Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
AQU-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
AQU-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.70  
AQU-4   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
AQU-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 7.40
AQU-6   Win (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $16.80  
AQU-7   Win (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60
AQU-8   Win (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
AQU-9   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:163     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEXT ON STAGE 3 1 1½ 1½   13 17 (de horac)RIVERA R 115 0.80 56% 0.80 0.55 W
7  CELESTIAL EXPRESS 7 5 42 3½   23 27 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6.50  
4  NATURAL FACT 4 7 53 62¾   34½ 38¾ (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 21.00  
2  AUTUMN'S TURN 2 2 74 74¾   713 413 (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 21.10  
5  BROWN AS A BISCUIT 5 4 2½ 2½   59 514 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 22% 3.70 5.80  
1  EXTRA DIRTY 1 3 31½ 42   48½ 614½ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 ★ 10.30  
6  MAGGIE'S SONG 6 6 63½ 52½   611½ 721 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
AQU-2   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINTRACK 1 2 1nk 11   14 14½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 44% 1.30 2.45 W
1A  BEACHWALKER 6 6 610¼ 68   37 24½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 3.20  
3  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 2 1 2nk 21   24 37½ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 2.00 25% 3.10 4.30 S
4  VICTORIOUS WAVE 3 3 52¼ 32   47 49¾ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.80 1.70  
6  POPPY'S PRIDE 4 5 31½ 54½   58½ 510 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 7.90  
1  SUNRISE JOURNEY 5 4 41¾ 42½   69 619 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 115 2.50 3.20  
SCR  GRAND AGAIN               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 50.00    
 
AQU-3   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:162 1:424   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ 1¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 3.35  
4  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 4 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 22½ 2¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 2.05  
2  PORTOS 2 6 65 64½ 54½ 43½ 33 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 5.60  
5  WINNING CONNECTION 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 32½ 47¼ (barrera oscar )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 21% 3.70 4.40  
6  UNION LIGHTS 6 4 42½ 42 42 54½ 58½ (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
3  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 3 5 54 54 65 68 69¼ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 51% 1.00 2.75  
 
AQU-4   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :494 1:17     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 4 1 31 31½   11½ 11¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 53% 0.90 0.75 W
6  FANCY FELINE 5 6 63½ 64   33½ 21¼ (sells rachel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.30 5.50 P
3  BERN ROSEY BERN 2 4 1nk 1nk   21½ 32¼ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5.80  
7  TRY IT AGAIN 6 2 52 53   44½ 43¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11.50  
2  LOCKBOX 1 5 41½ 42½   55½ 56¾ (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 7.20  
4  ROJA LIGERA 3 3 2nk 2nk   66 613 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 12% 7.60 6.80  
SCR  MENDED WE STAND               (padilla-preciado )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
 
AQU-5   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:171 1:441   1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNCLE MARTY 6 6 47½ 58½ 55 44½ 11 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 W
3  HORSE BE WITH YOU 3 1 1½ 11½ 1½ 11½ 21 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 14% 6.20 3.85 P
5  CLEVER FOREVER 5 2 2½ 21½ 2½ 21½ 33½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 60% 0.70 1.30 S
2  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 2 3 59½ 48 43 33 43½ (friedman mit)RIVERA R 115 10.00 11.20  
4  REFUAH 4 4 35½ 36½ 33 55 58½ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 3.00  
1  SUPREME BEING 1 5 613½ 613½ 66 68½ 610 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 11.50  
 
AQU-6   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WRITER'S REGRET 5 5 62¾ 42   21 12 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 7.40  
6  BRONX BOMBER 6 1 11 11½   11 22 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.20 5.60 P
3  BUSTIN SHOUT 3 2 52¼ 63½   41¼ 32¾ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.50 50% 1.00 2.50 S
4  SIX PERCENT 4 7 74¼ 74½   73¼ 43¾ (noda orlando)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 3.05  
7  BREAKING STONES 7 4 21 21½   31 54¼ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
2  WARRIORS REVENGE 2 3 32 31½   51¾ 65¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.40 6.30  
1  HORN OF PLENTY 1 6 42 53   63¼ 76 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 113 3.00 4.70  
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
 
AQU-7   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KENTUCKY JOKER 5 6 67 68   55½ 1nk (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
4  VODKA MARDINI 3 1 1½ 11½   12½ 2nk (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5.40  
7  M B'S MUNNING 6 2 2½ 21½   43 31¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 7% 12.70 4.30 S
8  UNCLE GEORGE 7 7 32 32   22½ 42¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 36% 1.70 2.80  
3  RETURN THE RING 2 3 42½ 42   32½ 52½ (barker r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 6.90  
5  PINE VALLEY 4 5 55 56   66½ 64½ (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 50.00 37.25  
1  NATURAL HARBOR 1 4 78 78¼   77 75¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 32% 2.10 2.00  
SCR  LOOKIN' SUPER               (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LEELOO 5 3 2nk 1½   11 12¾ (correas i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.40 W
5  PROUD FOOT 3 1 1nk 2½   21 22¾ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 9.50 3.25 P
4  PORTAGE 1 5 58½ 510   57 34½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70 3.30 S
2B  TAMING THE TIGRESS 4 2 42½ 44   34½ 45¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 6.20  
1A  CRYPTO MAMA 2 4 3½ 33½   44½ 58½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 4.80  
SCR  BENEATH THE STARS               (gaudet lacey)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
AQU-9   02/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COLLECTED SPECIAL 6 1 12½ 12½   12 13½ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 0.80 72% 0.40 0.55 W
2  THE DELAWARE BOYZ 2 2 22½ 22½   22 23½ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 9.40  
5  DIANNESRETIRING 4 5 56½ 57   312 311¾ (dutrow rich)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
3  ARCO AUGUSTA 3 4 34 35½   412 411¾ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 18.60 6.20  
6  RORY'S ORCHARD 5 6 67 68   512½ 514½ (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 10.00  
1  GO GRAD 1 3 45 46½   612¾ 616½ (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 30.00  
SCR  IN A MINUTE               (ryerson t)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
SCR  RETAIL MAN               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.