Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/1)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(8/4/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(8/4/7/5)-(4/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/5)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/5)-(4/6/7/2)-(8/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/2)-(8/4/7)-(6/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/7)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7)-(6/8/1)-(7/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/7)-(6/8/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(7/2/3)-(7/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(7/4/1)-(5/9/1/4/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(5/9/1/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-10   WIN (5/9/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/4/8)-(5/9/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/4/8)-(5/9/1/4/8)-(5/9/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN STAR Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct26   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
SPEIGHTFUL LILY         (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FOXY CARA Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep24 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MOONLIT WEEKEND Jan05 Dec07       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
SHE'S A NATURAL Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Sep24 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  MONETARY MONARCH Jan05 Nov19 Oct12     (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
ECHO IN ETERNITY Jun16 Apr29       (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
HAPPY'S SMILE Jan05 Nov21 Dec03     (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
 
AQU-2   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY TWO ACE Jan01 Oct21 Sep21 Jul19 Jun03 (baker cha)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LORD GATLING Jan01 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00    
CENTAVO Jan12 Jan01 Dec15 Aug02 Jul22 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER Jan04 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May11 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
DURKIN'S CALL Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HANG TIGHT Jan04 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (romero jes)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
SIMPLY Dec07 Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
KEYSTONE FIELD Jan12 Nov15 Oct14 Aug06 Jul08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 54% 0.90    
ALFIO Dec10 Nov12 Sep14 Aug13 Aug05 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DIVINO NINO Dec30 Dec03 Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
IRIDESCENT Jan05 Nov30 Oct29 Aug31 Aug11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RESOLU by SMART STRIKE)
STOLEN MAGIC Nov17 Sep28 Sep02     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
AIR CAV Oct07 Aug30       (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
BERGEN Nov25 Oct07       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS LIKE FUN Nov09         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
MUAZARAH Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 Aug27   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
CUANDO         (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
COOL OPERATOR Dec02         (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SIREN'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Dec16 Nov04 Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 (martin car)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FIRST TRUMPET Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
MIDDLE MARKET Oct27 Aug19       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
HAVE YOU HEARD Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct21   (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
 
AQU-5   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Aug10 Jul12 (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
BOURBON'S HOPE Jan12 Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Nov03 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH BOY AL Dec30 Nov21 Nov08 Sep20 Sep04 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
ICY FLAVOR Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep01 (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 115 1.80 34% 2.00    
MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan06 Dec07       (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
DONEGAL SURGES Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 Aug11   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
LIGHT MAN Jul17         (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
FLOWING RIVER Nov08 Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 Jul10 (barrow p)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROFITUNITY         (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of PICK THE DOUBLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
BEST IMPRESSION         (serpe m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DELICATE LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
YOU'RE FOREVER Nov12         (falcone rober)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of APRIL'S PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
MARTINGALE Dec07 Sep17       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  PATRICIA ANN Dec30         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
GROWTH RATE Aug20         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
SHAKE THE SUGAR Dec08         (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIDING by POSSE)
VALUE AREA Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep17 Aug06 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
SCR  GATE SONG Dec29         (allard edward )LUZZI J 120 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
 
AQU-7   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN BASE Dec29 Oct14 Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATE REALITY Jan12 Dec16 Nov14 Oct08 Sep21 (chatterp)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
CHAMPIONS DREAM Aug26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Nov06 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
UN OJO Dec30 Dec03 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
MAKER'S CANDY Dec17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug27 Jul17 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 52% 0.90    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Dec29 Nov26 Oct26 Oct01 Sep21 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
TRAFALGAR Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 Oct01 Sep14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 Oct05 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SUERTE Dec30 Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
MACALLAN Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 Apr09 Feb12 (pletcher todd)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
MAMA'S GOLD Jan13 Dec03 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  SUPREME BEING Dec17 Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 Sep24 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 50.00    
ROCCO STRONG Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Sep21 Aug10 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
OVERSTEP Dec30 Dec02 Feb19 Jan26   (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Dec30 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 Sep15 (ginter raymond )DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug20 (nevin michel)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE CHOCOLATE Dec10 Nov20 Oct07 Aug25 Dec15 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
HOT FUDGE Dec09 Dec01 Jun16 May07 Apr16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SECRET LOVE (ARG) Dec17 Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 Dec02 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXOTIC DESIGN by A.P. INDY)
DR B Dec02 Sep23 Aug26 Jul26 Jun17 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
MOSIENKO Dec17 Dec01 Oct12 Aug19 Jul20 (lalman den)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
  (by HAT TRICK out of EXCLUSIVELY YOURS by DEERHOUND)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
AIN'T BROKE Dec14 Nov26 Sep21 Aug18 Jul22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
SCR  ROSEBUG Nov20 Oct12 Jul21 Jun16 May12 (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAITTINGER ROSE by MENIFEE)
 
AQU-10   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT IT Jan04 Dec10 Nov11 Nov02 Sep14 (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
1A  MANDATORY Dec29 Dec02 May13 Apr20 Mar24 (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  THANK YOU JON Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
NIGHT EFFECT Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 Jun30 Jun02 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
VON HOFF Dec29 Nov25       (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
REDDINGTON Jan01 Nov23 Jun24 Apr29 Mar30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
MAGIA NERA Jun23 Jun02 Mar31 Feb11 Jan13 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
GUARD OF HONOUR Dec17 Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 (belsoeur )CAMACHO JR 123 50.00    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jan01 Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ASSUME NOTHING Dec29 Nov26 Oct08 Aug05 Jul10 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.10    
10  MODERN ERA (AUS) Jan09 Dec19 Dec05 Nov11 Sep23 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 50.00    
11  JUNGFRAU Dec28 Sep17 Jun02 Apr01 Feb11 (bernardini jua)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
12  MAGICAL WAYS Dec30 Nov09 Oct21 Oct15 Aug10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
13  BARNSTORMING Jan01 Nov01 Oct06 Nov26   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.