Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(7/1/6)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(3/6/5)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/6/1)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/2/5)-(7/1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(1/3/8)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/8)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8)-(7/1/5)-(1/8/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(1/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/2/7)-(1/8/9/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLIQUEUX         (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
2  EXTRA DIRTY Feb04 Jan07 Dec28 Dec01 Nov24 (chatterpau)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
3  MAXIMUM EMILY         (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  AMY'S LIGHT Jan05         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  E STORMY Jan07 Dec16       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
6  BROWN AS A BISCUIT Feb04 Nov01       (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
7  UNION BELLE Dec28 Nov12 Oct14     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY FORTUNA Jan07 Nov26 Sep03 Jul22 Jul02 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
1A  SAIL WITH THE WIND Nov19 Oct19 Oct01 Aug27 Jul29 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  DUCKPHAT Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 Aug18 Jul26 (henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
3  SHIGEKO Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Sep14 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
4  RACING COLORS Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct19 Sep22 (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
5  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec29 Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 Oct27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★    
6  REIGNING CHICK Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 Jul27 Jul03 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHASING DAYLIGHT Dec30 Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 Aug11 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERESA Jan13 Dec08 Oct12 Aug10   (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
2  DRAMATIC EFFECT Dec15 Nov05 Oct06 Jul29   (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
3  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  PRUGOVA Jan26         (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
5  THE HONORABLE EYE Aug30 Jul17 Jun26 May29   (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOOSHAY Dec15 Nov16 Oct06 Aug16 Jun03 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  DEBBIE DARLING Nov26 Nov10 Oct15 Mar11 Feb11 (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STJAMES Jan12 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Aug20 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  GRANDPA'S KID Dec29 Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 Oct11 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  CENTAVO Jan27 Jan12 Jan01 Dec15 Aug02 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00    
4  NIGHT EFFECT Jan27 Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 Jun30 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Jan11 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
6  PROVEN HOPE Jan13 Dec28 Oct15 Oct04 Sep09 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  JUNGFRAU Jan27 Dec28 Sep17 Jun02 Apr01 (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAYWING Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 May02 (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
2  DR. KRAFT Dec16 Dec01 Aug15 Jun26 May14 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  QUICK TO ACCUSE Jan13 Nov18 Oct01 Aug05 Dec03 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
4  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Dec30 Nov16 Dec15 May14   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
5  PLEASE BE NICE Jan13 Feb20 Jan07     (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 18.50    
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK Jan27 Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Aug10 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
7  P MONEY Sep17 Aug03 Jan27 Dec30   (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARIR Dec17         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
2  YAY HOORAY         (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  THE TACO LADY         (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
4  LUMENIQUE         (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of FILM IDOL by BERNARDINI)
5  STAMP OF APPROVAL         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of THIS IS MAGIC by BERNARDINI)
6  MUSIC MELODY         (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SEAM by UNION RAGS)
7  DAUGHTER OF TIME Jan14         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PARADISE BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
 
AQU-7   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEARY FUNNY Jan04 Dec14 Nov16 Oct28 Aug27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BARGAINING POWER Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Oct05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jan18 Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00    
3  NEWPORT BRIDGE Jan26 Dec30 Oct15 Sep04 Aug26 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX Feb03 Jan06 Dec17 Jan01 Dec04 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
5  VERY DEBONAIRE Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 (belsoeur yvon)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 ★    
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jan28 Dec28 Dec09 Dec03 Nov25 (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
7  BASIC TRUTH May06 Mar25 Feb09 Jan05 Dec02 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
8  GRAND AGAIN Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Jul30 Jul09 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONED UP Dec28 Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 Sep04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
1A  ESSAOUIRA Dec14 Nov01 Sep09 Jun22 May13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00    
2  RAYYA VALENTINE Jan06 Dec15 Oct19 Sep24 Aug18 (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00    
3  CARAGATE Jan14 Nov26 Nov05 Jan12 Dec01 (friedman m)RIVERA R 115 20.00 ★    
4  I FEEL THE NEED Jan01 Dec08 Oct18 Jul22 Jun16 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
5  SWEET MYSTERY Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 Aug24 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MYTOWN MYRULES Dec10 Sep21 Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00    
7  COPPA GIRL Jan14 Dec16 Nov26 Sep04 Aug09 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-9   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET WISDOM Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Sep14 Aug12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 68% 0.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1A  BIG EGO         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
  (by FLATTER out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
2  OUTTAWATERBURY Jan13 Dec10 Nov12     (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
3  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY Jan13 Dec10       (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AVA K. by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  DILLON Jan13 Nov03 Sep17 Aug03   (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
5  MERLIN'S MOMENT         (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
6  LAND D'ORO         (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
7  CHARLES J Dec29 Nov16       (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
8  BERNING BEAUTY Jan13         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 6% 14.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  SAINT GAUDENS Jan18         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS AGROTERA by ROMAN RULER)
10  THIS TIME YES Jan18 Oct20       (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITRUS BLOOM by LEMON DROP KID)
11  SOLO EMPIRE Jan18 Dec16 Dec02     (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.