The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90
AQU-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
AQU-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.70 -6.00
AQU-4   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
AQU-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 7.40
AQU-6   Win (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $16.80 -8.00
AQU-7   Win (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60
AQU-8   Win (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
AQU-9   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:163     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT ON STAGE 3 1 1½ 1½   13 17 (de horac)RIVERA R 115 0.80 56% 0.80 0.55 W
CELESTIAL EXPRESS 7 5 42 3½   23 27 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6.50  
NATURAL FACT 4 7 53 6   33(pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 21.00  
AUTUMN'S TURN 2 2 74 7   713 413 (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 21.10  
BROWN AS A BISCUIT 5 4 2½ 2½   59 514 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 22% 3.70 5.80  
EXTRA DIRTY 1 3 3 42   4614½ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 10.30  
MAGGIE'S SONG 6 6 6 5   611½ 721 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
AQU-2   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTRACK 1 2 1nk 11   14 1(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 44% 1.30 2.45 W
1A  BEACHWALKER 6 6 610¼ 68   37 2(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 3.20  
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 2 1 2nk 21   24 3(potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 2.00 25% 3.10 4.30 S
VICTORIOUS WAVE 3 3 5 32   47 4(englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.80 1.70  
POPPY'S PRIDE 4 5 3 5   5510 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 7.90  
SUNRISE JOURNEY 5 4 4 4   69 619 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 115 2.50 3.20  
SCR  GRAND AGAIN               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 50.00    
 
AQU-3   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:162 1:424   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 3.35  
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 4 3 3 3 3 22¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 2.05  
PORTOS 2 6 65 6 5 433 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 5.60  
WINNING CONNECTION 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 34(barrera oscar )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 21% 3.70 4.40  
UNION LIGHTS 6 4 4 42 42 55(jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 3 5 54 54 65 68 6(duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 51% 1.00 2.75  
 
AQU-4   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :494 1:17     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBOT'S VALENTINE 4 1 31 3   11(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 53% 0.90 0.75 W
FANCY FELINE 5 6 6 64   32(sells rachel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.30 5.50 P
BERN ROSEY BERN 2 4 1nk 1nk   23(maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5.80  
TRY IT AGAIN 6 2 52 53   44(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11.50  
LOCKBOX 1 5 4 4   55(d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 7.20  
ROJA LIGERA 3 3 2nk 2nk   66 613 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 12% 7.60 6.80  
SCR  MENDED WE STAND               (padilla-preciado )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
 
AQU-5   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:171 1:441   1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE MARTY 6 6 4 5 55 411 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 W
HORSE BE WITH YOU 3 1 1½ 1 1½ 121 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 14% 6.20 3.85 P
CLEVER FOREVER 5 2 2½ 2 2½ 23(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 60% 0.70 1.30 S
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 2 3 5 48 43 33 4(friedman mit)RIVERA R 115 10.00 11.20  
REFUAH 4 4 3 3 33 55 5(walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 3.00  
SUPREME BEING 1 5 613½ 613½ 66 6610 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 11.50  
 
AQU-6   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITER'S REGRET 5 5 6 42   21 12 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 7.40  
BRONX BOMBER 6 1 11 1   11 22 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.20 5.60 P
BUSTIN SHOUT 3 2 5 6   43(rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.50 50% 1.00 2.50 S
SIX PERCENT 4 7 7 7   74(noda orlando)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 3.05  
BREAKING STONES 7 4 21 2   31 5(barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
WARRIORS REVENGE 2 3 32 3   56(hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.40 6.30  
HORN OF PLENTY 1 6 42 53   676 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 113 3.00 4.70  
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
 
AQU-7   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY JOKER 5 6 67 68   51nk (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
VODKA MARDINI 3 1 1½ 1   12nk (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5.40  
M B'S MUNNING 6 2 2½ 2   43 3(noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 7% 12.70 4.30 S
UNCLE GEORGE 7 7 32 32   24(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 36% 1.70 2.80  
RETURN THE RING 2 3 4 42   35(barker r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 6.90  
PINE VALLEY 4 5 55 56   66(jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 50.00 37.25  
NATURAL HARBOR 1 4 78 7   77 7(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 32% 2.10 2.00  
SCR  LOOKIN' SUPER               (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEELOO 5 3 2nk 1½   11 1(correas i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.40 W
PROUD FOOT 3 1 1nk 2½   21 2(dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 9.50 3.25 P
PORTAGE 1 5 5 510   57 3(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70 3.30 S
2B  TAMING THE TIGRESS 4 2 4 44   34(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 6.20  
1A  CRYPTO MAMA 2 4 3½ 3   45(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 4.80  
SCR  BENEATH THE STARS               (gaudet lacey)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
AQU-9   02/04/2024 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTED SPECIAL 6 1 1 1   12 1(delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 0.80 72% 0.40 0.55 W
THE DELAWARE BOYZ 2 2 2 2   22 2(duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 9.40  
DIANNESRETIRING 4 5 5 57   312 311¾ (dutrow rich)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
ARCO AUGUSTA 3 4 34 3   412 411¾ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 18.60 6.20  
RORY'S ORCHARD 5 6 67 68   512½ 514½ (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 10.00  
GO GRAD 1 3 45 4   612¾ 616½ (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 30.00  
SCR  IN A MINUTE               (ryerson t)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
SCR  RETAIL MAN               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.