Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-2   SFT (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  6-7-4-1 $2.75 $0.95 53%
AQU-4   WIN (8/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $13.60 $5.60 70%
    DD (2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-9 $24.50 $8.50 53%
AQU-5   DD (8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-7 $22.30 $6.30 39%
    PK3 (2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00  7-9-7 $98.50 $34.50 54%
    PK4 (6/7/4)-(2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 192 $0.50 $96.00  6-4/7/9-9-7 $110.25 $14.25 15%
    PK5 (1/6/4)-(6/7/4)-(2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 576 $0.50 $288  1-6-4/7/9-9-7 $292.75 $4.75 2%
AQU-6   EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $15.30 $9.30 155%
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-5 $18.25 $15.25 508%
    PK3 (8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  9-7-1 $59.25 $11.25 23%
AQU-8   EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-10 $22.40 $6.40 40%
    DD (1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $20.20 $4.20 26%
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  1-6-1 $57.00 $9.00 19%
    PK4 (8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 192 $0.50 $96.00  7-1-6-1 $105.25 $9.25 10%
    PK5 (8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 768 $0.50 $384  9-7-1-6-1 $596.50 $212.50 55%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER FOREVER 1 5 2½ 11 1nk 11 11½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 61% 0.70 0.60 W
  (by LAOBAN out of WAY SMARTER by SMART STRIKE)
3  WANNA WINNA 3 3 43 43½ 45 42½ 21½ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 8.30  
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
5  TWIRLING VINE 5 1 1½ 21 3½ 21 34 (lugovich l)RIVERA R 117 4.00 4.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
6  WATCH HILL 6 2 31 31½ 2nk 31½ 44¼ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 16% 5.30 5.40  
  (by COLLECTED out of PUNKIN'S PRIDE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  MUGSY FURY 2 4 65 66 511 512½ 518½ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 34.00  
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
4  HARD TRAVELER 4 6 54 55 614 616½ 622¼ (keefe timothy)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
AQU-2   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:014     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPEIGHTS DANCE 6 5 42½ 3½   2½ 1¾ (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.20 W
7  DOLCE VELOCE 7 1 31 2nk   1½ 2¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 22% 3.60 2.55 P
4  MANGIA 4 2 1½ 1nk   31 33¾ (persaud ra)RIVERA R 115 3.00 13% 6.50 2.45 S
1  AMY'S LIGHT 1 3 2½ 42   57 410¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★ 13.20  
3  JAY'S LOVE 3 6 53½ 52¼   47 511¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16.20  
5  MASTERY'S SECRET 5 7 712½ 713¾   717 621 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00 51.25  
2  LET'S CONNECT 2 4 64 610¼   615 721½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 39.00  
 
AQU-3   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SOLIB 7 7 64¼ 3½   12½ 14½ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10 1.30 W
2B  DIVA BANKER 9 1 33 41½   33 24½ (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 5.00 39% 1.50 3.75  
2  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 4 3 1nk 1½   22½ 37 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 ★ 3.75 S
1  VALLARAND 3 8 912¾ 912½   68 48½ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 20.00 32.25  
6  LIBERTY FLAME 5 2 2nk 2½   47 58½ (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 ★ 13.20  
5  EROS'S GIRL 2 4 54 73½   58 68¾ (ferraro m )RIVERA R 113 10.00 4.80  
1A  FREDDYMO FACTOR 6 5 810¾ 87½   89½ 712¼ (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00 32.25  
3  BEHIND THE COUCH 1 6 43½ 52½   79 814 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.35  
8  CARBON 8 9 75¼ 63   915 922½ (younghans willi)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  DUFRESNE               (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20    
 
