Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $16.60 $4.60 38%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:14 1:282   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FLASH KISS 5 6 64 53 31 1nk 11½ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 6.80  
6  COLLECT FROM IKE 7 3 21½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 21½ (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 12.50  
3  MEMPHIS 2 5 84¾ 85 77 43½ 32¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 24% 3.20 1.95 S
1A  MUDVILLE NINE 6 4 53 42 42 32½ 43 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 34% 1.90 2.90  
2  SOUTH STREET 4 7 74¼ 73½ 55 64½ 513¼ (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 4.50 10% 8.90 2.75  
4  SCREW LOOSE 3 1 31½ 1½ 2nk 54 616½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 15.90 6.70  
1  OPPORTUNITY SET 1 2 42½ 63 89 810 721¼ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 2.50 ★ 2.90  
2B  PINE VALLEY 8 8 11½ 31 65½ 79 821¾ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 4.50 2.75  
 
AQU-2   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:134     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CUPIDS GIRL 5 4 31½ 3½   12 11¾ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 43% 1.30 1.30 W
7  SIMPLE SUGAR 7 1 2½ 1½   22 21¾ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 4.00 7.30  
6  JACKSON AVENUE 6 5 52½ 64½   35½ 37¼ (breed ro)DAVIS A 123 5.00 ★ 6.10 S
2  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 2 7 63 54   48 48½ (barker edwar)HARKIE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
4  WARTAPPED 4 2 1½ 2½   511 521 (delauro edward )DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 7.30  
1  MADDIE'S SURPRISE 1 6 75 79   617 626¾ (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 22.90  
3  DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 3 41½ 43½   7100 7100 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 29% 2.50 2.85  
 
AQU-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  I'M BUZZY 4 5 51¼ 3.2   12 13¼ (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00 24% 3.20 1.45 W
6  KILLY START 6 8 83¼ 51¾   32½ 23¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6% 14.80 2.40 P
5  JACKIE THE JOKER 5 4 72¼ 62¼   63½ 33½ (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 ★ 4.00 S
2  MERAVIGLIOSO 2 6 2½ 1nk   22 43¾ (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 13.40  
1  DIVA BANKER 1 7 62¼ 72¾   75 58½ (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 4.00 46% 1.20    
7  MIDTOWN ROSE 7 2 3½ 41¼   43 69¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
3  HONORABLE LILLY 3 1 1½ 2nk   53½ 710½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 20.00 40.50  
9  OUR LITTLE TIGER 8 3 41 83¾   88 813¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 20.30  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SLACK TIDE               (kantarmaci me)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH 4 7 73¾ 2½   1nk 1½ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 4.80  
6  MENDED WE STAND 5 3 2nk 1½   2nk 2½ (padill)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 6.00 7.20  
7  LOCKBOX 6 2 31 52½   41½ 31 (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 14% 6.30 18.80 S
8  ROJA LIGERA 7 1 62¾ 42   31 42 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 15% 5.80 4.80  
1  BERN ROSEY BERN 1 4 51¾ 75   66 55 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★ 3.05  
4  FULIGNI 3 6 41¼ 62½   55½ 65¼ (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.60  
2  SILVER FIST 2 5 1nk 31½   79½ 720¾ (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.90  
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-5   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MORETHANAFEELING 6 3 21 2½ 1½ 12 13¼ (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 123 15.00 22.60  
4  AMEDEUS MUSIC 4 9 97¾ 74¾ 53½ 22 23¼ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 9.40  
9  LOCKE AND KEY 9 7 62¾ 52½ 43 43 34¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 32% 2.10 2.10 S
3  SIGNAL CORPS 3 4 11 1½ 2½ 32 44¾ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.95  
2  HORSE BE WITH YOU 2 2 52¼ 64½ 810½ 66 510 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 40.00  
10  LEO AND ROYAL 10 8 31 31 32 53½ 611¾ (englehart )RIVERA R 118 10.00 12.20  
5  AULA 5 5 74¼ 85¾ 79½ 78 712½ (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 ★ 8.70  
7  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 7 10 1010¾ 96¾ 911 89 812¾ (friedman mit)HARKIE K 120 20.00 47.50  
8  SHPILKES 8 6 85¾ 108¾ 1015 1011½ 917¼ (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 12% 7.60 9.70  
1  SHARED SUCCESS 1 1 42 42½ 68½ 911 1025 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
AQU-6   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RISK FREE 5 3 42 31   1½ 11¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 37% 1.70 4.00 W
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
8  LA GIRVINA 8 8 2½ 2nk   2½ 21¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 17% 4.80 1.60 P
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
1  MISINTENTION 1 5 63½ 63   32 31¾ (mott will)VARGAS A 122 3.50 5.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
7  CONFIRMED STAR 7 1 1½ 1nk   43½ 46¼ (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 7% 14.40 7.80  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ITS MY TOWN by COWTOWN CAT)
2  NYXED 2 4 52½ 41½   56½ 58¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 18% 4.50 2.45  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
4  ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 4 6 75 74½   68½ 610¼ (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 28.00  
  (by ARROGATE out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
3  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 3 7 87½ 810½   713 712¼ (metivier rich)OLVER MADISON 117 30.00 84.75  
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
6  LIL JERSEY GIRL 6 2 31½ 52   823 835½ (siculietan)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 50.00 97.50  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of NORTHERN WARRIOR by DESERT WARRIOR)
 
AQU-7   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 1 2½ 1nk   12½ 15¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00 3.15  
8  ROYAL POPPY 8 7 52½ 41¾   22½ 25¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 8% 10.80 3.25 P
1A  TAMING THE TIGRESS 6 8 87½ 89¼   77 35¼ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 3.15  
3  DESERT DALLIANCE 2 6 64 66¾   67 49¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 7.70  
7  DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 7 2 42 31½   34 511 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 9% 10.50 2.85  
2  STONEWALL STAR 1 4 31 52¾   55 611¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 56% 0.80 3.35  
4  PEAK OF CHIC 3 5 1½ 2nk   44½ 714¾ (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00 5% 18.20 17.80  
5  BANK ON ANNA 4 3 75 77¼   810½ 816¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 15.30  
SCR  MISSY GREER               (morley tho)RIVERA R 113 20.00    
 
AQU-8   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:012     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MYSARIA 2 6 53¼ 53   2nk 1nk (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
7  GOING FOR GLORY 6 8 1019¾ 1020   107 2nk (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 10.10  
14  NECESSARYANDPROPER 11 1 41¾ 31½   3½ 3½ (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 29% 2.50 5.10 S
1  NO LAYUPS 1 5 31½ 42   4¾ 41 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11% 8.00 6.20  
6  LADY LAWRENCE 5 7 811¼ 910   64¾ 51¾ (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
5  ALOTTA JAYS 4 10 915¼ 89½   75¼ 62 (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 48.00  
12  NEEDED 9 2 1nk 1½   1nk 72½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 32% 2.10 1.05  
10  MIA NIPOTINA 8 3 64¼ 65   54¾ 86¼ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 10.00 10.10  
3  KHALI'S STORM 3 9 710¾ 79   86¼ 97¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 63.25  
13  REZOOM 10 4 2nk 2½   96¾ 108¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
8  DREAMERY 7 11 1121¾ 1121½   1111½ 1111¼ (o'callahan )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 25.75  
SCR  MISS NYQUIST               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
SCR  NIGERIA               (lakeman an)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  SPICY TUNA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.