Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.30  
AQU-2   Win (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $60.00  
AQU-3   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
AQU-4   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60
AQU-5   Win (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $42.20  
AQU-6   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
AQU-7   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
AQU-8   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $22.40  
AQU-9   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80  
AQU-10   Win (5/9/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT-11:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTFUL LILY 2 1 2½ 1nk   1 114½ (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 8.00 3.65  
EASTERN STAR 1 2 1½ 2nk   2 214½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.55 P
ECHO IN ETERNITY 5 6 3 3   311½ 319 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.50 S
SHE'S A NATURAL 4 5 64 47   413 422 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 9.40  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 3 3 4 5   514 526 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19% 4.30 5.60  
HAPPY'S SMILE 6 4 52 610½   618½ 634¾ (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.35  
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
SCR  MONETARY MONARCH               (lugovich l)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTAVO 3 4 5 53 53 23 1½ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 29.00  
KEYSTONE FIELD 7 7 41 4 1½ 13 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.85 P
SIMPLY 6 5 7 7 66 6 3 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 3.50 18% 4.60 4.40 S
FORTY TWO ACE 1 1 2nk 1 2½ 3 48 (baker charl)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
DURKIN'S CALL 4 3 1nk 2 42 56 5 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
LORD GATLING 2 2 3½ 32 32 4 610 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00 19.80  
ALFIO 8 6 62 6 78 712 712¼ (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 23.70  
HANG TIGHT 5 8 814½ 818½ 815 818½ 820¼ (romero jesus)RIVERA R 115 12.00 30.50  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
See original race card.
:23 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERGEN 5 2 4 2nk   12 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.90 W
IRIDESCENT 2 3 2nk 1nk   22 2 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 3.85  
AIR CAV 4 4 53 4   3 312 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 5.50 S
EL DIVINO NINO 1 1 1nk 31   410½ 417 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00 33.75  
STOLEN MAGIC 3 5 31 5   514½ 525¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 37% 1.70 2.60  
 
AQU-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 5 2 11 1½   13 1 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
CUANDO 3 6 53 3   23 2 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 2.70  
FIRST TRUMPET 6 3 21 2½   4 3 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 55.00  
MUAZARAH 2 5 6 4   3 4 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5.60  
COOL OPERATOR 4 1 31 7   6 5 (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
MIDDLE MARKET 7 7 86 87   810¼ 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60 5.70  
HAVE YOU HEARD 8 8 7 63   5 79 (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00 2.05  
SOUNDS LIKE FUN 1 4 4 5   710 812¼ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 68.50  
 
AQU-5   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH BOY AL 3 7 710¼ 69   3 1 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 20.10  
LIGHT MAN 7 5 22 24   2 2 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.00 2.65 P
KAZ SUGAR BANK 1 6 813¼ 711½   4 34 (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 4.40  
DONEGAL SURGES 6 8 6 5   7 4 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
ICY FLAVOR 4 2 12 14   1 5 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 1.80 34% 2.00 2.65  
BOURBON'S HOPE 2 3 45 4   5 69 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 52.00  
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 5 4 32 3   6 710¼ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 10.80  
FLOWING RIVER 8 1 5 815½   815¼ 828¼ (barrow pau)DAVIS A 123 15.00 23.10  
 
AQU-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALUE AREA 6 4 2nk 1   1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 34% 2.00 0.65 W
BEST IMPRESSION 1 6 56 2   2nk 2¼ (serpe m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 13.30  
GROWTH RATE 4 2 32 3   3 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 4.70  
YOU'RE FOREVER 2 1 1nk 4   48 413¾ (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 11.10  
MARTINGALE 3 3 4 5   521 554½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
SHAKE THE SUGAR 5 5 6 6   625 667 (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 19% 4.20 11.60  
SCR  GATE SONG               (allard t)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  PATRICIA ANN               (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  PROFITUNITY               (alvarado diane)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKER'S CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 52% 0.90 1.00 W
BOLD ENDEAVOR 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2nk (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.50 P
UN OJO 4 6 32 5 31 31 3 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.20  
TRAFALGAR 7 7 7 710½ 6 64 4 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20 4.20  
ALTERNATE REALITY 2 5 6 65 54 4 5 (chatterpau)DAVIS A 123 20.00 34.00  
STOLEN BASE 1 4 5 3 4 54 69 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
CHAMPIONS DREAM 3 3 42 4 7 710½ 722¾ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5.60  
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:401   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCCO STRONG 5 2 3 3 3 1 1 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10.20  
OVERSTEP 6 3 2½ 21 2 2 2 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 36% 1.80 2.85 P
MACALLAN 3 5 6 67 6 4 35 (pletcher a)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 11% 7.80 3.55 S
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 1 4 4 55 5 3 47 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 10.30  
SUERTE 2 6 5 4 43 68 516¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
MAMA'S GOLD 4 1 1½ 11 1 5 618¼ (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 3.20  
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)               (ginter jr)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY               (nevin michelle)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
SCR  SUPREME BEING               (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 50.00    
 
AQU-9   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE 2 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 3.40  
DR B 4 3 32 31   2nk 2½ (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 20% 4.00 2.40 P
AIN'T BROKE 6 2 6 42   3½ 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.50 S
WHITE CHOCOLATE 1 5 1½ 1nk   47 414¾ (summers ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.70 4.30  
MOSIENKO 5 1 53 6   58 516 (lalman denni)RIVERA R 118 15.00 18.30  
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 3 6 4 5   69 616¼ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 25.50  
SCR  ROSEBUG               (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
 
AQU-10   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDINGTON 3 3 1½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 1½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 26% 2.90 2.40 W
12  MAGICAL WAYS 11 8 8 5 42 2½ 2½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 9.10  
13  BARNSTORMING 13 9 9 8 55 5 34 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 15.00  
NIGHT EFFECT 1 1 2½ 1½ 2½ 41 4 (younghans will)HARKIE K 123 15.00 28.50  
1A  MANDATORY 12 7 4¾ 4¾ 3½ 31 5 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.40 4.10  
MAGIA NERA 4 10 6 6 66 6 6 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.30  
HE'S GOT IT 6 5 10 10 9 78 79 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 4.10  
10  MODERN ERA (AUS) 9 12 1316¾ 1317¾ 1316 910½ 8 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 50.00 42.75  
VON HOFF 2 2 3½ 3½ 7 8 914 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
NEUSCHWANSTEIN 7 4 5 9 1012 1111¾ 1015¾ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
11  JUNGFRAU 10 13 11 11 1112½ 1212¾ 1115¾ (bernardini juan )LUZZI J 120 20.00 29.75  
ASSUME NOTHING 8 6 7 7 88 1010¾ 1217 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.10 8.20  
GUARD OF HONOUR 5 11 1216¼ 1216¾ 1215 1312¾ 1317½ (belsoeur yv)CAMACHO JR 123 50.00 81.00  
SCR  THANK YOU JON               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.