Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-5   WIN (1/11/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $33.02 $23.02 230%
    EXA (1/11/6/2/8)-(1/11/6/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-1 $108.54 $68.54 171%
    DD (11/2/8/7/5)-(1/11/6/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-2 $65.29 $40.29 161%
TP-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.96 $4.96 83%
    DD (1/11/6/2/8)-(6/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-6 $117.36 $102.36 682%
    PK3 (11/2/8/7/5)-(1/11/6/2/8)-(6/1/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50  2-2-6 $159.62 $122.12 326%
TP-9   EXA (12/7/5/11)-(12/7/5/11/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  12-5 $42.30 $10.30 32%
    TRI (12/7/5/11)-(12/7/5/11/2)-(12/7/5/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  12-5-2 $44.52 $20.52 86%
    SFT (12/7/5/11)-(12/7/5/11/2)-(12/7/5/11/2)-(12/7/5/11/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  12-5-2-7 $147.78 $138.18 1439%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASPER JUSTICE 2 4 7 43 2 2 1 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 4.50 4.17  
CITY OF GOD 5 3 2nk 1nk 1 1 2 (knippenberg br)PAULY SUMMER 108 12.00 5% 19.00 10.19 P
SHOSHA 3 1 3 32 3 33 3 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 121 4.50 5% 19.00 3.19 S
THISPOINTINTIME 4 5 9 8 7 45 48 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 87.88  
FAST FELIX 8 11 10 10 6 56 58 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00 37.73  
BEOCCA 6 6 43 5 5 66 611¾ (castanon jose )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.50 35% 1.90 4.65  
12  BIG HELLO 11 10 8 9 9 7 712½ (meah m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 10.45  
10  JOHNNY'S MOMENT 9 9 55 7 8 8 815¼ (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 38.04  
THALBERG 1 7 1110¾ 11 1013¼ 1013¼ 922 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 38% 1.60 3.69  
CABAR SUL 7 2 1nk 2nk 44 9 1024 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9.95  
11  CHARLIES MEDAL 10 8 6 66 1113¾ 1115¼ 1128¼ (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 10.00 15.58  
SCR  BAKER'S MAN               (hill jo)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
 
TP-2   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY'S SECRET 4 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 3.52 DQ↓2
SHERWOOD AVENUE 1 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.60 53% 0.90 0.59 W
LOBO SALVAJE 5 5 31 3½   3 3 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 20% 4.10 4.10 S
JARED THE WARRIOR 2 8 8 8   5 45 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
13  ROBIN'S GIANT 9 1 7 4   4 58 (axmaker peter)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00 61.41  
MUD PUDDLE 3 6 5 53   6 610¾ (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 48.97  
11  NIGHT CHANT 7 2 42 74   8 718¾ (brownfield c)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 10.00 19.88  
12  NO MORE GUNS 8 7 6 6   7 821¼ (cline rob)CORREA L 122 20.00 43.81  
SOUPED UP NICK 6 9 924¾ 924¼   929¾ 951¾ (fosdick steve)FUENTES ERICK 112 15.00 5% 19.00 53.47  
SCR  JAHEZ               (fernandez)CORREA L 124 10.00    
SCR  PLAY THE BLUES               (rednour jr)MOJICA O 124 30.00    
SCR  TOTALITARIAN               (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  TROY BOY               (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00    
SCR  TRUE PRODIGY               (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
 
TP-3   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:134     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAPPLY 2 7 6 4   21 1¾ (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 5.00 4.00  
ENZI BOY 6 3 3 5   11 2¾ (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 15.00 38.20  
RAISERICHIESRANSOM 1 8 73 2   4 38 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 27% 2.70 1.72 S
TORMENTA JERRY 9 1 1 1   31 4 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 7.72  
MOON CHARGER 7 9 95 9   54 5 (davis chr)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 25% 3.00 5.62  
PAPA'S RANSOM 4 6 8 107   6 611 (morey w)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 17% 5.00 6.05  
PACIFIDERO 3 10 105 8   89 714½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.29  
SWAYBACK JACK 8 4 5 6   7 815 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 61.30  
10  KING BUKELE 10 2 4 7   910½ 923¾ (torres a)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.98  
WATCHNTHETIDEROLL 5 5 2 3   1010¾ 1027 (rivelli larry)CEDILLO ABEL 119 12.00 18.53  
 
TP-4   12/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:161 1:421   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE TIME 2 2 4 31 1nk 1 1 (esquivel )CORREA L 118 2.50 18% 4.50 2.47 W
SKIPPINJUSTICE 5 10 1010¾ 1013¼ 10 55 2 (gonzalez lilia)PAULY SUMMER 111 12.00 5% 19.00 5.14 P
LIEUTENANT KITTY 3 8 8 8 6 3 33 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 121 12.00 11.01  
WICKED INTENT 7 9 9 9 8 6 4 (caramori caio)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 12% 7.20 3.48  
11  RECOGNIZE ME 10 7 5 5 32 2 55 (blair jordan)CARROLL DECLAN 118 4.50 29% 2.40 3.53  
10  NORA'S STAR 9 5 1 11 2nk 4 68 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 121 20.00 42.80  
LUCKY SHORE 1 1 2 42 54 7 710½ (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 18.19  
DR. BELLA 4 6 7 6 96 9 811¼ (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 21.30  
LOTTA ROSES 6 3 6 7 7 10 911¾ (meraz antonio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 15.00 13.06  
COLUMN 8 4 3 21 4 8 1015¾ (meah m)CONCEPCION AXEL 108 20.00 21.59  
SCR  SILVER SEA               (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 14% 6.40    
 
