Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.80  
PEN-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $15.00  
PEN-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
PEN-4   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-5   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
PEN-6   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-7   Win (3/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $36.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:15         1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGIE'S GIRL 3 1 1 12   1 1 (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 1.90  
NO COMMON CENT 2 6 42 22   2 2 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 25% 3.00 3.00 P
SHORT OF DINERO 1 3 2 34   36 39 (deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 2.50 25% 3.00 2.60 S
ROCK IT RUBY 5 2 3 4   412 418 (pessanha ney)INIRIO J 123 8.00 20% 4.10 12.40  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 4 5 5 512½   516 518¾ (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00 12.30  
PELOSI 6 4 611½ 623½   625 624¼ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 4.10  
 
PEN-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
1:14         1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEY SPECTER 5 1 12 1   13 1 (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 118 6.00 6.50  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 4 3 22 2   23 2 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 10.40  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 2 2 32 3   3 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 0.80  
TWIXTER 3 4 4 46   47 47 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
VINDICATO 1 5 55 510½   515 520¾ (pessanha ney)INIRIO J 122 4.00 17% 4.80 8.20  
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE               (deiter lynn)CORA D 121 20.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:154 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ CREED 5 1 13 1 1 1 1 (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.10 6.70 W
EAST AURORA 1 2 34 4 33 3 2 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 30.70  
EDDIE FELSON 2 5 4 3 2 2 34 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.20 S
FINAL OPPORTUNITY 6 4 23 2 4 4 413¼ (lawrence james )ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 76.50  
BRIGHT PATH 7 3 57 5 512½ 516½ 522 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 7.30  
MAX BARLEY 3 6 711½ 711¾ 616½ 621½ 630¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 12.90  
BELLS RUN 4 7 611 610¾ 717 724 739¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 25% 3.10 14.70  
SCR  CHANNEL KING               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:152     1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY REDEMPTION 4 6 6 3 21 1nk 1¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20 W
HONORABLE AVENUE 5 1 11 11 11 2nk 2¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 7.90  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI 6 2 21 21 31 3.2 3¾ (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 23% 3.30 2.90 S
COOL COMEDIAN 3 5 42 4 44 4 411¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 2.40  
SUPER DUDE 2 4 5 6 6 6 513½ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 11% 8.20 14.30  
NICK PAPAGIORGIO 1 3 31 52 56 5 614¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 4.60  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRETT'S WORLD 4 4 5 5   5 1nk (bravo-estrada)RAMOS C 120 10.00 12% 7.60 6.10 W
MAGIC SPIN 6 3 3 23   22 2nk (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.00 P
LANSDOWNE (GB) 2 1 1½ 13   12 3 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 1.50  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 3 6 6 611¼   611½ 4 (smith la)SMITH DANIEL 120 30.00 69.20  
BIG BROWN SHOES 5 5 4 33   35 511¾ (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 120 4.00 10.80  
GOLDEN ARM 1 2 2½ 4   4 613¼ (smith m)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00 24% 3.10 9.50  
SCR  MEAN MACHINE               (dimitriou harry )TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:14 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD VINE 1 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 1¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50 1.40 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS 7 6 5 43 4 3 2¼ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 9.50 P
UNCLE YUDI 6 7 710 66 6 4 3 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 10.70  
MAKE ME LUCKY 3 4 6 54 54 55 4 (stites willia)INIRIO J 120 15.00 40.90  
AMUSING MISCHIEF 2 3 32 2nk 2nk 2½ 5 (graham edward)CORA D 120 2.50 51% 1.00 3.50  
CERTAIN JUSTICE 4 1 4 31 33 6 6 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00 8.40  
REBEL RULER 5 5 1nk 79 7 721½ 752 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 8.80 2.80  
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER               (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SIS NIC 4 1 11 11 11 13 1 (murtough step)INIRIO J 121 6.00 17.20  
BRIEF 2 3 31 21 21 23 2 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 49% 1.10 4.10 P
MAKE A SPLASH 5 7 5 5 4 34 34 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 5.00 S
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 1 2 4 3 3 4 4 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00 10.60  
NANASQUAN 7 5 6 6 5 5 511 (spina charles)CORA D 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.40  
LET'S GO MO 6 6 7 7 610½ 615½ 621¼ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 18.30  
OMIKAMI 3 4 21 4 712½ 720½ 736¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 7% 13.80 0.80  
SCR  INCONTROVERTIBLE               (meister wil)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  MY SWEET SUMMER               (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.