Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-7   TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-7 $15.87 $3.87 32%
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    EXA (9/1/5)-(9/1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $87.25 $75.25 627%
    TRI (9/1/5)-(9/1/5/2/6)-(9/1/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-5-6 $230.00 $212.00 1178%
    SFT (9/1/5)-(9/1/5/2/6)-(9/1/5/2/6)-(9/1/5/2/6) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-5-6-9 $295.80 $288.60 4008%
    DD (4/1/2/7)-(9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    PK3 (6/10/9/3)-(4/1/2/7)-(9/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  10-4-1 $95.50 $47.50 99%
AQU-10   EXA (1/4/7/11)-(1/4/7/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-7 $28.50 $12.50 78%
    TRI (1/4/7/11)-(1/4/7/11/10)-(1/4/7/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-7-1 $39.62 $15.62 65%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CLASS CAT 7 6 41 1nk   1 1 (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 2.50 17% 4.80 1.85 W
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 2 3 31 4   2 2 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00 3.15  
MAXING THE BANK 4 5 6 54   43 3 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 27.25  
STEPPIN' HAWK 1 1 1½ 2nk   3 4 (hosang oliver)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 11% 8.40 5.70  
OUR REWARD 5 2 2½ 3½   5 510¼ (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10.20  
DREAMING OF CARLI 3 4 5 6   6 613½ (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
UKRAINIAN PRINCESS 6 7 710¾ 721½   717½ 723¼ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 41% 1.50 3.75  
 
AQU-2   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:133 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL BANKER 2 4 5 52 41 1½ 1¾ (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 5.50  
BOURBON CHASE 5 6 6 4 2½ 2½ 2¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 P
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 6 2 3½ 2½ 1½ 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 14% 6.20 4.10 S
COLLOQUY 4 5 2½ 3 5 43 410¾ (morley thom)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 4.50 13% 6.80 8.90  
LOBSTA 3 1 1½ 1½ 31 5 516¾ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 10.00 5.40  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 1 3 4 64 622½ 645½ 6100 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 4.60  
 
AQU-3   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOULY 4 4 32 2   1 1 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 6.60  
WILL BE FAMOUS 6 1 12 1   2 2 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 3.50 33% 2.00 3.00 P
BELLE OF THE BALL 5 3 22 32   35 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 4.30  
JOLLY MISS JILL 7 2 4 5   5 4 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 26% 2.90 2.70  
LINCOLNVILLE BEACH 2 6 66 66   6 5 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 6.10  
DOLCE SERA 3 7 710 7   4 6 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
ANILEATE 1 5 5 4   710¾ 712½ (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 8% 12.10 4.50  
 
AQU-4   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLEUSE 4 5 3 21   1½ 1¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 39% 1.60 0.80 W
FRANNIE LEW 5 3 2½ 11   2½ 2¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 9.00  
GHOSTLY GIRL 3 4 4 43   36 3 (tos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00 37% 1.70 3.50 S
YANKEE AGATE 2 1 1½ 3   411 414½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70  
HYPNOCURRENCY 1 2 5 5   525 538¼ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 7.90  
SCR  IRISH JACKSON               (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
 
AQU-5   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 6 7 5 4   1 1 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00 11.10  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 5 2 11 1nk   2 2 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 14.80  
RED D G P 3 5 42 53   4 3 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 3.40  
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 1 6 6 6   56 47 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 47% 1.10 3.95  
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM 7 1 21 2nk   32 5 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 19.00 4.30  
SCOTTO 8 3 8 8   710 612½ (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 39.75  
AGILITY 2 8 32 31   67 714¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 29% 2.40 2.45  
HONED 4 4 7 79   816½ 826¾ (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7.60  
SCR  SCREAMING UNCLE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:003     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THAT'S MONEY 8 6 32 2½   1½ 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 30% 2.40 3.20 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of OUR HOPE DIAMOND by GEMOLOGIST)
SILVER SATIN 1 5 53 4   3 2 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.15  
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
IRISH TENOR 4 2 2nk 1½   2½ 3 (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 3.00 34% 1.90 2.45 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ROMANTIC CHARMER 7 8 7 8   6 4 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
FRENCH BANKER 3 3 4 5   4 510¼ (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FRENCH LINK by ORIENTATE (GB))
PERNO 5 1 1nk 32   5 621¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5.20  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
FELINE TREASURE 2 7 8 6   712½ 723½ (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 62.25  
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
UPTOMYKNEESINIT 6 4 64 7   812¾ 826¾ (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 11.90  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CALDWELL by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  IRIE MAN               (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of VERY ACCOMPLISHED by BORREGO)
SCR  TRIPLE WORD SCORE               (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-7   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Ruthless Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALINA'S FORTE 4 1 43 4   1nk 1 (bauer a)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 W
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
GHALIA PRINCESS 1 5 1nk 1½   2nk 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.80 2.25 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
VALUE AREA 7 3 65 53   3 3 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
LOW SOCIETY 5 7 710 713½   715½ 414¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 11.30  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOVE AND RESPECT by TIZNOW)
RECONCILE 2 2 2nk 2½   4 514¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 11% 7.80 3.35  
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
TIARELLA 3 6 3½ 3   611 616¾ (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 11.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
MOST OF ALL 6 4 5 6   510½ 718½ (mott will)VARGAS A 118 12.00 16.60  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-8   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE EMPRESS 1 4 86 6   43 1nk (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 23% 3.40 4.80 W
NEWSDLEY 5 3 1½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 24.75 P
LUNA'S SONG 6 5 3 5   6 3 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.55 S
GHOSTBUSTIN 9 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 42 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 52% 0.90 1.95  
LITTLE LINZEE 2 2 6 3   3 52 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 6.70  
MIM 8 8 42 42   5 6 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 7.10  
QUICK POWER NAP 7 6 53 76   7 7 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 35.50  
EASY PLAY 3 9 913 99   8 810 (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 10.00 19.60  
BUSSIA 4 7 75 8   910¼ 916¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 123 10.00 25.00  
 
AQU-9   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Broadway Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURITY CODE 6 3 3 3½   2 1¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
VENTI VALENTINE 4 5 4 4   3 2¼ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.80 2.55 P
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
KANT HURRY LOVE 5 2 1nk 2½   1 3 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 35% 1.90 3.10 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
SWEETEST PRINCESS 2 6 64 5   43 46 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 3 7 712 715   713½ 514¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 7.10  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LITTLE ROCKET by KOKAND)
MAJESTIC RETURN 7 1 2nk 1½   56 615¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 13% 6.70 3.10  
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
GOLDEN ROCKET 1 4 5 65   611 716¼ (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 15.10  
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
AQU-10   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:144 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS 3 4 5 4 32 1nk 1¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.85 W
SOUTH STREET 5 8 8 64 4 2nk 2¼ (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 6% 14.50 10.40 P
1A  DEPUTY CONNECT 8 9 9 9 8 6 3 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 3.00 45% 1.20 3.25 S
UNCLE WATER FLOW 4 3 7 8 6 54 47 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 4.20  
ARREBATO 2 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 3 5 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 6.40  
BARGAINING POWER 1 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 4 620¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 3.25  
10  GUARD OF HONOUR 7 6 4 53 7 812¼ 725½ (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 17.40  
11  OPPORTUNITY SET 9 7 6 31 5 710¼ 827¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
CONNECT THE BROCKS 6 5 3 74 9 913¼ 929 (bar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 30.00 54.25  
SCR  ICE ROAD               (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE               (persaud rand)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.