AQU-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  M B'S MUNNING 9 6 33 3½   1nk 11½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 5.00 20% 3.90 5.80 W
5  SWIFTY DEVIL 5 2 75½ 78¼   66¼ 21½ (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.00  
7  LITTLE LUCA 7 3 22½ 1nk   2nk 31½ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 ★ 3.15 S
1  HOT ROD RUMBLE 1 1 12½ 2nk   31½ 43¾ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
8  JESTER'S SONG 8 5 54½ 45½   56 56¾ (de hor)RIVERA R 115 4.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
2  HATCH (GB) 2 4 43½ 55¾   45½ 67¾ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
3  FIGHT FIERCELY 3 7 89 911¾   810¾ 78½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 12.60  
4  GOLD IN THEM HILLS 4 8 99½ 811¾   912¾ 817¾ (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 123 30.00 79.25  
6  GRUMLEY 6 9 65 66¼   710¼ 918½ (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 17.10  
 
AQU-5   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PIT BOSS 6 2 2nk 12 15½ 16 14¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 15% 5.90 2.70 W
8  COOL QUARTET 7 4 51¼ 33½ 25½ 26 24¾ (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.20 41% 1.50 0.85 P
3  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 2 8 87¾ 89 711½ 512½ 39½ (baker char)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 10.00 13.60  
6  CO CONSPIRATOR 5 3 1nk 43½ 48½ 412 410 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 9% 10.00 49.25  
9  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 8 1 3½ 22 36½ 39½ 512¼ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 15.00 46.50  
4  ACH DU LIEBER 3 7 72¾ 78½ 813 617 614¼ (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00 39.00  
5  DATESFREEDOM 4 5 41 64½ 511 817½ 717¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 24.75  
2  GOLDINI 1 6 61¾ 54 611 717 817¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 15% 5.60 3.65  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIDESCENT 1 1 1½ 1½   11½ 13¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
4  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 4 4 2½ 2½   21½ 23¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 14% 5.90 4.10 P
5  AUGUSTINE RED 5 6 43½ 31½   33½ 35 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.80 S
9  REMEMBER THE NAME 6 2 53½ 53½   55 45¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 3.85  
3  MAD BANKER 3 5 33 42   44 58¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 27.75  
2  BONNE CHANCE 2 3 63¾ 68½   616 620¾ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 6.80  
SCR  BADLANDS RULER               (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  KHADULLAH               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
 
AQU-7   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SECURITY CODE 4 1 32 31   11 1¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 10% 9.30 2.85 W
10  DAME CINCO 8 2 52½ 41¼   31 2¾ (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6.00  
7  KITTEN'S APPEAL 5 4 21 2nk   21 35 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 16% 5.40 4.50 S
1  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 1 7 63½ 54¾   53¾ 45¾ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
4  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 3 5 42½ 66¼   65¼ 57¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 13.50  
2  FRAU DIABLO 2 3 11 1nk   43½ 610¾ (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 7.40  
9  ICY REPLY 7 6 84½ 810¼   89¾ 714¼ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 5.00 12% 7.10 4.30  
8  AWILLAWAY 6 8 74 76¾   78¾ 814½ (dunham g)LUZZI J 120 15.00 47.00  
SCR  EVERLYS GIRL               (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
SCR  PROUD FOOT               ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTBUSTIN 1 1 2nk 1½   1½ 12½ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 35% 1.90 2.80 W
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of YOUR TIME IS UP by FREUD)
10  FOXY CARA 10 8 94¼ 83¼   2½ 22½ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★ 4.10 P
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  SHE'S A NATURAL 8 7 83¾ 73¼   55 37¼ (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00 38.00  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
5  HAPPY'S SMILE 5 11 115¼ 94¼   65½ 47½ (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 9.80  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
9  MOONLIT WEEKEND 9 6 62¼ 63   44½ 57½ (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 8.10  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
4  TURRIGA 4 5 31 31½   33½ 69½ (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 3.50 36% 1.80 4.20  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
7  ACCELERINA 7 4 72¾ 105¼   76½ 79¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
  (by ACCELERATE out of DELAY OF GAME by BERNARDINI)
2  EASTERN STAR 2 2 41½ 52   107½ 810¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 8.50  
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
3  MONETARY MONARCH 3 9 51¾ 41½   87 910¾ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
11  KRYSTALHEIR 11 10 105¼ 115¾   1110 1015 (coffey m)DAVIS A 122 30.00 64.50  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
6  RED JASMINE 6 3 1nk 2½   97½ 1126½ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 64.25  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ZIGGY FREUD by FREUD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.