The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.80 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $15.00 -4.00
PEN-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
PEN-4   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-5   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
PEN-6   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
PEN-7   Win (3/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $36.40 -6.00
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:15         1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUGIE'S GIRL 3 1 11½ 12   12½ 13½ (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 1.90  
2  NO COMMON CENT 2 6 42 22   22½ 23½ (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 25% 3.00 3.00 P
1  SHORT OF DINERO 1 3 21½ 34   36 39 (deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 2.50 25% 3.00 2.60 S
5  ROCK IT RUBY 5 2 31½ 46½   412 418 (pessanha ney)INIRIO J 123 8.00 20% 4.10 12.40  
4  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 4 5 57½ 512½   516 518¾ (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00 12.30  
6  PELOSI 6 4 611½ 623½   625 624¼ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 4.10  
 
PEN-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
1:14         1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HARVEY SPECTER 5 1 12 12½   13 14½ (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 118 6.00 ★ 6.50  
6  ABBY'S SPIRIT 4 3 22 22½   23 24½ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 10.40  
3  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 2 2 32 32½   34½ 35½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 0.80  
4  TWIXTER 3 4 42½ 46   47 47 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
2  VINDICATO 1 5 55 510½   515 520¾ (pessanha ney)INIRIO J 122 4.00 17% 4.80 8.20  
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE               (deiter lynn)CORA D 121 20.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:154 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAZ CREED 5 1 13 11½ 11½ 12½ 13¾ (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.10 6.70 W
2  EAST AURORA 1 2 34 41¾ 33 32½ 23¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 30.70  
3  EDDIE FELSON 2 5 44½ 31½ 21½ 22½ 34 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.20 S
7  FINAL OPPORTUNITY 6 4 23 21½ 46½ 49½ 413¼ (lawrence james )ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 76.50  
8  BRIGHT PATH 7 3 57 57¾ 512½ 516½ 522 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 7.30  
4  MAX BARLEY 3 6 711½ 711¾ 616½ 621½ 630¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 ★ 12.90  
5  BELLS RUN 4 7 611 610¾ 717 724 739¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 25% 3.10 14.70  
SCR  CHANNEL KING               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:152     1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY REDEMPTION 4 6 63¾ 31½ 21 1nk 1¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20 W
5  HONORABLE AVENUE 5 1 11 11 11 2nk 2¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 7.90  
7  HANALEI'S HOUDINI 6 2 21 21 31 3.2 3¾ (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 23% 3.30 2.90 S
3  COOL COMEDIAN 3 5 42 41½ 44 45¼ 411¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 2.40  
2  SUPER DUDE 2 4 52¼ 63½ 67½ 68¾ 513½ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 11% 8.20 14.30  
1  NICK PAPAGIORGIO 1 3 31 52 56 57¼ 614¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 4.60  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRETT'S WORLD 4 4 57½ 56¼   56½ 1nk (bravo-estrada)RAMOS C 120 10.00 12% 7.60 6.10 W
7  MAGIC SPIN 6 3 33½ 23   22 2nk (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.00 P
2  LANSDOWNE (GB) 2 1 1½ 13   12 32¼ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 1.50  
3  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 3 6 69½ 611¼   611½ 49½ (smith la)SMITH DANIEL 120 30.00 69.20  
6  BIG BROWN SHOES 5 5 44½ 33   35 511¾ (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 120 4.00 10.80  
1  GOLDEN ARM 1 2 2½ 43¼   45½ 613¼ (smith m)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00 24% 3.10 9.50  
SCR  MEAN MACHINE               (dimitriou harry )TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:14 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILD VINE 1 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 1¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50 1.40 W
8  SKIMBLE SHANKS 7 6 58½ 43 43½ 31½ 2¼ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 ★ 9.50 P
7  UNCLE YUDI 6 7 710 66 65½ 44½ 33¾ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 10.70  
4  MAKE ME LUCKY 3 4 69½ 54 54 55 44½ (stites willia)INIRIO J 120 15.00 40.90  
3  AMUSING MISCHIEF 2 3 32 2nk 2nk 2½ 55¼ (graham edward)CORA D 120 2.50 51% 1.00 3.50  
5  CERTAIN JUSTICE 4 1 43½ 31 33 66½ 69¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00 8.40  
6  REBEL RULER 5 5 1nk 79 78½ 721½ 752 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 8.80 2.80  
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER               (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG SIS NIC 4 1 11 11 11 13 13¼ (murtough step)INIRIO J 121 6.00 17.20  
3  BRIEF 2 3 31 21 21 23 23¼ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 49% 1.10 4.10 P
7  MAKE A SPLASH 5 7 52¾ 52¾ 42½ 34 34 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 ★ 5.00 S
1  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 1 2 42½ 32½ 32½ 44½ 44¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00 10.60  
9  NANASQUAN 7 5 64¼ 64¾ 55½ 59½ 511 (spina charles)CORA D 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.40  
8  LET'S GO MO 6 6 74¾ 75¼ 610½ 615½ 621¼ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 18.30  
4  OMIKAMI 3 4 21 42½ 712½ 720½ 736¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 7% 13.80 0.80  
SCR  INCONTROVERTIBLE               (meister wil)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  MY SWEET SUMMER               (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.