Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/3)-(5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/8/6)-(4/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/7/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/7/4/8)-(8/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/8)-(8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/8)-(8/7/2)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2)-(8/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIN UP BETTY Dec27 Nov25 Oct29 Oct06 Sep16 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  JUST MUSIC Dec28 Nov04 Oct14 Jul30   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
3  WEATHER DELAY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICAN GAL by CONCORD POINT)
4  EXPERIMENTAL Oct05         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
5  KATHYNMARISSA Dec01         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LA DALILA by MILT'S OVERTURE)
 
AQU-2   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KILLY START Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00    
2  SWEET AS SUGAR Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
3  SLACK TIDE Dec07 Nov10 Oct08 Jul23 Jun25 (kantarmaci me)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  I'M BUZZY Jan11 Dec14 Nov25 Oct27 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 ★    
5  EVERLYS GIRL Dec03 Oct22 Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  HYDRA Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 Aug25 Jul28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME GLO Dec16 Oct08 Sep01     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
2  SONG OF SOLOMINI Dec28 Oct20 Oct01     (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
3  DAME CATHERINE Dec28 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28   (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET Jan05 Sep15 Aug24     (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00    
5  HANDLE ON YOU Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 Oct01 Aug30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
6  BELLS TOLLING Dec28 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01   (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LOVE THYSELF Nov24 Oct22 Aug27 Jul26   (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
8  MEL'S ANGEL Dec16 Nov12 Oct20 Oct10 Jul26 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
 
AQU-4   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMAKI Nov06 Oct16 Sep27     (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00    
2  SUN AND WIND Dec16 Oct20 Sep15 Aug24 Jul19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BORNFORGREATNESS Dec28 Nov24 Nov09 Oct20 Sep15 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
4  SCARLET'S DREAM Dec09 Nov16 Oct22     (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
5  BARONESS BOURBON Dec10 Oct29 Oct01     (begg james )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
6  UNICORN CAKE Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25 Sep01 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
7  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Nov24 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Aug02 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC SULLIVAN Dec29 Dec02       (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
2  BROWN DON'T STOP Dec17 Nov03 Oct14     (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00    
3  KING FREUD Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Aug24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
4  BRICK AMBUSH Dec16 Nov17 Oct05     (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
5  LOTSA TROUBLE Dec10 Nov12       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
6  SLAMMIN GOLD Dec15 Nov04 Oct05 Sep14   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
7  TAPORICAL Dec15 Nov30 Nov01 Oct19 Aug30 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPNOCURRENCY May19 Apr23 Mar12 Feb12 Dec30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00    
2  DEVILLY Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Oct04 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
3  PAUCILOQUENT Aug16 Jun24 May18 Apr22 Mar12 (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
4  DASHING DELLA Jan12 Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
5  PERPETUAL PRAISE Aug02 Jun01 Apr23     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
6  BIG HAZEL Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 Aug11 Jul26 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
7  JULIANA'S ROSE Jun23 May11 Apr13 Feb09 Dec30 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 Jul23 Jun24 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
AQU-7   01/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MINE Dec29 Jun16 Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
2  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 Aug20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Aug11 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
SCR  TIMELY CONQUEST Nov16 Aug27 Aug11 Jun16   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
5  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Dec31 Nov14 Oct24 Oct02 Aug14 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
6  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Nov25 Oct08 May14 Mar24 Feb17 (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
7  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Jun18 May29 Apr23 Mar17 Feb17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
8  MISSING FORTUNE Jan04 Dec08 Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 (saul dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-8   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHANTOM JEWEL Jan01 Nov26 Nov10 Sep05 Jul03 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00    
2  LITTLE SKIPPY Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 May05 Apr07 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 15% 5.90    
3  I LOVE CARA Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 Aug17 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 12.00    
4  BELLE OF THE BALL Dec15 Oct22 Jan21 Apr10 Feb06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  A LISTER Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 Sep21 Aug23 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 117 12.00    
6  NO SURRENDER Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 Oct13   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 7% 13.90    
7  GROWTH MINDSET Dec01 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 Jan29 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 ★    
8  NOBILIS Jan04 Dec10 Nov10 Aug27 Aug02 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.