The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Gulfstream Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GP-1   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
GP-2   Win (9/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
GP-3   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60
GP-4   Win (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $8.00 -8.00
GP-5   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
GP-6   Win (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
GP-7   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.40 -6.00
GP-8   Win (3/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40

Simulator Race results

 
GP-1   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUNA KEA BOUND 5 2 21 2nk   1½ 1(hess b)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20 53% 0.90 0.30 W
HEY RIVER 1 1 11 1nk   2½ 2(david ca)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 8.00 P
TOP MAVERICK 3 5 55 44   336 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 122 15.00 13.40  
ADIOS PAPA CHICO 2 3 33 32   4410¾ (heard vaughan)PANICI LUCA 122 8.00 12% 7.10 7.40  
SMOKE WAGON 4 4 4 5   511½ 534½ (engler jeff)BRAVO J 122 3.50 5.00  
SCR  CACCIATORE               (coy ronald)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  FIRST SLEW               (dye steven)KRIGGER K 122 30.00    
 
GP-2   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:38
See original race card.
:213 :433       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALS THE SOUL 8 3 2½ 1½   11 1(crichton rohan)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 38% 1.60 1.00 W
FROSTED FAITH 1 8 32 3   21 2(margotta anthony)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 38% 1.60 1.70 P
10  MARLEY LUCK 9 6 42 4   43(dobles elizabe)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.60 S
EXCHANGE DAY 7 1 1½ 2½   32 4(breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 10.50  
TIZ A PRINCE 4 9 87 77   756 (russo victor)PIMENTEL JR 120 30.00 57.60  
KINGPIN 6 2 5 5   56 6(russell brit)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 12.10  
OFFICER COUNTRY 2 5 7 88   89 7(mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 120 30.00 59.70  
UNSOCIABLE 5 4 6 6   68(kelly blake)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00 11.40  
DAZZLING TRUTHS 3 7 910½ 913   914 914¼ (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00 84.20  
SCR  EXECUTIVE SEARCH               (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
GP-3   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:223 :45 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAL'S GAL 3 2 4 31   1½ 12 (maragh aubrey )THOMAS ANTHONY 120 10.00 8% 11.10 6.30 W
YLANG YLANG 5 6 5 5   322 (cordero eniel)RIVERA JON 120 20.00 40.10  
TOP LOOK 1 3 3 42   53(delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 39% 1.60 1.40 S
BABY'S DIALED IN 2 4 6 65   65 4(deaton william)ZAYAS J 122 5.00 7.60  
TOVIA 4 5 1nk 1½   2½ 5(delgado jorge)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 5.40  
SHE'S SO BEARRISH 6 1 2nk 2½   469 (baxter georgina)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.60  
SCR  ROUGH ENOUGH               (dye steven)PEREZ EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
GP-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTICING SUNSET 2 2 63 5 44 31½ (mott riley)ZAYAS J 118 3.50 3.00  
LADY O'BRIEN 6 6 21 21 1nk 12½ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5.00  
LETS GO KOKO 3 1 4 3 3 23(miller c)MORALES ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 18.40 3.10 S
UPTOWN CAT 8 8 8 78 7 58 4(matz r)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00 15.20  
SHINKA 4 4 7 67 6 68 511¾ (garoffalo jose)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 52.40  
RED HOT SPARK 1 3 3 43 5 79 616¼ (plesa j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 38% 1.60 4.00  
PANTHER CROSSING 5 5 11 11 2nk 4717 (schistl rafael)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00 9.60  
SPREAD THE RISK 7 7 5 8 816¾ 834 848¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90 4.60  
 
GP-5   12/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:364   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THETHRILLOFVICTORY 3 3 2½ 31 1½ 12 13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 51% 1.00 0.90 W
MEDIA SENSATION 7 6 6 6 5 22 23 (cordero eniel)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 10% 8.60 4.80 P
NO REGARD 4 4 4 42 62 33(hennig mark)ZAYAS J 120 12.00 23.00  
VARIABLE COST (GB) 6 5 3½ 21 31 44(sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50 3.50  
LITTLE STEVEN 5 2 1½ 11 2½ 55(winebaugh cher)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 10.00 7.40  
BELLY OF JELLY 2 1 5 5 4 6611 (dobles elizabeth)REYES LEONEL 120 4.00 13.10  
WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD 1 7 742¾ 7100 7100 7100 7100 (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00 15.20  
 
GP-6   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY'S COOKIE 7 1 12 12   14 1(abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 27% 2.70 0.50 W
ISAYSO 1 2 22 22   24 2(sano antonio)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 17% 4.90 7.60 P
INABLINK 3 6 6 67   48 310¼ (mckanas j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.90  
MOBAY PRINCESS 2 3 35 35   36 410¾ (christie clift)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00 60.40  
NO VIOLENCE 8 5 8 78   810 512¾ (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 5.00 8.10  
ORO ORO 4 4 45 5   58 614¼ (williams matthew)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00 11% 8.50 32.60  
MO TWILIGHT 6 7 5 45   6715 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 21% 3.80 9.60  
OYA THUNDER 5 8 7 8   79 816¼ (de cerda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00 8.00  
 
GP-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAPTITUDE 4 2 2nk 3½   21 1(pompay terri)PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.50 4.70  
UNIKEE 6 5 4¾ 2nk   11 2(pompay terri)MORALES ANGEL 122 4.00 16% 5.20 4.60 P
AUSTONIAN 1 4 3.2 5   32 3(hernandez sand)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 12% 7.40 4.80 S
PRACTIKO 2 6 5 41   43 4(d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 44% 1.30 0.70  
MOONSTRIKE (GB) 3 3 6 64   6515 (engler jeff)BRAVO J 120 15.00 14.30  
MIDNIGHT ONYX 5 1 1nk 1nk   5617 (yates michael)RIVERA JON 113 20.00 28.30  
SCR  SOLOMONS GOLD               (parbhoo )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
GP-8   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:134 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGRA 3 3 4 3 21 11 1(mott i)BRAVO J 118 6.00 21% 3.70 3.20 W
JOYFUL LASS 5 4 1 1 11 21 2(pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
HIDDEN PRESENCE 6 6 75 5 53 33 34 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 25% 3.00 3.30 S
10  STREET VIEW 7 2 6 88 8 65 46 (weaver george)JARAMILLO E 118 30.00 39.80  
11  TONY BLUE TAPE 8 5 2 2 3 45(maker michael )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00 6.90  
MITOLE MAGIC 2 1 32 45 43 76(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20 2.00  
ST. SUSAN 4 7 87 7 65 55 79 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5.80  
SALLY ALBRIGHT 1 8 54 67 7 8811¾ (devaux cherie)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 22.10  
SCR  FLOWER MOUND               (perez l)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 30.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
SCR  LAURISTON (IRE)               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  PALMETTO FURY               (cazares )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.