The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
AQU-2   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
AQU-3   Win (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
AQU-4   Win (8/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 5.60
AQU-5   Win (8/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
AQU-6   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
AQU-7   Win (1/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 -0.30
AQU-8   Win (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER FOREVER 1 5 2½ 11 1nk 11 1(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 61% 0.70 0.60 W
WANNA WINNA 3 3 43 4 45 42(nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 8.30  
TWIRLING VINE 5 1 1½ 21 3½ 21 34 (lugovich lis)RIVERA R 117 4.00 4.30  
WATCH HILL 6 2 31 3 2nk 34(maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 16% 5.30 5.40  
MUGSY FURY 2 4 65 66 511 512½ 518½ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 34.00  
HARD TRAVELER 4 6 54 55 614 616½ 622¼ (keefe l)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 
AQU-2   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:014     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTS DANCE 6 5 4 3½   2½ 1¾ (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.20 W
DOLCE VELOCE 7 1 31 2nk   1½ 2¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 22% 3.60 2.55 P
MANGIA 4 2 1½ 1nk   31 3(persaud rand)RIVERA R 115 3.00 13% 6.50 2.45 S
AMY'S LIGHT 1 3 2½ 42   57 410¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 13.20  
JAY'S LOVE 3 6 5 5   47 511¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16.20  
MASTERY'S SECRET 5 7 712½ 713¾   717 621 (barrera oscar)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00 51.25  
LET'S CONNECT 2 4 64 610¼   615 721½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 39.00  
 
AQU-3   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLIB 7 7 6 3½   11(nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10 1.30 W
2B  DIVA BANKER 9 1 33 4   33 2(rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 5.00 39% 1.50 3.75  
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 4 3 1nk 1½   237 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 3.75 S
VALLARAND 3 8 912¾ 912½   68 4(jones eduardo )HARKIE K 118 20.00 32.25  
LIBERTY FLAME 5 2 2nk 2½   47 5(quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 13.20  
EROS'S GIRL 2 4 54 7   58 6(ferraro an)RIVERA R 113 10.00 4.80  
1A  FREDDYMO FACTOR 6 5 810¾ 8   8712¼ (jones edua)DAVIS A 120 20.00 32.25  
BEHIND THE COUCH 1 6 4 5   79 814 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.35  
CARBON 8 9 7 63   915 922½ (younghans william)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  DUFRESNE               (barrera oscar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20    
 
AQU-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M B'S MUNNING 9 6 33 3½   1nk 1(ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 5.00 20% 3.90 5.80 W
SWIFTY DEVIL 5 2 7 7   62(gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.00  
LITTLE LUCA 7 3 2 1nk   2nk 3(david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 3.15 S
HOT ROD RUMBLE 1 1 1 2nk   34(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
JESTER'S SONG 8 5 5 4   56 5(de horac)RIVERA R 115 4.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
HATCH (GB) 2 4 4 5   46(ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
FIGHT FIERCELY 3 7 89 911¾   810¾ 7(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 12.60  
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 4 8 9 811¾   912¾ 817¾ (d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 123 30.00 79.25  
GRUMLEY 6 9 65 6   710¼ 918½ (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 17.10  
 
AQU-5   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT BOSS 6 2 2nk 12 1 16 1(potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 15% 5.90 2.70 W
COOL QUARTET 7 4 5 3 2 26 2(d'angelo jose )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.20 41% 1.50 0.85 P
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 2 8 8 89 711½ 512½ 3(baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 10.00 13.60  
CO CONSPIRATOR 5 3 1nk 4 4 412 410 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 9% 10.00 49.25  
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 8 1 3½ 22 3 3512¼ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 15.00 46.50  
ACH DU LIEBER 3 7 7 7 813 617 614¼ (breed rona)DAVIS A 120 15.00 39.00  
DATESFREEDOM 4 5 41 6 511 817½ 717¼ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 24.75  
GOLDINI 1 6 6 54 611 717 817¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 15% 5.60 3.65  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRIDESCENT 1 1 1½ 1½   11(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 4 4 2½ 2½   22(engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 14% 5.90 4.10 P
AUGUSTINE RED 5 6 4 3   335 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.80 S
REMEMBER THE NAME 6 2 5 5   55 4(rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 3.85  
MAD BANKER 3 5 33 42   44 5(potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 27.75  
BONNE CHANCE 2 3 6 6   616 620¾ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 6.80  
SCR  BADLANDS RULER               (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  KHADULLAH               (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
 
AQU-7   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURITY CODE 4 1 32 31   11 1¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 10% 9.30 2.85 W
10  DAME CINCO 8 2 5 4   31 2¾ (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6.00  
KITTEN'S APPEAL 5 4 21 2nk   21 35 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 16% 5.40 4.50 S
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 1 7 6 5   54(mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 3 5 4 6   65(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 13.50  
FRAU DIABLO 2 3 11 1nk   4610¾ (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 7.40  
ICY REPLY 7 6 8 810¼   8714¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 5.00 12% 7.10 4.30  
AWILLAWAY 6 8 74 7   7814½ (dunham g)LUZZI J 120 15.00 47.00  
SCR  EVERLYS GIRL               (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
SCR  PROUD FOOT               ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTBUSTIN 1 1 2nk 1½   1½ 1(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 35% 1.90 2.80 W
10  FOXY CARA 10 8 9 8   2½ 2(friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 4.10 P
SHE'S A NATURAL 8 7 8 7   55 3(sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00 38.00  
HAPPY'S SMILE 5 11 11 9   64(barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 9.80  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 9 6 6 63   45(duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 8.10  
TURRIGA 4 5 31 3   36(bond harold )RIVERA R 117 3.50 36% 1.80 4.20  
ACCELERINA 7 4 7 10   77(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
EASTERN STAR 2 2 4 52   10810¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 8.50  
MONETARY MONARCH 3 9 5 4   87 910¾ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
11  KRYSTALHEIR 11 10 10 11   1110 1015 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 30.00 64.50  
RED JASMINE 6 3 1nk 2½   91126½ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 64.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.