Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (5/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATION OF ADAM Aug04         (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
PINE ALLEY Nov25 Jun04 May20 May05 Mar20 (ryerson ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
GRAND AGAIN Dec16 Nov25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CITIZEN MACK Nov24 Mar18 Feb03 Aug13 Jul21 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO Sep04         (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
VAUNTED Dec07 Nov10 Oct28 Sep04 Aug17 (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 2.00    
 
AQU-2   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONARCH         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
DAUGHTER OF TIME         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  JEZEBEL         (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
TIARELLA         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
MITOLE MAGIC Dec16 Nov05 Sep16     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
DOROTHY'S DREAMS Dec17 Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 Jul08 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN DEVIL Jan04 Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Aug25 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
1A  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jan07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
SCR  HALO CITY Jan04 Nov25 Nov02 Aug30 Jul20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
PRETTI XTREME Nov25 Oct27 Aug30 Jul20 Apr07 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
FONTANAFREDDA Jan04 Dec08 Nov16 Oct12 Sep17 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
DREAMAWAYSEVEN Dec16 Nov12 Sep24 Jul04 Apr28 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
SISTER LINDA Dec07 Nov30 Oct15 Jun01 Mar30 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S STYLE Jan04 Dec23 Dec08 Oct21 Sep23 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00    
VIENNA CODE Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug09 (williams and)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
COPPA GIRL Dec16 Nov26 Sep04 Aug09 Jul15 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 51% 0.90    
CARAGATE Nov26 Nov05 Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
MURSAL Dec14 Oct26 Sep22 Aug12 Jul13 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PHAROAH'S HEART Jun16 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Dec09 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD LOOKER Dec03 Sep01 Aug20 Jul21 Jun18 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
NIGHT EFFECT Nov03 Sep24 Jun30 Jun02 May06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 55% 0.80    
SORPRESO Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct24 Oct11 (delauro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Dec03 Nov11 Oct15 May11 Dec09 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
MUDVILLE NINE Jan11 Dec28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct08 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
MAMA BANNED ME Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 Nov02 Oct06 (follett no)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
PAPI ON ICE Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00    
HAPPY BOB Dec17 Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 Aug16 (schettino )DAVIS A 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
STEADY PROGRESS Jan01 Dec03 Jul19 Jun18 May19 (chatterpaul naip)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
AQU-6   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SHOE LADY         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
BOOK OF WISDOM Dec16 Oct21 Sep28 Aug10 Jul14 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
CAROL T Dec31 Oct22 Sep23 Sep01   (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUMINT         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
ZHEN LOU Dec31 Dec01       (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
APOLLONIA C         (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
SCR  DULCE NINA         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
TROUBLED LUCK Dec31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13 (delauro j)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   01/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL THREAT Dec09 Oct28 Sep09 Nov21 Oct16 (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.50    
1A  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
RESERVE CURRENCY Aug20 Jul01 Apr23 Mar11 Feb02 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
2B  SAVINGS RATE Dec16 Nov12       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
LUNI SIMA Dec17 Oct21 Sep28 Jun10 May21 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
NARCISO DALI Dec16 Nov02 Oct04 Aug30 Aug13 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
KUPP Jan01 Dec16 Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 (potts wayne)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Nov24 Oct22 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct07 Sep16 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-8   01/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Franklin Square Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BROWN SUGAR Nov06 Oct18       (barrow paul)VARGAS A 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  SOLOSHOT Dec16 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
TRICKY TEMPER Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Aug27 Aug09 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
CARA'S TIME Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jun23 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
FLIGHT CONTROL Dec01         (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00    
MY MANE SQUEEZE Oct29 Sep24 Sep01 Aug10   (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
BERNIETAKESCHARGE Dec14 Oct29 Aug16 Aug02   (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNICORN CAKE Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25 Sep01 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE FOLK         (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
SPICY TUNA         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 115 5.00 21% 3.70    
THE DELAWARE BOYZ Dec08 Nov11       (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Sep17 Aug18 (donk david)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
ARCO AUGUSTA Dec29 Oct13 Sep04     (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
DRINKING SOLO Dec02 Nov02 Oct04 Aug11   (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
REEDY FALLS         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
GO GRAD Dec29 Nov20 Oct18 Sep25   (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
FINANCIAL DISTRICT Jan03 Nov28 Sep22 Sep07   (siculietano dan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.