Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-10   Win (5/9/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT-11:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN STAR Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct26   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SPEIGHTFUL LILY         (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 8.00    
SCR  FOXY CARA Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep24 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
MOONLIT WEEKEND Jan05 Dec07       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
SHE'S A NATURAL Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Sep24 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
SCR  MONETARY MONARCH Jan05 Nov19 Oct12     (lugovich l)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Jun16 Apr29       (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
HAPPY'S SMILE Jan05 Nov21 Dec03     (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
 
AQU-2   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY TWO ACE Jan01 Oct21 Sep21 Jul19 Jun03 (baker charl)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LORD GATLING Jan01 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00    
CENTAVO Jan12 Jan01 Dec15 Aug02 Jul22 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER Jan04 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May11 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
DURKIN'S CALL Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HANG TIGHT Jan04 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
SIMPLY Dec07 Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
KEYSTONE FIELD Jan12 Nov15 Oct14 Aug06 Jul08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 54% 0.90    
ALFIO Dec10 Nov12 Sep14 Aug13 Aug05 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
AQU-3   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Jimmy Winkfield Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DIVINO NINO Dec30 Dec03 Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
IRIDESCENT Jan05 Nov30 Oct29 Aug31 Aug11 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
STOLEN MAGIC Nov17 Sep28 Sep02     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
AIR CAV Oct07 Aug30       (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
BERGEN Nov25 Oct07       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS LIKE FUN Nov09         (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
MUAZARAH Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 Aug27   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
CUANDO         (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
COOL OPERATOR Dec02         (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Dec16 Nov04 Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST TRUMPET Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
MIDDLE MARKET Oct27 Aug19       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
HAVE YOU HEARD Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct21   (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-5   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Aug10 Jul12 (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
BOURBON'S HOPE Jan12 Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Nov03 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH BOY AL Dec30 Nov21 Nov08 Sep20 Sep04 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
ICY FLAVOR Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep01 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 1.80 34% 2.00    
MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan06 Dec07       (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
DONEGAL SURGES Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 Aug11   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
LIGHT MAN Jul17         (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
FLOWING RIVER Nov08 Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 Jul10 (barrow pau)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROFITUNITY         (alvarado diane)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
BEST IMPRESSION         (serpe m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
YOU'RE FOREVER Nov12         (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
MARTINGALE Dec07 Sep17       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  PATRICIA ANN Dec30         (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
GROWTH RATE Aug20         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SHAKE THE SUGAR Dec08         (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
VALUE AREA Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep17 Aug06 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  GATE SONG Dec29         (allard t)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN BASE Dec29 Oct14 Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATE REALITY Jan12 Dec16 Nov14 Oct08 Sep21 (chatterpau)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
CHAMPIONS DREAM Aug26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Nov06 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
UN OJO Dec30 Dec03 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
MAKER'S CANDY Dec17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug27 Jul17 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 52% 0.90    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Dec29 Nov26 Oct26 Oct01 Sep21 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
TRAFALGAR Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 Oct01 Sep14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-8   01/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 Oct05 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SUERTE Dec30 Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
MACALLAN Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 Apr09 Feb12 (pletcher a)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
MAMA'S GOLD Jan13 Dec03 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  SUPREME BEING Dec17 Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 Sep24 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 50.00    
ROCCO STRONG Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Sep21 Aug10 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
OVERSTEP Dec30 Dec02 Feb19 Jan26   (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Dec30 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 Sep15 (ginter jr)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug20 (nevin michelle)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE CHOCOLATE Dec10 Nov20 Oct07 Aug25 Dec15 (summers ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
HOT FUDGE Dec09 Dec01 Jun16 May07 Apr16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
SECRET LOVE (ARG) Dec17 Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 Dec02 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
DR B Dec02 Sep23 Aug26 Jul26 Jun17 (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
MOSIENKO Dec17 Dec01 Oct12 Aug19 Jul20 (lalman denni)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
AIN'T BROKE Dec14 Nov26 Sep21 Aug18 Jul22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  ROSEBUG Nov20 Oct12 Jul21 Jun16 May12 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
AQU-10   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT IT Jan04 Dec10 Nov11 Nov02 Sep14 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
1A  MANDATORY Dec29 Dec02 May13 Apr20 Mar24 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  THANK YOU JON Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
NIGHT EFFECT Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 Jun30 Jun02 (younghans will)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
VON HOFF Dec29 Nov25       (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
REDDINGTON Jan01 Nov23 Jun24 Apr29 Mar30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
MAGIA NERA Jun23 Jun02 Mar31 Feb11 Jan13 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
GUARD OF HONOUR Dec17 Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 (belsoeur yv)CAMACHO JR 123 50.00    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jan01 Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ASSUME NOTHING Dec29 Nov26 Oct08 Aug05 Jul10 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.10    
10  MODERN ERA (AUS) Jan09 Dec19 Dec05 Nov11 Sep23 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 50.00    
11  JUNGFRAU Dec28 Sep17 Jun02 Apr01 Feb11 (bernardini juan )LUZZI J 120 20.00    
12  MAGICAL WAYS Dec30 Nov09 Oct21 Oct15 Aug10 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
13  BARNSTORMING Jan01 Nov01 Oct06 Nov26   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.