Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $18.60 $10.60 133%
    DD (5/3/4)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-5 $24.20 $12.20 102%
AQU-7   EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-7 $10.90 $1.90 21%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT-11:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPEIGHTFUL LILY 2 1 2½ 1nk   15½ 114½ (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 8.00 3.65  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  EASTERN STAR 1 2 1½ 2nk   25½ 214½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.55 P
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
7  ECHO IN ETERNITY 5 6 31½ 35½   311½ 319 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.50 S
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  SHE'S A NATURAL 4 5 64 47   413 422 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 9.40  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
4  MOONLIT WEEKEND 3 3 41½ 57½   514 526 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19% 4.30 5.60  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
8  HAPPY'S SMILE 6 4 52 610½   618½ 634¾ (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.35  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  MONETARY MONARCH               (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
 
AQU-2   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CENTAVO 3 4 51½ 53 53 23 1½ (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 29.00  
8  KEYSTONE FIELD 7 7 41 42½ 1½ 13 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.85 P
7  SIMPLY 6 5 76½ 76½ 66 67½ 37½ (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 3.50 18% 4.60 4.40 S
1  FORTY TWO ACE 1 1 2nk 11½ 2½ 34½ 48 (baker cha)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
5  DURKIN'S CALL 4 3 1nk 21½ 42 56 58½ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
2  LORD GATLING 2 2 3½ 32 32 45½ 610 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00 19.80  
9  ALFIO 8 6 62 64½ 78 712 712¼ (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 23.70  
6  HANG TIGHT 5 8 814½ 818½ 815 818½ 820¼ (romero jes)RIVERA R 115 12.00 30.50  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
See original race card.
:23 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BERGEN 5 2 41½ 2nk   12 15¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.90 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  IRIDESCENT 2 3 2nk 1nk   22 25¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 3.85  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RESOLU by SMART STRIKE)
4  AIR CAV 4 4 53 41½   37½ 312 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 5.50 S
  (by MITOLE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  EL DIVINO NINO 1 1 1nk 31   410½ 417 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00 33.75  
  (by IMAGINING out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
3  STOLEN MAGIC 3 5 31 52½   514½ 525¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 37% 1.70 2.60  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
 
AQU-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 5 2 11 1½   13 14¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  CUANDO 3 6 53 31½   23 24¼ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 2.70  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
6  FIRST TRUMPET 6 3 21 2½   44½ 35¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 55.00  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
2  MUAZARAH 2 5 63½ 42½   33½ 47½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
4  COOL OPERATOR 4 1 31 74½   67½ 58¼ (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SIREN'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  MIDDLE MARKET 7 7 86 87   810¼ 68¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60 5.70  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
8  HAVE YOU HEARD 8 8 75½ 63   54½ 79 (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00 2.05  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
1  SOUNDS LIKE FUN 1 4 42½ 52½   710 812¼ (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 68.50  
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
 
AQU-5   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEACH BOY AL 3 7 710¼ 69   33½ 13½ (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 20.10  
7  LIGHT MAN 7 5 22 24   23½ 23½ (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.00 2.65 P
1  KAZ SUGAR BANK 1 6 813¼ 711½   45½ 34 (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 4.40  
6  DONEGAL SURGES 6 8 66¾ 57½   77¼ 47½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
4  ICY FLAVOR 4 2 12 14   13½ 58¼ (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 115 1.80 34% 2.00 2.65  
2  BOURBON'S HOPE 2 3 45 46½   55¾ 69 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 52.00  
5  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 5 4 32 36½   66¼ 710¼ (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 10.80  
8  FLOWING RIVER 8 1 55¼ 815½   815¼ 828¼ (barrow p)DAVIS A 123 15.00 23.10  
 
