Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-3   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.00 $4.00 67%
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $14.30 $5.30 59%
AQU-6   WIN (5/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $31.00 $19.00 158%
AQU-7   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    DD (5/7/4/8)-(8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $23.90 $11.90 99%
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/7/4/8)-(8/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-5-2 $135.50 $99.50 276%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:181 1:314   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPERIMENTAL 4 4 11 1½ 11 1½ 1 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 3.90  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
PIN UP BETTY 1 1 21 5 31 2½ 2 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 1.60 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
JUST MUSIC 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 34% 1.90 4.40 S
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
KATHYNMARISSA 5 2 3 2½ 21 4 414¼ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 4.90  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LA DALILA by MILT'S OVERTURE)
WEATHER DELAY 3 5 54 3 510 520½ 540¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.50 2.90  
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICAN GAL by CONCORD POINT)
 
AQU-2   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:013     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY 3 4 4 2   12 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 1.50  
SWEET AS SUGAR 1 3 1 1   22 2 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 14.40  
SLACK TIDE 2 2 3 32   34 3 (kantarmaci me)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 19% 4.30 8.90 S
HYDRA 5 1 2 4   45 411 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 3.65  
EVERLYS GIRL 4 5 58 512½   517 528¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.35  
SCR  KILLY START               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00    
 
AQU-3   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:244 :503 1:184 1:331   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDLE ON YOU 3 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 1¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 60% 0.70 4.00 W
DAME CATHERINE 2 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 21 2¼ (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 3.65  
BELLS TOLLING 4 4 52 3 46 39 315 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
SONG OF SOLOMINI 1 1 62 4 34 49 422½ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 2.20  
MEL'S ANGEL 6 6 4 6 5 522 556¾ (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 3.50 8% 11.40 3.20  
LOVE THYSELF 5 5 31 5 6 625 6100 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 7.20  
SCR  AWESOME GLO               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET               (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:244 :503 1:19 1:34   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 7 4 4 4¾ 2½ 2nk 1hd (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 3.35  
BARONESS BOURBON 5 5 7 6 4 3.2 2hd (begg james )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 10.80  
UNICORN CAKE 6 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 3 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 17% 4.90 2.80 S
SCARLET'S DREAM 4 6 3½ 3½ 3½ 4 410¼ (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 55% 0.80 1.35  
BORNFORGREATNESS 3 1 6 5 5 5 511¾ (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 36.50  
SUN AND WIND 2 2 2nk 2nk 69 610¼ 619½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
TOMAKI 1 7 5 7 729 735¼ 771¼ (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00 46.50  
 
AQU-5   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:173 1:302   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC SULLIVAN 1 5 43 3 1nk 1 17 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.30 3.15 W
BRICK AMBUSH 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 27 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 46% 1.20 1.35 P
BROWN DON'T STOP 2 6 6 6 4 3 310¾ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 8.90  
LOTSA TROUBLE 5 3 5 5 6 412 424 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 6.00  
KING FREUD 3 1 31 4 5 512½ 525¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 13.30  
SLAMMIN GOLD 6 4 1½ 1nk 3 613½ 629½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 15% 5.70 4.10  
TAPORICAL 7 7 717½ 728¼ 738¾ 758½ 7118½ (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 54.25  
 
AQU-6   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:163     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERPETUAL PRAISE 5 1 1 1½   1 1 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 30% 2.30 4.10 W
BIG HAZEL 6 2 32 4   37 2 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 4.10  
DEVILLY 2 4 2 2½   2 3 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 23.90  
HYPNOCURRENCY 1 6 76 711   413½ 413¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 6.70  
PAUCILOQUENT 3 7 6 57   515½ 522 (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.90  
DASHING DELLA 4 5 43 3   623½ 640¾ (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 9% 10.30 2.30  
JULIANA'S ROSE 7 3 53 610½   735½ 776 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 28% 2.60 3.00  
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE               (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
AQU-7   01/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:152     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 1 1 11   1 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 11% 8.20 3.60 W
LADY MINE 1 6 4 3   3 2¼ (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 3.75  
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 3 3 6 6   5 3 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 4.50  
MISSING FORTUNE 6 5 3 21   2 43 (saul dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 29% 2.50 4.90  
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 5 2 2 42   4 5 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 27% 2.70 2.10  
QUEENS MASTERPIECE 4 4 5 5   622½ 649¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 12.00 9.20  
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL               (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
SCR  TIMELY CONQUEST               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:172 1:32   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE CARA 2 7 712½ 711¾ 6 3 1 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 12.00 15.40  
NO SURRENDER 5 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 2 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 7% 13.90 3.00 P
LITTLE SKIPPY 1 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 3 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 15% 5.90 3.00 S
BELLE OF THE BALL 3 6 6 35 36 49 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 117 3.00 45% 1.20 2.85  
A LISTER 4 2 5 6 4 510½ 510 (pringle ed)RIVERA R 117 12.00 16.50  
NOBILIS 7 5 43 56 5 611 615¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 5.40  
GROWTH MINDSET 6 4 3 4 722¼ 736 795½ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 5.10  
SCR  PHANTOM JEWEL               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.