The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.30 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $60.00 -8.00
AQU-3   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
AQU-4   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60
AQU-5   Win (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $42.20 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -2.70
AQU-7   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
AQU-8   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $22.40 -6.00
AQU-9   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
AQU-10   Win (5/9/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -3.20
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT-11:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPEIGHTFUL LILY 2 1 2½ 1nk   15½ 114½ (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 8.00 3.65  
1  EASTERN STAR 1 2 1½ 2nk   25½ 214½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.55 P
7  ECHO IN ETERNITY 5 6 31½ 35½   311½ 319 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.50 S
5  SHE'S A NATURAL 4 5 64 47   413 422 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 9.40  
4  MOONLIT WEEKEND 3 3 41½ 57½   514 526 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19% 4.30 5.60  
8  HAPPY'S SMILE 6 4 52 610½   618½ 634¾ (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.35  
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
SCR  MONETARY MONARCH               (lugovich l)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CENTAVO 3 4 51½ 53 53 23 1½ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 29.00  
8  KEYSTONE FIELD 7 7 41 42½ 1½ 13 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.85 P
7  SIMPLY 6 5 76½ 76½ 66 67½ 37½ (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 3.50 18% 4.60 4.40 S
1  FORTY TWO ACE 1 1 2nk 11½ 2½ 34½ 48 (baker charl)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
5  DURKIN'S CALL 4 3 1nk 21½ 42 56 58½ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
2  LORD GATLING 2 2 3½ 32 32 45½ 610 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00 19.80  
9  ALFIO 8 6 62 64½ 78 712 712¼ (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 23.70  
6  HANG TIGHT 5 8 814½ 818½ 815 818½ 820¼ (romero jesus)RIVERA R 115 12.00 30.50  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
See original race card.
:23 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BERGEN 5 2 41½ 2nk   12 15¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.90 W
2  IRIDESCENT 2 3 2nk 1nk   22 25¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 3.85  
4  AIR CAV 4 4 53 41½   37½ 312 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 5.50 S
1  EL DIVINO NINO 1 1 1nk 31   410½ 417 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00 33.75  
3  STOLEN MAGIC 3 5 31 52½   514½ 525¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 37% 1.70 2.60  
 
AQU-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 5 2 11 1½   13 14¼ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
3  CUANDO 3 6 53 31½   23 24¼ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 2.70  
6  FIRST TRUMPET 6 3 21 2½   44½ 35¼ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 55.00  
2  MUAZARAH 2 5 63½ 42½   33½ 47½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5.60  
4  COOL OPERATOR 4 1 31 74½   67½ 58¼ (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
7  MIDDLE MARKET 7 7 86 87   810¼ 68¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60 5.70  
8  HAVE YOU HEARD 8 8 75½ 63   54½ 79 (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00 2.05  
1  SOUNDS LIKE FUN 1 4 42½ 52½   710 812¼ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 68.50  
 
AQU-5   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEACH BOY AL 3 7 710¼ 69   33½ 13½ (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 20.10  
7  LIGHT MAN 7 5 22 24   23½ 23½ (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.00 2.65 P
1  KAZ SUGAR BANK 1 6 813¼ 711½   45½ 34 (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 4.40  
6  DONEGAL SURGES 6 8 66¾ 57½   77¼ 47½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
4  ICY FLAVOR 4 2 12 14   13½ 58¼ (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 1.80 34% 2.00 2.65  
2  BOURBON'S HOPE 2 3 45 46½   55¾ 69 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 52.00  
5  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 5 4 32 36½   66¼ 710¼ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 10.80  
8  FLOWING RIVER 8 1 55¼ 815½   815¼ 828¼ (barrow pau)DAVIS A 123 15.00 23.10  
 
