9.80  
CARLY HUSTLE 1 4 43 6   613 616¼ (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 6.00 12.50  
SCR  ANNETTE MARIE               (padilla hugo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 15.00    
SCR  EXPRESS LADY               (reynolds joan )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET               (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.