Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.00 $5.00 83%
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.10 $3.10 52%
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $19.60 $7.60 63%
AQU-8   DD (1/3/8)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $13.10 $4.10 46%
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-3-7 $51.75 $15.75 44%
AQU-9   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $8.50 $2.50 42%
    DD (7/1/5)-(1/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-9 $14.30 $5.30 59%
    PK3 (1/3/8)-(7/1/5)-(1/8/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-7-9 $96.50 $69.50 257%
    PK4 (7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8)-(7/1/5)-(1/8/9) 108 $0.50 $54.00  7-3-7-9 $138.75 $84.75 157%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-11:50
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:011     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMY'S LIGHT 3 3 34 24½   23½ 1¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 11% 8.10 4.50 W
5  E STORMY 4 1 13½ 14½   13½ 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 2.30  
2  EXTRA DIRTY 1 2 23½ 35   35½ 37¼ (chatterpau)RIVERA R 115 8.00 6.50  
6  BROWN AS A BISCUIT 5 5 610 510   410 47½ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10 8.60  
7  UNION BELLE 6 6 45½ 48½   510 510¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.10  
3  MAXIMUM EMILY 2 4 56 610½   613 613 (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 48% 1.10 5.40  
SCR  BELLIQUEUX               (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:143 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RACING COLORS 4 7 75½ 76¾ 42 1½ 15¾ (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 6.00 10.20  
6  REIGNING CHICK 6 5 41 3½ 2nk 2½ 25¾ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
1A  SAIL WITH THE WIND 2 2 63½ 66¼ 63½ 44 37¼ (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 24% 3.20 2.95 S
3  SHIGEKO 3 6 3½ 41 31½ 54 412¾ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 25.50  
1  LADY FORTUNA 1 1 51½ 56 76½ 67½ 515¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.00 2.95  
5  JACKSON'S DIXIE 5 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 33 616¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★ 2.15  
7  CHASING DAYLIGHT 7 4 1½ 1nk 53 710½ 757¼ (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 51% 1.00 1.50  
SCR  DUCKPHAT               (henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 3 1 22 21½   12 12¾ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 62% 0.60 0.70 W
6  TOOSHAY 5 3 45 35½   35½ 22¾ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00 11% 8.30 2.05 P
7  DEBBIE DARLING 6 2 12 11½   22 32¾ (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 22.80  
2  DRAMATIC EFFECT 2 5 33½ 58½   511 410¼ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 15.90  
1  TERESA 1 4 56 45½   410½ 510½ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5.40  
5  THE HONORABLE EYE 4 6 69 614   615 613¼ (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  PRUGOVA               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:143 1:394   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CENTAVO 3 3 31½ 42 41½ 1½ 12 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00 14.80  
4  NIGHT EFFECT 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ 22 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 2.00  
6  PROVEN HOPE 5 5 42 31½ 3½ 2½ 32 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 123 3.00 19% 4.20 3.05 S
1  STJAMES 1 4 65½ 66½ 55 56 48 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 15% 5.60 5.30  
7  JUNGFRAU 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 44 58½ (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 8.60  
2  GRANDPA'S KID 2 2 54 55 66 610 621¾ (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.10 2.40  
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK 4 3 52½ 54   43½ 1¼ (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 2.60  
2  DR. KRAFT 1 1 41½ 42   33½ 2¼ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 15% 5.70 2.15 P
4  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 2 4 2½ 11   11½ 3¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 55% 0.80 1.90 S
7  P MONEY 5 5 31½ 31   21½ 42¾ (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 10.00 8.80  
5  PLEASE BE NICE 3 2 1½ 21   511½ 520½ (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 18.50 5.40  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
SCR  QUICK TO ACCUSE               (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DAUGHTER OF TIME 7 6 31½ 31   1½ 11 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.60 2.80 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PARADISE BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
6  MUSIC MELODY 6 5 21 2nk   2½ 21 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 7.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SEAM by UNION RAGS)
4  LUMENIQUE 4 7 714½ 713   69 38 (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 25.00  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of FILM IDOL by BERNARDINI)
5  STAMP OF APPROVAL 5 3 52 44   46 48 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 11% 8.30 3.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of THIS IS MAGIC by BERNARDINI)
3  THE TACO LADY 3 4 63½ 55   58 58¾ (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
1  SARIR 1 1 11 1nk   35 612¾ (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.30  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
2  YAY HOORAY 2 2 42 68   719 723¾ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 4.20  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-7   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEWPORT BRIDGE 3 3 43 52½   2½ 1¾ (potts wayn)RIVERA R 115 2.00 36% 1.80 3.55 W
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 4 31 1½   1½ 2¾ (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 10.00 4.00  
1  BEARY FUNNY 2 6 64¾ 32   31½ 31¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 37% 1.70 1.10 S
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 79¼ 79   66½ 47¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00 29.75  
8  GRAND AGAIN 7 2 11 42   55 510 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
7  BASIC TRUTH 6 1 21 2½   43½ 611½ (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 18.60  
5  VERY DEBONAIRE 4 5 54½ 68½   79½ 715½ (belsoeur yvon)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 ★ 24.75  
SCR  BARGAINING POWER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX               (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:15 1:402   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COPPA GIRL 8 4 21 2½ 1½ 12 15¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 53% 0.90 1.50 W
5  SWEET MYSTERY 6 3 42½ 31½ 2½ 22 25¼ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
1  TONED UP 3 2 65½ 66 67 35½ 38½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.65 S
1A  ESSAOUIRA 4 7 55 53½ 43 46 410 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 2.65  
6  MYTOWN MYRULES 7 1 11 1½ 32½ 610½ 515 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 10.20  
2  RAYYA VALENTINE 1 6 32 42½ 55 510 615¼ (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 6.70  
4  I FEEL THE NEED 5 8 814½ 817 822½ 825½ 734¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 8.10  
3  CARAGATE 2 5 77½ 79 713½ 719½ 841¾ (friedman m)RIVERA R 115 20.00 ★ 22.60  
 
AQU-9   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAINT GAUDENS 8 4 21 2½ 15½ 17 16½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.25 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS AGROTERA by ROMAN RULER)
5  MERLIN'S MOMENT 4 10 105 105¾ 56½ 37 26½ (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 12.00 18.00  
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
1  QUIET WISDOM 1 8 94½ 74¼ 46 27 37 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 68% 0.50 1.80 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1A  BIG EGO 10 5 52 52¼ 25½ 47½ 411¼ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 1.80  
  (by FLATTER out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
6  LAND D'ORO 5 2 42 42 611½ 612½ 512¼ (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 21.90  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
8  BERNING BEAUTY 7 3 62½ 62¾ 35½ 510½ 613¼ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 6% 14.60 4.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  OUTTAWATERBURY 2 7 83½ 94¾ 712½ 715½ 719 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 ★ 6.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
3  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY 3 9 73 84¼ 815½ 817½ 822½ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 14.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AVA K. by DIXIE UNION)
7  CHARLES J 6 6 31½ 32 919 919 924¼ (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★ 9.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
10  THIS TIME YES 9 11 118½ 1111¾ 1021½ 1026 1033½ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 55.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITRUS BLOOM by LEMON DROP KID)
11  SOLO EMPIRE 11 1 11 1½ 1122 1131 1145¼ (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 49.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DILLON               (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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