Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/6)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/1/4)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(3/6/5)-(2/8/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5/4)-(2/8/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/5)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/5)-(2/1/3)-(2/8/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/8/1/6)-(6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6/7)-(2/8/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(6/1/7)-(5/2/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(5/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/9)-(5/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/9)-(5/2/7/9)-(5/2/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATION OF ADAM Aug04         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
2  PINE ALLEY Nov25 Jun04 May20 May05 Mar20 (ryerson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
3  GRAND AGAIN Dec16 Nov25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CITIZEN MACK Nov24 Mar18 Feb03 Aug13 Jul21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO Sep04         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
6  VAUNTED Dec07 Nov10 Oct28 Sep04 Aug17 (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 2.00    
 
AQU-2   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONARCH         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of OUR MAJESTY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  DAUGHTER OF TIME         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PARADISE BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  JEZEBEL         (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  TIARELLA         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
5  MITOLE MAGIC Dec16 Nov05 Sep16     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MITOLE out of BLAKE'S MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
6  DOROTHY'S DREAMS Dec17 Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 Jul08 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
AQU-3   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN DEVIL Jan04 Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Aug25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
1A  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jan07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 ★    
SCR  HALO CITY Jan04 Nov25 Nov02 Aug30 Jul20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
3  PRETTI XTREME Nov25 Oct27 Aug30 Jul20 Apr07 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  FONTANAFREDDA Jan04 Dec08 Nov16 Oct12 Sep17 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
6  DREAMAWAYSEVEN Dec16 Nov12 Sep24 Jul04 Apr28 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
7  SISTER LINDA Dec07 Nov30 Oct15 Jun01 Mar30 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jan04 Dec23 Dec08 Oct21 Sep23 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00    
2  VIENNA CODE Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug09 (williams a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
3  COPPA GIRL Dec16 Nov26 Sep04 Aug09 Jul15 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 51% 0.90    
4  CARAGATE Nov26 Nov05 Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
5  MURSAL Dec14 Oct26 Sep22 Aug12 Jul13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PHAROAH'S HEART Jun16 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Dec09 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD LOOKER Dec03 Sep01 Aug20 Jul21 Jun18 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
2  NIGHT EFFECT Nov03 Sep24 Jun30 Jun02 May06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 55% 0.80    
3  SORPRESO Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct24 Oct11 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
4  UNCLE WATER FLOW Dec03 Nov11 Oct15 May11 Dec09 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 ★    
5  MUDVILLE NINE Jan11 Dec28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct08 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  MAMA BANNED ME Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 Nov02 Oct06 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
7  PAPI ON ICE Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00    
8  HAPPY BOB Dec17 Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 Aug16 (schettin)DAVIS A 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
9  STEADY PROGRESS Jan01 Dec03 Jul19 Jun18 May19 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
AQU-6   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SHOE LADY         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by UPSTART out of ROSEDALE by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
2  BOOK OF WISDOM Dec16 Oct21 Sep28 Aug10 Jul14 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
3  CAROL T Dec31 Oct22 Sep23 Sep01   (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  RUMINT         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMINT by MUTAKDDIM)
5  ZHEN LOU Dec31 Dec01       (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of LOUWALA CLOUGH by DON'T GET MAD)
6  APOLLONIA C         (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
SCR  DULCE NINA         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TEATRO by TIZNOW)
8  TROUBLED LUCK Dec31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
AQU-7   01/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THREAT Dec09 Oct28 Sep09 Nov21 Oct16 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.50    
1A  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
2  RESERVE CURRENCY Aug20 Jul01 Apr23 Mar11 Feb02 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
2B  SAVINGS RATE Dec16 Nov12       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 ★    
3  LUNI SIMA Dec17 Oct21 Sep28 Jun10 May21 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
5  NARCISO DALI Dec16 Nov02 Oct04 Aug30 Aug13 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
6  KUPP Jan01 Dec16 Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Nov24 Oct22 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 ★    
8  OCEAN'S RESERVE Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct07 Sep16 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-8   01/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Franklin Square Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Nov06 Oct18       (barrow pa)VARGAS A 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  SOLOSHOT Dec16 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  TRICKY TEMPER Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Aug27 Aug09 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
4  CARA'S TIME Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jun23 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
5  FLIGHT CONTROL Dec01         (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SENORITA MARGARITA by SECRETARY OF WAR)
6  MY MANE SQUEEZE Oct29 Sep24 Sep01 Aug10   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Dec14 Oct29 Aug16 Aug02   (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  UNICORN CAKE Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25 Sep01 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PARTY LIKE GRANDMA by DESERT PARTY)
 
AQU-9   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE FOLK         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
2  SPICY TUNA         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 115 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Dec08 Nov11       (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
4  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Sep17 Aug18 (donk david)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
5  ARCO AUGUSTA Dec29 Oct13 Sep04     (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  DRINKING SOLO Dec02 Nov02 Oct04 Aug11   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
7  REEDY FALLS         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
8  GO GRAD Dec29 Nov20 Oct18 Sep25   (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
9  FINANCIAL DISTRICT Jan03 Nov28 Sep22 Sep07   (siculietano d)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.