Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $15.40 $9.40 157%
PEN-4   DD (3/5/6)-(4/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-4 $58.20 $40.20 223%
PEN-5   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $31.80 $19.80 165%
    DD (4/7/2)-(7/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-4 $55.00 $37.00 206%
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/7/2)-(7/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50  6-4-4 $120.80 $107.30 795%
PEN-6   EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-8 $37.40 $19.40 108%
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-2 $29.80 $11.80 66%
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(7/1/4)-(3/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-4-2 $40.60 $27.10 201%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGIE'S GIRL   (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 1.90  
NO COMMON CENT   (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 25% 3.00 3.00 P
SHORT OF DINERO   (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 2.50 25% 3.00 2.60 S
ROCK IT RUBY   (pessanha ne)INIRIO J 123 8.00 20% 4.10 12.40  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL   (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00 12.30  
PELOSI   (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 4.10  
 
PEN-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEY SPECTER   (geist )SMITH DANIEL 118 6.00 6.50  
ABBY'S SPIRIT   (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 10.40  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 0.80  
TWIXTER   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
VINDICATO   (pessanha ne)INIRIO J 122 4.00 17% 4.80 8.20  
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE   (deiter lynn)CORA D 121 20.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ CREED   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.10 6.70 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SHAREEHA by BERNARDINI)
EAST AURORA   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 30.70  
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
EDDIE FELSON   (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.20 S
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FINAL OPPORTUNITY   (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 76.50  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLE DELTA by DOUBLE HONOR)
BRIGHT PATH   (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 7.30  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of OFF MY CLOUD by BELONG TO ME)
MAX BARLEY   (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 12.90  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of PINK ELEPHANT by ACTIVIST)
BELLS RUN   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 25% 3.10 14.70  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
SCR  CHANNEL KING   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of K QUEEN by K ONE KING)
 
PEN-4   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY REDEMPTION   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20 W
HONORABLE AVENUE   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 7.90  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI   (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 23% 3.30 2.90 S
COOL COMEDIAN   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 2.40  
SUPER DUDE   (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 11% 8.20 14.30  
NICK PAPAGIORGIO   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 4.60  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL   (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRETT'S WORLD   (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 120 10.00 12% 7.60 6.10 W
MAGIC SPIN   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.00 P
LANSDOWNE (GB)   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 1.50  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER   (smith )SMITH DANIEL 120 30.00 69.20  
BIG BROWN SHOES   (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 120 4.00 10.80  
GOLDEN ARM   (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 119 5.00 24% 3.10 9.50  
SCR  MEAN MACHINE   (dimitriou harr)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD VINE   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50 1.40 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS   (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 9.50 P
UNCLE YUDI   (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 10.70  
MAKE ME LUCKY   (stites will)INIRIO J 120 15.00 40.90  
AMUSING MISCHIEF   (graham edward)CORA D 120 2.50 51% 1.00 3.50  
CERTAIN JUSTICE   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00 8.40  
REBEL RULER   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 8.80 2.80  
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER   (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SIS NIC   (murtough st)INIRIO J 121 6.00 17.20  
BRIEF   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 49% 1.10 4.10 P
MAKE A SPLASH   (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 5.00 S
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00 10.60  
NANASQUAN   (spina charles)CORA D 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.40  
LET'S GO MO   (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 18.30  
OMIKAMI   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 7% 13.80 0.80  
SCR  INCONTROVERTIBLE   (meister w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  MY SWEET SUMMER   (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.