Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
AQU-2   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $22.40  
AQU-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
AQU-4   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $31.60  
AQU-5   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.20  
AQU-6   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
AQU-7   Win (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 3.10
AQU-8   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
AQU-9   Win (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 2.50

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-11:50
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:011     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY'S LIGHT 3 3 34 2   2 1¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 11% 8.10 4.50 W
E STORMY 4 1 1 1   1 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 2.30  
EXTRA DIRTY 1 2 2 35   3 3 (chatterpaul )RIVERA R 115 8.00 6.50  
BROWN AS A BISCUIT 5 5 610 510   410 4 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10 8.60  
UNION BELLE 6 6 4 4   510 510¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.10  
MAXIMUM EMILY 2 4 56 610½   613 613 (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 48% 1.10 5.40  
SCR  BELLIQUEUX               (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:143 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING COLORS 4 7 7 7 42 1½ 1 (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 6.00 10.20  
REIGNING CHICK 6 5 41 3½ 2nk 2½ 2 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
1A  SAIL WITH THE WIND 2 2 6 6 6 44 3 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 24% 3.20 2.95 S
SHIGEKO 3 6 3½ 41 3 54 412¾ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 25.50  
LADY FORTUNA 1 1 5 56 7 6 515¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.00 2.95  
JACKSON'S DIXIE 5 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 33 616¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 2.15  
CHASING DAYLIGHT 7 4 1½ 1nk 53 710½ 757¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 51% 1.00 1.50  
SCR  DUCKPHAT               (henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE TIME TO DREAM 3 1 22 2   12 1 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 62% 0.60 0.70 W
TOOSHAY 5 3 45 3   3 2 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00 11% 8.30 2.05 P
DEBBIE DARLING 6 2 12 1   22 3 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 22.80  
DRAMATIC EFFECT 2 5 3 5   511 410¼ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 15.90  
TERESA 1 4 56 4   410½ 510½ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5.40  
THE HONORABLE EYE 4 6 69 614   615 613¼ (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  PRUGOVA               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:143 1:394   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTAVO 3 3 3 42 4 1½ 12 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00 14.80  
NIGHT EFFECT 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ 22 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 2.00  
PROVEN HOPE 5 5 42 3 3½ 2½ 32 (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 3.00 19% 4.20 3.05 S
STJAMES 1 4 6 6 55 56 48 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 15% 5.60 5.30  
JUNGFRAU 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 44 5 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 8.60  
GRANDPA'S KID 2 2 54 55 66 610 621¾ (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.10 2.40  
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 4 3 5 54   4 1¼ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 2.60  
DR. KRAFT 1 1 4 42   3 2¼ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 15% 5.70 2.15 P
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 2 4 2½ 11   1 3¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 55% 0.80 1.90 S
P MONEY 5 5 3 31   2 4 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 10.00 8.80  
PLEASE BE NICE 3 2 1½ 21   511½ 520½ (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 18.50 5.40  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
SCR  QUICK TO ACCUSE               (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAUGHTER OF TIME 7 6 3 31   1½ 11 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.60 2.80 W
MUSIC MELODY 6 5 21 2nk   2½ 21 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 7.70  
LUMENIQUE 4 7 714½ 713   69 38 (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 25.00  
STAMP OF APPROVAL 5 3 52 44   46 48 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 11% 8.30 3.40  
THE TACO LADY 3 4 6 55   58 5 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
SARIR 1 1 11 1nk   35 612¾ (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.30  
YAY HOORAY 2 2 42 68   719 723¾ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 4.20  
 
AQU-7   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWPORT BRIDGE 3 3 43 5   2½ 1¾ (potts wayne)RIVERA R 115 2.00 36% 1.80 3.55 W
DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 4 31 1½   1½ 2¾ (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 10.00 4.00  
BEARY FUNNY 2 6 6 32   3 3 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 37% 1.70 1.10 S
GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 7 79   6 4 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00 29.75  
GRAND AGAIN 7 2 11 42   55 510 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
BASIC TRUTH 6 1 21 2½   4 611½ (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 18.60  
VERY DEBONAIRE 4 5 5 6   7 715½ (belsoeur yvon)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 24.75  
SCR  BARGAINING POWER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX               (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:15 1:402   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPA GIRL 8 4 21 2½ 1½ 12 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 53% 0.90 1.50 W
SWEET MYSTERY 6 3 4 3 2½ 22 2 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
TONED UP 3 2 6 66 67 3 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.65 S
1A  ESSAOUIRA 4 7 55 5 43 46 410 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 2.65  
MYTOWN MYRULES 7 1 11 1½ 3 610½ 515 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 10.20  
RAYYA VALENTINE 1 6 32 4 55 510 615¼ (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 6.70  
I FEEL THE NEED 5 8 814½ 817 822½ 825½ 734¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 8.10  
CARAGATE 2 5 7 79 713½ 719½ 841¾ (friedman mit)RIVERA R 115 20.00 22.60  
 
AQU-9   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT GAUDENS 8 4 21 2½ 1 17 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.25 W
MERLIN'S MOMENT 4 10 105 10 5 37 2 (bond harold )RIVERA R 115 12.00 18.00  
QUIET WISDOM 1 8 9 7 46 27 37 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 68% 0.50 1.80 S
1A  BIG EGO 10 5 52 5 2 4 411¼ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 1.80  
LAND D'ORO 5 2 42 42 611½ 612½ 512¼ (clement christo)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 21.90  
BERNING BEAUTY 7 3 6 6 3 510½ 613¼ (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 6% 14.60 4.60  
OUTTAWATERBURY 2 7 8 9 712½ 715½ 719 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 6.60  
AVA'S UNCLE BILLY 3 9 73 8 815½ 817½ 822½ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 14.20  
CHARLES J 6 6 3 32 919 919 924¼ (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 9.10  
10  THIS TIME YES 9 11 11 1111¾ 1021½ 1026 1033½ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 55.00  
11  SOLO EMPIRE 11 1 11 1½ 1122 1131 1145¼ (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 49.75  
SCR  DILLON               (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.