Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(9/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-2   WIN (9/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/10)-(9/1/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/10)-(9/1/10/5/7)-(9/1/10/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/10)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(3/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/8)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-10   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-11   WIN (1/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/7)-(1/8/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/7)-(1/8/9/4/7)-(1/8/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST SLEW         (dye steven)KRIGGER K 122 30.00    
2  HEY RIVER Nov19 Apr14       (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 ★    
3  ADIOS PAPA CHICO Jun30 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar09 (heard vaughan)PANICI LUCA 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  TOP MAVERICK Oct20 Jun30 May25 Feb18 Jan08 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 122 15.00    
5  SMOKE WAGON Nov09 Oct12 Sep02 Aug01 Jul16 (engler jeff)BRAVO J 122 3.50    
SCR  CACCIATORE Nov03 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 Aug13 (coy ronald)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
7  MAUNA KEA BOUND Nov17 Oct08 Sep04 Jul21 Oct07 (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
 
GP-2   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED FAITH Jun03 Mar30 Mar10 Feb09 Jan15 (margotta antho)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  EXECUTIVE SEARCH Nov17 Oct07 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
3  OFFICER COUNTRY Dec01 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug18 (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 120 30.00    
4  DAZZLING TRUTHS Dec02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jun04 (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
5  TIZ A PRINCE Nov17 Oct13 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 (russo vict)PIMENTEL JR 120 30.00 ★    
6  UNSOCIABLE Nov18 Oct26 Aug23 May14 Apr16 (kelly blake)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00    
7  KINGPIN Oct18 Oct07 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (russell br)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 ★    
8  EXCHANGE DAY Nov25 Oct22 Sep29 Aug26 Jul22 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00    
9  HEALS THE SOUL Nov17 Jul30 Jul14 Apr29 Apr08 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
10  MARLEY LUCK Oct01 Aug23 Jul08 May27 Apr16 (dobles eliza)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-3   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP LOOK Nov10 Sep22 Aug27     (delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  BABY'S DIALED IN Nov12 Sep08 May25 Apr07 Mar15 (deaton willi)ZAYAS J 122 5.00    
3  VAL'S GAL Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 (maragh aubre)THOMAS ANTHONY 120 10.00 8% 11.10    
4  TOVIA Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 Aug24 (delgado jorge)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  ROUGH ENOUGH Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 Sep24 Jul07 (dye steven)PEREZ EDGAR 122 8.00    
6  YLANG YLANG (GB) Oct14 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 Jun30 (cordero eniel)PEREZ NEFTALI 120 20.00    
7  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Nov17 Oct14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 (baxter georgina)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
GP-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT SPARK Oct28 Sep30       (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  ENTICING SUNSET Nov19 Sep19 Aug18 Jul16   (mott riley)ZAYAS J 118 3.50    
3  LETS GO KOKO Nov19 Oct01 Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 (miller c)MORALES ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 18.40    
4  SHINKA Dec08 Nov19       (garoffalo jose)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  PANTHER CROSSING Nov19 Oct11 Aug17     (schistl rafael)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
6  LADY O'BRIEN         (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
7  SPREAD THE RISK         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  UPTOWN CAT Sep02         (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00    
 
GP-5   12/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD Oct23 May20 Mar25 Jan21   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
2  BELLY OF JELLY Nov04 Oct06 Sep10 Aug11 Jul28 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 120 4.00    
3  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Oct13 Sep07 Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 51% 1.00    
4  NO REGARD Oct06 Aug03 Jul09 Jun04 May19 (hennig mark)ZAYAS J 120 12.00    
5  LITTLE STEVEN Dec02 Nov12 Oct13 Jul19 Jul05 (winebaugh ch)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 10.00 ★    
6  VARIABLE COST (GB) Oct04 Jul28 May27 May11   (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
7  MEDIA SENSATION Dec07 Nov04 Aug12 Jul28 Jun23 (cordero eniel)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
GP-6   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISAYSO Nov25 Oct28 Sep22 Sep03 Aug20 (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  MOBAY PRINCESS Nov25 Nov10       (christie cli)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00    
3  INABLINK Dec01         (mckanas j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
4  ORO ORO         (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00 11% 8.50    
5  OYA THUNDER Nov11         (de cerda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
6  MO TWILIGHT Aug03 Jul16       (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  LUCY'S COOKIE Nov10 Oct07 Sep22 Aug27   (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
8  NO VIOLENCE Sep21         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 5.00    
 