AQU-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VALUE AREA 6 4 2nk 12½   1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 34% 2.00 0.65 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
2  BEST IMPRESSION 1 6 56 22½   2nk 2¼ (serpe m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 13.30  
  (by UNION RAGS out of DELICATE LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
6  GROWTH RATE 4 2 32 32½   34½ 35¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 4.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
3  YOU'RE FOREVER 2 1 1nk 42¾   48 413¾ (falcone rober)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 11.10  
  (by FIRING LINE out of APRIL'S PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
4  MARTINGALE 3 3 43½ 55¾   521 554½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  SHAKE THE SUGAR 5 5 66½ 66¼   625 667 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 19% 4.20 11.60  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIDING by POSSE)
SCR  GATE SONG               (allard edward )LUZZI J 120 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
SCR  PATRICIA ANN               (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
SCR  PROFITUNITY               (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of PICK THE DOUBLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
AQU-7   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAKER'S CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 52% 0.90 1.00 W
7  BOLD ENDEAVOR 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2nk (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 6.50 P
5  UN OJO 4 6 32 52½ 31 31 31¼ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.20  
8  TRAFALGAR 7 7 78¼ 710½ 67½ 64 41¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20 4.20  
2  ALTERNATE REALITY 2 5 64¼ 65 54 43½ 57¼ (chatterp)DAVIS A 123 20.00 34.00  
1  STOLEN BASE 1 4 52¼ 31½ 43½ 54 69 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
3  CHAMPIONS DREAM 3 3 42 42½ 78½ 710½ 722¾ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5.60  
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:401   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCCO STRONG 5 2 32½ 33½ 32½ 12½ 14¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10.20  
7  OVERSTEP 6 3 2½ 21 21½ 22½ 24¾ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 36% 1.80 2.85 P
3  MACALLAN 3 5 67½ 67 66½ 45½ 35 (pletcher todd)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 11% 7.80 3.55 S
1  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 1 4 44½ 55 54½ 34½ 47 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 10.30  
2  SUERTE 2 6 54½ 44½ 43 68 516¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
4  MAMA'S GOLD 4 1 1½ 11 11½ 56½ 618¼ (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 3.20  
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)               (ginter raymond )DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY               (nevin michel)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
SCR  SUPREME BEING               (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 50.00    
 
AQU-9   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOT FUDGE 2 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 3.40  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  DR B 4 3 32 31   2nk 2½ (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 20% 4.00 2.40 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  AIN'T BROKE 6 2 63½ 42   3½ 35½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.50 S
  (by DIALED IN out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
1  WHITE CHOCOLATE 1 5 1½ 1nk   47 414¾ (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.70 4.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
5  MOSIENKO 5 1 53 63½   58 516 (lalman den)RIVERA R 118 15.00 18.30  
  (by HAT TRICK out of EXCLUSIVELY YOURS by DEERHOUND)
3  SECRET LOVE (ARG) 3 6 42½ 52½   69 616¼ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 25.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXOTIC DESIGN by A.P. INDY)
SCR  ROSEBUG               (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAITTINGER ROSE by MENIFEE)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
 
AQU-10   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REDDINGTON 3 3 1½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 1½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 26% 2.90 2.40 W
12  MAGICAL WAYS 11 8 83¼ 52¼ 42 2½ 2½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 9.10  
13  BARNSTORMING 13 9 94¼ 86¼ 55 53½ 34 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 15.00  
3  NIGHT EFFECT 1 1 2½ 1½ 2½ 41 44¾ (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 15.00 28.50  
1A  MANDATORY 12 7 4¾ 4¾ 3½ 31 55¾ (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.40 4.10  
6  MAGIA NERA 4 10 62¾ 62¾ 66 66½ 68½ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.30  
1  HE'S GOT IT 6 5 107¼ 107¾ 99½ 78 79 (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 4.10  
10  MODERN ERA (AUS) 9 12 1316¾ 1317¾ 1316 910½ 89½ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 50.00 42.75  
4  VON HOFF 2 2 3½ 3½ 76½ 88½ 914 (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
8  NEUSCHWANSTEIN 7 4 51¼ 96¼ 1012 1111¾ 1015¾ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
11  JUNGFRAU 10 13 119¾ 118¾ 1112½ 1212¾ 1115¾ (bernardini jua)LUZZI J 120 20.00 29.75  
9  ASSUME NOTHING 8 6 73¼ 75¼ 88 1010¾ 1217 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.10 8.20  
7  GUARD OF HONOUR 5 11 1216¼ 1216¾ 1215 1312¾ 1317½ (belsoeur )CAMACHO JR 123 50.00 81.00  
SCR  THANK YOU JON               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.