Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(5/6/4)-(6/7/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(6/5/3)-(1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/2/7)-(6/10/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6/10/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(6/10/3/9)-(4/1/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/10/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/9)-(6/10/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/9)-(6/10/3/9)-(6/10/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/3/9)-(4/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/9)-(4/1/2/7)-(9/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/7)-(9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/7)-(9/1/5)-(6/8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/5)-(9/1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/5)-(9/1/5/2/6)-(9/1/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/5)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5)-(6/8/5/2)-(1/4/7/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(1/4/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-10   WIN (1/4/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/11)-(1/4/7/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/11)-(1/4/7/11/10)-(1/4/7/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPPIN' HAWK Dec07 Jul09 May21 Apr02 Mar11 (hosang oliver)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
2  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 Nov10 Jul23 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00    
3  DREAMING OF CARLI Nov10 Jun23 May18     (barker edwar)HARKIE K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAXING THE BANK Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
5  OUR REWARD Jan07 Jan01       (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
6  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS Jun01 Apr23 Feb26 Jan27 Dec18 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
7  FIRST CLASS CAT Jan13 Dec30 Dec08     (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-2   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug20 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
2  GENERAL BANKER Jan28 Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 Oct15 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
3  LOBSTA Dec30 Dec03 Oct29 Sep20 Aug13 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
4  COLLOQUY Dec30 Dec03 Nov04 Oct04 Jul28 (morley thom)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 4.50 13% 6.80    
5  BOURBON CHASE Dec30 Nov18 Oct20 Sep17 Aug18 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
6  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Dec03 Nov04 Aug23 Jul07 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
AQU-3   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANILEATE Jan26 Dec28 Nov26 Oct12 Sep03 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
2  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
3  DOLCE SERA Jan18 Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 Oct08 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOULY Jan26 Dec30 Nov25 Oct12 Sep03 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
5  BELLE OF THE BALL Jan26 Jan19 Dec15 Oct22 Jan21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
6  WILL BE FAMOUS Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Nov03 Sep22 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  JOLLY MISS JILL Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 Aug12 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-4   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPNOCURRENCY Jan19 May19 Apr23 Mar12 Feb12 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES Feb11 Dec10 Sep21 Apr14 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
3  YANKEE AGATE Jan12 Dec29 Nov25 Jul12 Jun17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRISH JACKSON Dec30 Nov30 Apr30     (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
5  GHOSTLY GIRL Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Oct26 Oct07 (tos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
6  VOLEUSE Jan26 Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 Sep14 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  FRANNIE LEW Jan07 Jan20 Jan05 Dec16   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Mar18 Nov06 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  SCREAMING UNCLE Dec28 Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
2  AGILITY Jan13 Dec30 Jul15 May29 Apr22 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  RED D G P Nov24 Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
4  HONED Nov10 Oct19 Sep24 Oct30 Oct08 (atras rob)HARKIE K 120 6.00 ★    
5  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Feb10 Jan07 Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00    
6  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 Nov24 Nov02 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
7  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Dec01 Oct15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  SCOTTO Feb03 Jan06 Dec28 Dec17 Nov11 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
 
AQU-6   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SATIN         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  FELINE TREASURE         (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
3  FRENCH BANKER         (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FRENCH LINK by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  IRIE MAN Feb02 Dec29       (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of VERY ACCOMPLISHED by BORREGO)
SCR  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Jan13         (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
6  IRISH TENOR Jan18         (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  PERNO Jan07 Dec02       (bond harol)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
8  UPTOMYKNEESINIT Jan07 Dec02       (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CALDWELL by MALIBU MOON)
9  ROMANTIC CHARMER         (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
10  THAT'S MONEY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of OUR HOPE DIAMOND by GEMOLOGIST)
 
AQU-7   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Ruthless Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHALIA PRINCESS Jan20         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  RECONCILE Jan27 Dec17       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
3  TIARELLA Jan14         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
4  HALINA'S FORTE Dec23 Nov25 Nov05     (bauer a)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  LOW SOCIETY Jan01 Nov26 Oct28 Sep24   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOVE AND RESPECT by TIZNOW)
6  MOST OF ALL Jan13 Dec02 Oct20 Sep03 Aug20 (mott will)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
7  VALUE AREA Jan27 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep17 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
AQU-8   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE EMPRESS Jan12 Dec29 Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
2  LITTLE LINZEE Jan12 Dec29 Dec03 Aug27 Jul19 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 ★    
3  EASY PLAY Jan26 Dec29 Dec03 Nov14 Oct03 (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 10.00    
4  BUSSIA Dec07 Oct12 Jul22     (bond harol)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
5  NEWSDLEY Dec29 Dec01 Nov03 Sep22 Aug31 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUNA'S SONG Oct06 Sep05       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  QUICK POWER NAP Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 Sep22 Sep10 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
8  MIM Jan26 Jan04 Dec08 Nov09 Oct06 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
9  GHOSTBUSTIN Jan26 Jan05 Dec07     (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-9   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Broadway Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ROCKET Feb02 Dec31 Dec07 Nov09 Oct13 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS Feb02 Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 Oct27 Sep24 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jan19 Dec31 Nov14 Oct24 Oct02 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LITTLE ROCKET by KOKAND)
5  VENTI VALENTINE Dec28 Dec02 Oct29 Oct02 Aug09 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  KANT HURRY LOVE Dec09 Nov05 Aug11 Jun25 May12 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
7  SECURITY CODE Jan05 Dec10 Nov05 Oct07 Sep01 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
8  MAJESTIC RETURN Jan04 Nov16 Sep24 Sep02 Jul09 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
AQU-10   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARGAINING POWER Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Oct05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
1A  DEPUTY CONNECT Feb03 Dec28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  ARREBATO Jan06 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Jul04 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep21 Aug17 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
4  MEMPHIS Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec15 Nov09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE Jan14 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
6  UNCLE WATER FLOW Jan14 Dec03 Nov11 Oct15 May11 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
7  SOUTH STREET Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 6% 14.50    
8  CONNECT THE BROCKS Dec28 Oct31 Oct02 Jul25 Jun27 (bar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  ICE ROAD Feb03 Dec28 Nov25 Oct21 Aug31 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
10  GUARD OF HONOUR Jan27 Dec17 Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 ★    
11  OPPORTUNITY SET Feb03 Jan11 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.