GP-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTONIAN Nov25 Oct20 Sep04 Aug03 May28 (hernandez sa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
2  PRACTIKO Aug18 May19 Apr15 Mar12 Jan14 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SOLOMONS GOLD Oct20 Sep15 Aug18 Jun30 May25 (parbho)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
4  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Nov22 Oct02 Sep10 Aug05 Jul19 (engler jeff)BRAVO J 120 15.00    
5  MAPTITUDE Sep23 Aug18 Jul07 Jun09 Apr15 (pompay terri)PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.50    
6  MIDNIGHT ONYX Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 Sep23 Aug27 (yates michael)RIVERA JON 113 20.00    
7  UNIKEE May06 Mar11 Jul01 May21 Apr23 (pompay terri)MORALES ANGEL 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
GP-8   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SALLY ALBRIGHT         (devaux cherie)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PLEASANT REVIEW by PLEASANT TAP)
3  MITOLE MAGIC Nov05 Sep16       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MITOLE out of BLAKE'S MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  FLOWER MOUND Nov05 Aug27       (perez carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 30.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEYOND AMBITION by TAPIT)
5  AGRA Nov05 Sep16       (mott i)BRAVO J 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BLAME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LAURISTON (IRE) Oct27         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by SIYOUNI out of REPRINT by NAYEF)
7  ST. SUSAN         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  JOYFUL LASS Nov05         (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TENSAS WEDDING JOY by BROKEN VOW)
9  HIDDEN PRESENCE Oct27 Sep29 Sep02     (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  STREET VIEW Nov05 Oct21 Sep16     (weaver george)JARAMILLO E 118 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of VIEW by VICE REGENT)
11  TONY BLUE TAPE Oct27 Sep10       (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FULL OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  PALMETTO FURY         (cazare)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
  (by MITOLE out of HISSE by BUDDHA)
 
GP-9   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANGEROUS RIDE Sep13 Aug12 Jul28 Jun05 May06 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  FRIAR TUCK Oct20 Sep29 May20 Oct29 Sep24 (cibelli jane)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
3  GANGLY Oct22 Sep23 Jul16 May20 Apr08 (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
4  CELESTIAL GLAZE Jun11 May27 Apr27 Apr01 Mar08 (hurtak daniel)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 60% 0.70    
5  FLOAT ON Oct21 Sep04 Aug13 Jun06 Apr04 (hernandez sa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
6  SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Oct28 Oct05 Sep13 Aug03 Jul14 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAY ZONE Oct31 Oct22 Sep15 Aug17 Aug10 (walder r)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
GP-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AVANT GLORY Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Aug05 Jun23 (rodriquez roderic)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
2  X Y POINT Nov18 Oct21 Sep23 Jan01 Sep16 (rodriquez ro)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00    
3  REAL TALK Nov19 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 Jul14 (orseno joseph)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
4  TICKING Jul02 Jun10 May06 Mar16 Feb18 (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPER CHOW Nov20 Oct22 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (delgado jorge)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
6  DOC AMSTER Nov19 Oct21 Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 (antonucci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
7  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Aug22 Jul19 Jun17 May27 Apr07 (giddings melani)PANICI LUCA 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-11   12/16/2023 10560ft TURF RC11 nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALUE ENGINEERING Nov30 May13 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of FROZEN TREAT by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  TWOWAYCROSSING Nov19 Oct21 Oct01 Aug20 Jul30 (attfield rog)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DOUBLE GUNS GIRL by LANGFUHR)
3  SWORE Oct19 Sep03 Jul28 Jul07 May25 (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CARA BELLA by EQUATION)
4  F FIVE Nov11 Aug28 May13 Apr12 Dec23 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHELAN ECHO by LION HEART)
5  SIX MINUS Nov12 Sep04 Jul30 Apr27 Feb03 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 117 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STRAWBERRY SENSE by A.P. INDY)
6  KNOX Nov12 Sep16 Aug26 Jul23 Jun24 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 111 30.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of ALEXANDRA RYLEE by AFLEET ALEX)
7  CATCH THAT PARTY Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 Jun23 May28 (maker j)BRAVO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
8  MCLOVIN Sep09 Aug06 Jul08 Sep10 Jun03 (delacour arnau)LEVEY M 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
9  SERIFOS Nov04 Sep30 Sep10 Jul27 Jun18 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6% 14.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
10  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Oct13 Mar04 Jan28 Nov26 Oct14 (maker michae)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.