Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/2)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/5/6)-(4/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/7/2)-(7/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(7/1/4)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(3/2/6)-(3/9/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/8)-(3/2/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/4)-(3/9/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/4)-(3/9/7/4)-(3/9/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT OF DINERO Dec15 Nov17 Oct25     (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  NO COMMON CENT         (shea lydee)CORA D 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
3  AUGIE'S GIRL Dec14 Dec06 Nov07 Sep06 Aug11 (chacon gustavo)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00    
4  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Dec15 Nov30 Nov17     (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00    
5  ROCK IT RUBY         (pessanha )VARGAS L 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
6  PELOSI Nov17         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 3.00    
 
PEN-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE Dec14 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (deiter lynn)CORA D 121 20.00    
2  VINDICATO Sep16 Sep06 Aug18 Aug02 Jul17 (pessanha )VARGAS L 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
4  TWIXTER Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 Nov04 Oct12 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SUNSHINE HARRY Nov24 Nov08 Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
6  ABBY'S SPIRIT Dec13 Nov22 Sep13 Aug16 Jul13 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
7  HARVEY SPECTER Nov08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun22   (geist )SMITH DANIEL 118 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANNEL KING         (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of K QUEEN by K ONE KING)
2  EAST AURORA Dec07 Nov24 Nov10     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
3  EDDIE FELSON Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep08   (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MAX BARLEY Dec07 Nov24       (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 ★    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of PINK ELEPHANT by ACTIVIST)
5  BELLS RUN Nov24 Nov10       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
6  KAZ CREED Dec07         (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SHAREEHA by BERNARDINI)
7  FINAL OPPORTUNITY Oct28 Oct11       (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLE DELTA by DOUBLE HONOR)
8  BRIGHT PATH Nov29         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of OFF MY CLOUD by BELONG TO ME)
 
PEN-4   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICK PAPAGIORGIO Nov10 Oct14 Sep15 Aug23 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
2  SUPER DUDE Dec01 Nov10 Nov01 Oct03 Sep22 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
3  COOL COMEDIAN Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
4  MY REDEMPTION Nov08 Oct27 Oct10 Aug31 Jul27 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  HONORABLE AVENUE Nov21 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Dec13 Jan16 Dec20 Nov08 Sep26 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
7  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 Oct21 Aug26 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARM Dec08 Sep25 Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  LANSDOWNE (GB) Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 Nov18 Oct15 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80    
3  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Dec09 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 (smith m)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00    
4  BRETT'S WORLD Dec13 Nov06 Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  MEAN MACHINE Nov30 Nov02 Jul07 Jun09 May04 (dimitriou harr)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
6  BIG BROWN SHOES Oct21 Oct02 Sep06 Aug13 Jul12 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 120 4.00    
7  MAGIC SPIN Nov30 Nov02 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHY DA RUNNER Oct25 Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00    
2  WILD VINE Dec06 Nov17 Nov03 Sep15 Feb08 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  AMUSING MISCHIEF Aug09 Jul07 Jun14 Apr18 Mar27 (graham edward)CORA D 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  MAKE ME LUCKY Dec15 Nov03 Sep22     (stites will)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
5  CERTAIN JUSTICE Nov09 Oct12 Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00    
6  REBEL RULER Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
7  UNCLE YUDI Dec01 Nov09 Sep22 Aug02 Jun14 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
8  SKIMBLE SHANKS Nov30 Nov02 Oct26 Sep21 Aug18 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 Sep21 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00    
SCR  INCONTROVERTIBLE Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 (meister w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
3  BRIEF Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 Oct14 Sep22 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
4  OMIKAMI Dec06 Nov08 Oct11 Jun20 May29 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 7% 13.80    
5  BIG SIS NIC Dec06 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug24 (murtough st)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
SCR  MY SWEET SUMMER Dec15 Nov22 Nov13 Oct04 Aug22 (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
7  MAKE A SPLASH Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Sep06 Aug23 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 ★    
8  LET'S GO MO Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
9  NANASQUAN Nov10 Oct26 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 (spina charles)CORA D 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.