Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/8/6)-(6/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(6/7/3)-(6/2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(6/2/7/5)-(5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/5)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/5)-(5/7)-(7/8/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(7/8/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/9/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4/9)-(7/8/5/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/5/4)-(7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8)-(7/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IYWAAN Sep15 Jul23 Jun28 May20 Apr07 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60    
2  WISH FOR PEACE Dec06 Nov22 Oct26 Aug03 Jul08 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
3  STRAWBERRY TREAT Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Sep08 Aug18 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SITTIN ON GO Dec10 Nov12 Oct27 Oct06 Aug19 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
5  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Nov22 Oct18 Sep23 Sep01 Aug16 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 71% 0.40    
6  MIDNIGHT ACT Nov08 Oct09 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  REDEEM EDDIE Dec07 Nov04 Aug31 Aug04 May31 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Jul07 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
2  THE ILLUSIONIST Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Aug31 Jul29 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
3  BOURBON CURRENCY Dec08 Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 Aug24 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00    
5  JUMPMASTER Dec07 Nov03 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
6  SHANGHAI CANDY Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Aug31 Aug23 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Dec07 Nov17 Jul06 Jun17 May13 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
8  GRAB THE GOLD Nov03 Sep20 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-3   12/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUGGLER Nov14 Oct24 Aug02 Jun25 May29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
2  LARZ Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Oct16 Sep21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.50 ★    
3  AMICALOLA FALLS Nov24 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  BORN HAPPY Dec03 Nov15 Oct23 Sep13 Jul19 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
5  FREEDOM'S START Dec06 Nov16 Jun09 May18 Apr28 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
6  KAZ MUNNINGS Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
7  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Nov24 Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Jul19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
8  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Dec06 Nov21 Oct21 Sep19 Aug26 (kirby t)RANGEL JOEZER 120 6.00    
9  DR RAGS Dec08 Nov12 Nov05 Oct19 Mar03 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Dec08 Nov09 Sep21 Sep02 Jun18 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00    
2  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Dec01 Nov08 Oct04 Sep15 Aug25 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  CABRA CHICA Nov15 Oct16 Sep23 Aug23 Aug06 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 120 5.00    
4  CHARM ALARM Dec08 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep22 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
5  CUT FROM CLASS Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Sep16 Aug12 (keil stev)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STASSI Nov29 Nov03 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
7  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Oct05 Aug30 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
8  EARLY FROST Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 Aug18 Jul26 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
SCR  POSITIVE FORCE Dec01 Nov22 Nov08 Oct27 Sep22 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTING THE GOLD Aug31 Feb08       (houghton )VARGAS L 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  SALVO TRIGGER Nov17 Oct26       (meister wil)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
3  CALL ME NOW Aug29 Aug07       (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00    
5  BROKENHEARTED Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 May03 Apr14 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
6  SUPER JO Dec06         (morris r)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
7  ROBO WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-6   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Nov24 Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 Jul20 (crane )SMITH DANIEL 116 20.00    
2  LYFE IS SIMPLE Dec05 Sep06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Dec08 Nov24 Oct26 Sep30 Sep20 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 30.00    
4  BUMBLE MONSTER Nov20 Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
5  WICKED IRISHMAN Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Sep20 Aug31 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  SPELLED WELL Dec08 Nov16 Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
7  HE IS BAD Dec08 Nov08 Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
8  MONEY MAKING KAZ Nov29 Nov09 Oct25 Aug23 May05 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
9  OVER THE BORDER Nov24 Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 Aug25 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLY HUSTLE Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
SCR  ANNETTE MARIE Dec04 Sep10 Sep03 Aug20 May13 (padilla hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 15.00    
SCR  EXPRESS LADY Oct27 Sep06 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (reynolds joa)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET Nov20 Nov11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
5  RISQUE'S JEWEL Dec11 Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 124 8.00    
6  HALLIGIRL Dec07 Nov09 Sep08 Aug30 Aug04 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
7  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Oct20 Oct09 Aug25 Jul12 Jun13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  MELODIA Jul05 Jun16 May26 Apr27 Mar31 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 5.00 8% 12.10    
9  DAILY BRIEFING Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 Sep20 Aug19 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.