Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/7/4)-(2/7/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(2/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8/6)-(2/7/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/8)-(8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/1)-(8/9/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/1)-(8/9/2/7/1)-(8/9/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/1)-(8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/6)-(1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/6)-(1/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/9/6)-(4/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/10/7)-(4/1/3/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER FOREVER Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Aug27 Nov26 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 61% 0.70    
  (by LAOBAN out of WAY SMARTER by SMART STRIKE)
2  MUGSY FURY Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 Sep04 Aug09 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
3  WANNA WINNA Apr21 Mar26 Feb26 Jan06 Dec08 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
4  HARD TRAVELER Dec17 Oct26 Oct06 Jul08 Jun16 (keefe timothy)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  TWIRLING VINE Dec14 Oct12 Aug17 Jul07 Jun09 (lugovich l)RIVERA R 117 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
6  WATCH HILL Nov17 Oct15 Aug20     (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of PUNKIN'S PRIDE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
AQU-2   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY'S LIGHT         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
2  LET'S CONNECT Nov24 Oct20       (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
3  JAY'S LOVE         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
4  MANGIA Dec16 Nov09       (persaud ra)RIVERA R 115 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  MASTERY'S SECRET Sep15 Aug24       (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00    
6  SPEIGHTS DANCE Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 Sep16   (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  DOLCE VELOCE Dec09 Nov09       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-3   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLARAND Dec07 Nov24 Oct06 Sep11 Aug24 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
1A  FREDDYMO FACTOR Dec15 Dec08 Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Dec14 Sep28 Aug20 Jul27 Jul04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 ★    
2B  DIVA BANKER Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 Aug20 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 5.00 39% 1.50    
3  BEHIND THE COUCH Dec14 Dec08 Nov08 Sep19 Aug30 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUFRESNE Dec03 Oct26 Sep24 Aug06 Jul19 (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00    
5  EROS'S GIRL Dec07 Nov14 Oct02 Sep13 Jul26 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 113 10.00    
6  LIBERTY FLAME Dec08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May11 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 ★    
7  SOLIB Dec14 Nov14 Nov03 Oct22 Sep24 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  CARBON Dec07 Nov25 Nov16 Oct19 Oct08 (younghans willi)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Aug11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20    
 
AQU-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ROD RUMBLE Nov14 Oct31 Oct01 Sep02 Jul21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HATCH (GB) Dec09 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  FIGHT FIERCELY Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 Aug20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
4  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Nov14 Oct31 Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 123 30.00    
5  SWIFTY DEVIL Dec22 Dec02 Oct28 Oct12 Sep13 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
6  GRUMLEY Sep02 Sep21 Aug21 Jun19 May28 (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
7  LITTLE LUCA Jun11 May14 Mar31 Mar11 Dec10 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 ★    
8  JESTER'S SONG Dec10 Oct21 Sep22 Aug03 Jun24 (de hor)RIVERA R 115 4.00 33% 2.00    
9  M B'S MUNNING Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-5   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 May18 Apr14 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
2  GOLDINI Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Aug06 Jul19 (baker char)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 10.00    
4  ACH DU LIEBER Dec17 Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
5  DATESFREEDOM Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep21 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
6  CO CONSPIRATOR Dec15 Nov30 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 9% 10.00    
7  PIT BOSS Dec15 Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 Oct05 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 15% 5.90    
8  COOL QUARTET Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.20 41% 1.50    
9  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Dec09 Nov20 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
 
AQU-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIDESCENT Nov30 Oct29 Aug31 Aug11   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
2  BONNE CHANCE Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Sep04   (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
3  MAD BANKER Dec08 Nov11 Oct04 Aug11   (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
4  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS Nov22 Oct11 Sep20     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
5  AUGUSTINE RED Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Jul30   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  BADLANDS RULER Nov10 Oct07 Aug05     (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  KHADULLAH Oct19 Oct13 Sep04 Aug18 Jul16 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 Oct04   (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
9  REMEMBER THE NAME Dec14 Nov10 Oct05 Aug19   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Nov05 Oct07 Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  FRAU DIABLO Dec07 Aug25 Jul30     (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
4  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Dec22 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Oct05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
SCR  EVERLYS GIRL Dec03 Oct22 Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
6  SECURITY CODE Dec10 Nov05 Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
7  KITTEN'S APPEAL Nov26 Apr16 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
8  AWILLAWAY Nov26 Nov05 Jun16 May20 Apr22 (dunham g)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
9  ICY REPLY Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 5.00 12% 7.10    
10  DAME CINCO Dec31 Nov26 Oct27 Apr06 Mar25 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  PROUD FOOT Dec31 Nov18 Oct22 Sep22 Aug31 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTBUSTIN Dec07         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of YOUR TIME IS UP by FREUD)
2  EASTERN STAR Dec07 Nov19 Oct26     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
3  MONETARY MONARCH Nov19 Oct12       (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
4  TURRIGA Nov17 Oct26       (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
5  HAPPY'S SMILE Nov21 Dec03       (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
6  RED JASMINE Dec07 Mar12       (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ZIGGY FREUD by FREUD)
7  ACCELERINA Dec15 Nov17 Sep01 Jul04 Aug20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DELAY OF GAME by BERNARDINI)
8  SHE'S A NATURAL Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Sep24 Sep14 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
9  MOONLIT WEEKEND Dec07         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
10  FOXY CARA Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep24 Aug27 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
11  KRYSTALHEIR Dec07 Nov19 Aug27 Jul15 May21 (coffey m)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.