AQU-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VALUE AREA 6 4 2nk 12½   1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 34% 2.00 0.65 W
2  BEST IMPRESSION 1 6 56 22½   2nk 2¼ (serpe m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 13.30  
6  GROWTH RATE 4 2 32 32½   34½ 35¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 4.70  
3  YOU'RE FOREVER 2 1 1nk 42¾   48 413¾ (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 11.10  
4  MARTINGALE 3 3 43½ 55¾   521 554½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
7  SHAKE THE SUGAR 5 5 66½ 66¼   625 667 (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 19% 4.20 11.60  
SCR  GATE SONG               (allard t)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  PATRICIA ANN               (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  PROFITUNITY               (alvarado diane)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAKER'S CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 52% 0.90 1.00 W
7  BOLD ENDEAVOR 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2nk (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 6.50 P
5  UN OJO 4 6 32 52½ 31 31 31¼ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.20  
8  TRAFALGAR 7 7 78¼ 710½ 67½ 64 41¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20 4.20  
2  ALTERNATE REALITY 2 5 64¼ 65 54 43½ 57¼ (chatterpau)DAVIS A 123 20.00 34.00  
1  STOLEN BASE 1 4 52¼ 31½ 43½ 54 69 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
3  CHAMPIONS DREAM 3 3 42 42½ 78½ 710½ 722¾ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5.60  
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2024 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:401   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCCO STRONG 5 2 32½ 33½ 32½ 12½ 14¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10.20  
7  OVERSTEP 6 3 2½ 21 21½ 22½ 24¾ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 36% 1.80 2.85 P
3  MACALLAN 3 5 67½ 67 66½ 45½ 35 (pletcher a)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 11% 7.80 3.55 S
1  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 1 4 44½ 55 54½ 34½ 47 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 10.30  
2  SUERTE 2 6 54½ 44½ 43 68 516¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
4  MAMA'S GOLD 4 1 1½ 11 11½ 56½ 618¼ (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 3.20  
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)               (ginter jr)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY               (nevin michelle)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
SCR  SUPREME BEING               (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 50.00    
 
AQU-9   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOT FUDGE 2 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 3.40  
4  DR B 4 3 32 31   2nk 2½ (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 20% 4.00 2.40 P
7  AIN'T BROKE 6 2 63½ 42   3½ 35½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.50 S
1  WHITE CHOCOLATE 1 5 1½ 1nk   47 414¾ (summers ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.70 4.30  
5  MOSIENKO 5 1 53 63½   58 516 (lalman denni)RIVERA R 118 15.00 18.30  
3  SECRET LOVE (ARG) 3 6 42½ 52½   69 616¼ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 25.50  
SCR  ROSEBUG               (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
 
AQU-10   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REDDINGTON 3 3 1½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 1½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 26% 2.90 2.40 W
12  MAGICAL WAYS 11 8 83¼ 52¼ 42 2½ 2½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 9.10  
13  BARNSTORMING 13 9 94¼ 86¼ 55 53½ 34 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 15.00  
3  NIGHT EFFECT 1 1 2½ 1½ 2½ 41 44¾ (younghans will)HARKIE K 123 15.00 28.50  
1A  MANDATORY 12 7 4¾ 4¾ 3½ 31 55¾ (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.40 4.10  
6  MAGIA NERA 4 10 62¾ 62¾ 66 66½ 68½ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.30  
1  HE'S GOT IT 6 5 107¼ 107¾ 99½ 78 79 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 4.10  
10  MODERN ERA (AUS) 9 12 1316¾ 1317¾ 1316 910½ 89½ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 50.00 42.75  
4  VON HOFF 2 2 3½ 3½ 76½ 88½ 914 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
8  NEUSCHWANSTEIN 7 4 51¼ 96¼ 1012 1111¾ 1015¾ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
11  JUNGFRAU 10 13 119¾ 118¾ 1112½ 1212¾ 1115¾ (bernardini juan )LUZZI J 120 20.00 29.75  
9  ASSUME NOTHING 8 6 73¼ 75¼ 88 1010¾ 1217 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.10 8.20  
7  GUARD OF HONOUR 5 11 1216¼ 1216¾ 1215 1312¾ 1317½ (belsoeur yv)CAMACHO JR 123 50.00 81.00  
SCR  THANK YOU JON               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.