Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/3/4)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/5/6)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/3/6)-(3/2/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/2/6/7)-(8/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(8/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(8/1/7/6)-(4/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(4/8/5)-(8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA DIRTY Jan07 Dec28 Dec01 Nov24 Oct14 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 ★    
2  AUTUMN'S TURN         (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
3  NEXT ON STAGE Jan07 Oct29 Oct07 Sep03 Aug06 (de hor)RIVERA R 115 0.80 56% 0.80    
4  NATURAL FACT Nov24         (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
5  BROWN AS A BISCUIT Nov01         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 22% 3.70    
6  MAGGIE'S SONG         (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  CELESTIAL EXPRESS Dec30 Nov03 Oct14     (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-2   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNRISE JOURNEY Nov10 Aug04 Jul04 May28 Apr23 (jacobson d)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
1A  BEACHWALKER Jan06 Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 Oct04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50    
2  PRINTRACK Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct04 Aug30 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
3  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jan12 Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 Aug24 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
4  VICTORIOUS WAVE Dec09 Nov11 Sep16 Aug05 Jun27 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  GRAND AGAIN Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Jul30 Jul09 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 50.00    
6  POPPY'S PRIDE Dec29 Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 Sep16 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULA Jan11 Dec15 Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
2  PORTOS Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Nov02 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50    
3  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Dec03 Nov04 Oct04 Sep03 Aug02 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jan07 Dec10 Oct19 Aug30 Jun04 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
5  WINNING CONNECTION Jan01 Nov26 Oct21 Aug31 Jul22 (barrera osca)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  UNION LIGHTS Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MENDED WE STAND Jan11 Dec19 Dec03 Nov07 Oct20 (padilla-preciad)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
2  LOCKBOX Jan11 Dec28 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
3  BERN ROSEY BERN Jan11 Dec15 Nov19 Oct26 May14 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
4  ROJA LIGERA Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 Aug03 Jun01 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 53% 0.90    
6  FANCY FELINE Dec28 Dec15 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  TRY IT AGAIN Jan26 Dec03 Nov19 Oct26 Oct06 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
 
AQU-5   02/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME BEING Dec17 Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 Sep24 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00    
2  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jan11 Dec17 Nov16 Sep17 Aug27 (friedman m)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
3  HORSE BE WITH YOU Jan11 Dec17 Nov20 Oct23 Oct04 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  REFUAH Dec14 Oct28 Aug27 Aug09 Jul04 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
5  CLEVER FOREVER Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Aug27 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  UNCLE MARTY Dec17 Oct20 Sep24 Aug30 May05 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORN OF PLENTY Jan01 Dec15 Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 (jacobson d)RIVERA R 113 3.00    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct01 Sep02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
2  WARRIORS REVENGE Jan01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct14 Sep16 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
3  BUSTIN SHOUT Jan04 Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Nov03 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  SIX PERCENT Dec09 Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 Jun11 (noda orlando)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
5  WRITER'S REGRET Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 Aug16 Jul23 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00    
6  BRONX BOMBER Jan12 Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 Aug23 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.20    
7  BREAKING STONES Nov22 Oct17 Sep04 Jul31 Jul12 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL HARBOR Jan13 Dec16 Nov03 Sep25 Feb25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  LOOKIN' SUPER Dec12 Nov20 Oct05 Sep02 Aug20 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
3  RETURN THE RING Jan04 Dec16 Nov24 Aug13 Jul08 (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 6.00    
4  VODKA MARDINI Dec29 Nov09 Oct13 Feb02 Jan08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
5  PINE VALLEY Jan11 Dec28 Dec16 Nov10 Nov02 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 50.00    
6  KENTUCKY JOKER Dec28 Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 Mar04 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  M B'S MUNNING Jan05 Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 Oct21 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 7% 12.70    
8  UNCLE GEORGE Jan01 Dec09 Jan21 Nov20 Aug25 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 36% 1.70    
 
AQU-8   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CRYPTO MAMA Dec28 Nov25 Oct06 Sep17 Jul02 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE Jan11 Nov26 Oct06 Aug29 Jul22 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
2B  TAMING THE TIGRESS Jan11 Oct28 Jul27 Jun04 May28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
4  PORTAGE Oct05 Aug16 Jul20 Jun23 May20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  PROUD FOOT Dec31 Nov18 Oct22 Sep22 Aug31 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  BENEATH THE STARS Dec17 Dec01 Nov04 Sep16 Sep01 (gaudet lace)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Dec14 Oct27 Oct13 Aug29 Jul28 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
8  LEELOO Dec16 Oct29 Sep30 Aug26 Mar18 (correas ignaci)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-9   02/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GRAD Jan14 Dec29 Nov20 Oct18 Sep25 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
2  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Jan14 Dec08 Nov11     (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
3  ARCO AUGUSTA Jan14 Dec29 Oct13 Sep04   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  RETAIL MAN Jan06 Dec08 Oct22 Oct04   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
5  DIANNESRETIRING Jan06 Nov12 Sep04     (dutrow ri)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RORY'S ORCHARD Jan03 Dec06 Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  IN A MINUTE Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 Sep14   (ryerson james )LUZZI J 120 10.00    
8  COLLECTED SPECIAL Nov04 Oct20 Jul16     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 0.80 72% 0.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.