The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 12.40
AQU-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 7.20
AQU-3   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
AQU-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
AQU-5   Win (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
AQU-6   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.00 -6.00
AQU-7   Win (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
AQU-8   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
AQU-9   Win (5/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND AGAIN 3 1 2nk 2½   2½ 1½ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
VAUNTED 6 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2½ (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 2.00 7.40  
CITIZEN MACK 4 3 5 513   47 3(engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 12% 7.10 3.75 S
CREATION OF ADAM 1 5 3 3   343 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 58% 0.70 0.50  
SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO 5 6 613 615   554 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 12.10  
PINE ALLEY 2 4 4 4   69 610¼ (ryerson ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 33.75  
 
AQU-2   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 5 5 513 46   34 1(terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 21% 3.80 4.60 W
TIARELLA 3 1 3½ 2nk   1½ 2(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 4.50 P
DAUGHTER OF TIME 2 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 3(baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 1.55  
MITOLE MAGIC 4 3 46 5   5413½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 40% 1.50 5.60  
MONARCH 1 4 1nk 3   4513½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 2.35  
SCR  JEZEBEL               (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:15 1:281   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTI XTREME 3 2 4 4 3 21¾ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 47% 1.10 0.90 W
FONTANAFREDDA 4 3 3½ 3½ 1nk 12¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 5 5 5 57 5 33(englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 8.40  
RUN DEVIL 1 1 1nk 1nk 4 547 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 27% 2.80 3.25  
SISTER LINDA 6 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 45(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 4.00  
1A  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 2 6 6 6 612¼ 611½ 613¾ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 3.25  
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE               (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:13 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHAROAH'S HEART 6 3 1nk 1 1 13 1(nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 21% 3.90 2.50 W
MURSAL 5 1 3 4 3 23 2(dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
COPPA GIRL 3 4 2nk 2 2 34 3(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 51% 0.90 0.65 S
CARAGATE 4 5 6 5 512 515½ 414¼ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 36.00  
WHISTLER'S STYLE 1 6 4 33 46 410½ 514½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00 6.30  
VIENNA CODE 2 2 5 68 617 619½ 620¾ (williams and)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00 79.00  
 
AQU-5   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT EFFECT 2 1 11 1½ 1 12 1(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 55% 0.80 1.20 W
STEADY PROGRESS 9 7 32 3 2 22 2(chatterpaul naip)LUZZI J 123 12.00 18.60  
UNCLE WATER FLOW 4 3 510½ 59 5 33(reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 6.80 S
BOLD LOOKER 1 2 616½ 618 611½ 44(walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 9% 10.50 7.60  
SORPRESO 3 4 717½ 718¼ 712½ 712½ 514 (delauro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 36.25  
MUDVILLE NINE 5 5 4 4 35 511 618½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 5% 19.00 4.00  
HAPPY BOB 8 8 21 2½ 45 612½ 725 (schettino )DAVIS A 120 6.00 11% 7.90 4.60  
PAPI ON ICE 7 9 823½ 826¼ 822½ 820½ 837¼ (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00 35.25  
MAMA BANNED ME 6 6 925½ 932¼ 932½ 928½ 938½ (follett no)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00 61.50  
 
AQU-6   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:012     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMINT 4 3 1nk 1   12 1(brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 3.50  
APOLLONIA C 6 7 7 43   45 2(klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 12.80  
BOOK OF WISDOM 2 4 4 2   22 3(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 53% 0.90 1.35 S
THE SHOE LADY 1 6 5 64   59 4(clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.35  
TROUBLED LUCK 7 1 31 3   3510 (delauro j)LUZZI J 120 15.00 15.80  
ZHEN LOU 5 2 2nk 5   6615 (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 37.00  
CAROL T 3 5 64 7   710½ 719 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  DULCE NINA               (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/14/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE 8 7 2½ 2½   1½ 1¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.00 1.40 W
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 7 3 1½ 1½   2½ 2¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 6.20 P
1A  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 2 4 3   43(kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 8.90 8.10 S
NARCISO DALI 5 4 3 43   34 4(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 4.20  
RESERVE CURRENCY 4 9 53 8   67 5(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 42% 1.40 3.60  
LUNI SIMA 2 6 6 5   55 6(walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 28.75  
2B  SAVINGS RATE 9 8 8 7   77 7(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 3.60  
CRITICAL THREAT 1 5 7 65   88(kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.50 8.10  
KUPP 6 1 9 922½   932½ 9100 (potts wayne)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
SCR  GOT THUNDER               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   01/14/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Franklin Square Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MANE SQUEEZE 5 5 53 3½   1nk 1(maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.60 W
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 6 1 3 2nk   2nk 2(schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
TRICKY TEMPER 2 4 4 42   49 311½ (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 3.95  
FLIGHT CONTROL 4 2 1nk 1nk   36 411½ (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 14.50  
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 1 6 6 68   613½ 513¼ (barrow paul)VARGAS A 122 6.00 11% 8.30 5.10  
CARA'S TIME 3 3 2nk 5   512½ 616¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 2.75  
SCR  SOLOSHOT               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
SCR  UNICORN CAKE               (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:022     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINANCIAL DISTRICT 8 8 811½ 812   61(siculietano dan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 6% 16.70 5.70 W
ARCO AUGUSTA 4 6 7 712   82(begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 26% 2.80 5.80 P
THE DELAWARE BOYZ 2 7 42 3   2nk 3(duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5.40  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 3 3 2½ 11   1nk 4(donk david)RIVERA R 115 4.00 7.00  
DRINKING SOLO 5 4 3 4   33 5(falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 1.85  
GO GRAD 7 5 65 5   46(d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 46.50  
SPICY TUNA 1 1 1½ 21   5710 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 115 5.00 21% 3.70 4.80  
REEDY FALLS 6 2 5 69   7812 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 20% 3.90 11.80  
SCR  FREE FOLK               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.