The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $15.60 -8.00
AQU-2   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
AQU-3   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.90 $4.90 -3.10
AQU-4   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.60 -6.00
AQU-5   Win (3/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $47.20 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
AQU-7   Win (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.30 -8.00
AQU-8   Win (12/14/1/13/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $74.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:14 1:282   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH KISS 5 6 64 53 31 1nk 1(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 6.80  
COLLECT FROM IKE 7 3 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 2(pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 12.50  
MEMPHIS 2 5 8 85 77 43(potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 24% 3.20 1.95 S
1A  MUDVILLE NINE 6 4 53 42 42 343 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 34% 1.90 2.90  
SOUTH STREET 4 7 7 7 55 6513¼ (jones edua)DAVIS A 120 4.50 10% 8.90 2.75  
SCREW LOOSE 3 1 3 1½ 2nk 54 616½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 15.90 6.70  
OPPORTUNITY SET 1 2 4 63 89 810 721¼ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 2.50 2.90  
2B  PINE VALLEY 8 8 1 31 6 79 821¾ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 4.50 2.75  
 
AQU-2   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:134     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS GIRL 5 4 3 3½   12 1(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 43% 1.30 1.30 W
SIMPLE SUGAR 7 1 2½ 1½   22 2(giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 4.00 7.30  
JACKSON AVENUE 6 5 5 6   33(breed rona)DAVIS A 123 5.00 6.10 S
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 2 7 63 54   48 4(barker edward )HARKIE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
WARTAPPED 4 2 1½ 2½   511 521 (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 7.30  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 1 6 75 79   617 626¾ (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 22.90  
DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 3 4 4   7100 7100 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 29% 2.50 2.85  
 
AQU-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY 4 5 5 3.2   12 1(reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00 24% 3.20 1.45 W
KILLY START 6 8 8 5   32(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6% 14.80 2.40 P
JACKIE THE JOKER 5 4 7 6   63(bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 4.00 S
MERAVIGLIOSO 2 6 2½ 1nk   22 4(diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 13.40  
DIVA BANKER 1 7 6 7   75 5(rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 4.00 46% 1.20    
MIDTOWN ROSE 7 2 3½ 4   43 6(englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
HONORABLE LILLY 3 1 1½ 2nk   5710½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 20.00 40.50  
OUR LITTLE TIGER 8 3 41 8   88 813¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 20.30  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
SCR  SLACK TIDE               (kantarmaci mert)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCOLNVILLE BEACH 4 7 7 2½   1nk 1½ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 4.80  
MENDED WE STAND 5 3 2nk 1½   2nk 2½ (padilla-)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 6.00 7.20  
LOCKBOX 6 2 31 5   431 (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 14% 6.30 18.80 S
ROJA LIGERA 7 1 6 42   31 42 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 15% 5.80 4.80  
BERN ROSEY BERN 1 4 5 75   66 55 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 3.05  
FULIGNI 3 6 4 6   56(bond harold )RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.60  
SILVER FIST 2 5 1nk 3   7720¾ (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.90  
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-5   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANAFEELING 6 3 21 2½ 1½ 12 1(servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 123 15.00 22.60  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 4 9 9 7 5 22 2(de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 9.40  
LOCKE AND KEY 9 7 6 5 43 43 3(ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 32% 2.10 2.10 S
SIGNAL CORPS 3 4 11 1½ 2½ 32 4(pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.95  
HORSE BE WITH YOU 2 2 5 6 810½ 66 510 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 40.00  
10  LEO AND ROYAL 10 8 31 31 32 5611¾ (englehart je)RIVERA R 118 10.00 12.20  
AULA 5 5 7 8 7 78 712½ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 8.70  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 7 10 1010¾ 9 911 89 812¾ (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 120 20.00 47.50  
SHPILKES 8 6 8 10 1015 1011½ 917¼ (preciado gua)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 12% 7.60 9.70  
SHARED SUCCESS 1 1 42 4 6 911 1025 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
AQU-6   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK FREE 5 3 42 31   1½ 1(delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 37% 1.70 4.00 W
LA GIRVINA 8 8 2½ 2nk   2½ 2(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 17% 4.80 1.60 P
MISINTENTION 1 5 6 63   32 3(mott willia)VARGAS A 122 3.50 5.40  
CONFIRMED STAR 7 1 1½ 1nk   44(reid robert )SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 7% 14.40 7.80  
NYXED 2 4 5 4   55(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 18% 4.50 2.45  
ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 4 6 75 7   6610¼ (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 28.00  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 3 7 8 810½   713 712¼ (metivier richar)OLVER MADISON 117 30.00 84.75  
LIL JERSEY GIRL 6 2 3 52   823 835½ (siculietano )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 50.00 97.50  
 
AQU-7   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 1 2½ 1nk   11(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00 3.15  
ROYAL POPPY 8 7 5 4   22(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 8% 10.80 3.25 P
1A  TAMING THE TIGRESS 6 8 8 8   77 3(jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 3.15  
DESERT DALLIANCE 2 6 64 6   67 4(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 7.70  
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 7 2 42 3   34 511 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 9% 10.50 2.85  
STONEWALL STAR 1 4 31 5   55 611¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 56% 0.80 3.35  
PEAK OF CHIC 3 5 1½ 2nk   4714¾ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00 5% 18.20 17.80  
BANK ON ANNA 4 3 75 7   810½ 816¾ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 15.30  
SCR  MISSY GREER               (morley thoma)RIVERA R 113 20.00    
 
AQU-8   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:012     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSARIA 2 6 5 53   2nk 1nk (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
GOING FOR GLORY 6 8 1019¾ 1020   107 2nk (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 10.10  
14  NECESSARYANDPROPER 11 1 4 3   3½ 3½ (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 29% 2.50 5.10 S
NO LAYUPS 1 5 3 42   4¾ 41 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11% 8.00 6.20  
LADY LAWRENCE 5 7 811¼ 910   65(progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
ALOTTA JAYS 4 10 915¼ 8   762 (schettino domi)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 48.00  
12  NEEDED 9 2 1nk 1½   1nk 7(morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 32% 2.10 1.05  
10  MIA NIPOTINA 8 3 6 65   58(sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 10.00 10.10  
KHALI'S STORM 3 9 710¾ 79   89(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 63.25  
13  REZOOM 10 4 2nk 2½   910(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
DREAMERY 7 11 1121¾ 1121½   1111½ 1111¼ (o'callahan ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 25.75  
SCR  MISS NYQUIST               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
SCR  NIGERIA               (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  SPICY TUNA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.