TP-5   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S CRACKIN 2 6 2nk 1½   1 1 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 9% 10.50 15.51 W
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KELL PASO by DIVINE PARK)
PIN UP BETTY 1 10 9 8   55 2 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 35% 1.90 1.84 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
EIGHT DAYS SOBER 5 8 8 63   4 3 (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 42.48  
  (by ENTICED out of CHILD PLEASE by WAR FRONT)
INDY'S HALO 3 12 12 10   78 4 (oliver )DE CRUZ 119 15.00 38.99  
  (by LORD NELSON out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
STAKEOUT 4 11 5 4   2 5 (harty eoin)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 9.14  
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  SALTWATER TAFFY 11 2 31 3   3 6 (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 119 5.00 22% 3.60 3.96  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHORE BIRD by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
10  CELTIC ELEGANCE 10 1 7 9   6 7 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 40.44  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LOVE THE CHASE by NOT FOR LOVE)
ONDA BRAVA 6 9 11 11   911 812¾ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 10.00 12% 7.20 13.85  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
COQUITO 9 5 10 12   1113½ 919 (thomas jonathan)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 28.15  
  (by CONNECT out of TROUBLES NO MO by UNCLE MO)
JILLY'S WEST 7 7 4 52   810 1020¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 5.78  
  (by NYQUIST out of WISH WAY by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
DELIGHTED (IRE) 8 4 1nk 2½   1011½ 1121¼ (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.15  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BREATHLESS by KRIS S.)
12  NOBLE MADAME 12 3 6 74   1214½ 1222½ (sharp joe)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 24.17  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LADY MARJORIE by CURLIN)
SCR  OUTSPOKEN               (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MELODY LADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  TAP THE CHAMPAGNE               (matejka pavel)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CHAMPAGNE ROYALE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
TP-6   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 5 1 3½ 4   2nk 1hd (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 36% 1.80 4.48 W
JUDY'S MS. OFFICER 4 5 52 5   5 2hd (cristel j)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 11.96  
BUCKEYE ROSE 6 2 4 31   3½ 3½ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5.81  
BROADWAY BLAZE 2 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 4 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 17% 4.70 4.05  
WILD IRISH 3 4 1nk 2nk   4 56 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 3.50 3.10  
DANSEUR D'ORO 1 6 6 6   6 612 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 20% 3.90 1.74  
SCR  KRISPY RICE               (shryock )MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY               (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 108 5.00    
 
TP-7   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:132 1:264   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGGY 2 2 5 5 4 3 1hd (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.50 5.75  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
BEFRIENDED 1 1 32 3 1nk 1nk 2hd (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 34% 1.90 1.51 P
  (by NYQUIST out of BETWIXT by EMPIRE MAKER)
OUR GIRL FLINT 3 11 7 7 6 5 3.15 (wilkes r)CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 18.02  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SUGARANDICE by DIXIE UNION)
ARGAN 7 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 42 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 7.97  
  (by NYQUIST out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
ROSELEE MAY 8 9 6 6 3 4 5 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 21% 3.70 2.94  
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
PEACOCK ROAD 5 7 10 11 8 6 6 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 19.21  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SEASON TICKET by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
MORNING SPLENDOR 9 12 1210½ 9 7 7 7 (oliver v)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 34.87  
  (by UNION RAGS out of MOM'S ON STRIKE by FIRST DUDE)
MOTHER FREEDOM 6 8 11 12 9 8 8 (hamilton )HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 58.60  
  (by WEST COAST out of MOTHER by LION HEARTED)
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 4 3 4 42 5 9 912¾ (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00 31.63  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
11  WILLOWY 11 10 8 8 10 1010¾ 1018¼ (catalano m)MOJICA O 119 15.00 31.46  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ON PARADE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
12  PICCANTE 12 6 9 10 1110¾ 1114¾ 1124½ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 20% 4.00 11.55  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
10  NO LACA CHARM 10 5 2nk 2½ 1215¾ 1224¾ 1247 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 67.15  
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of NO LACA TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
SCR  ENZI               (o'donnell marcus)ORM CORY 119 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TRULY GIFTED by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  VIABLE               (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
TP-8   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACOCK LASS 4 10 10 9   32 1 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 8.08  
PUMPKIN SCONE 1 8 8 7   4 2 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.50 19% 4.20 2.60 P
13  DEVINE CHARGER 11 3 5 3   22 3 (blair jord)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.21 S
12  FILLY CRYSTAL 10 4 1nk 1nk   12 4 (kenneally eddi)ROCCO S 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
ABITIBI 3 12 127 127   9 5 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 20.00 57.25  
SECRET OPERATION 8 11 11 8   7 6 (slager mike)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 15.43  
STORY HOUR 5 6 9 117   8 7 (medina robert)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 6.20  
14  FOREVER HOME 12 1 2nk 2nk   55 8 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 20.00 51.25  
11  RICHIES GREAT GIRL 9 2 31 43   66 912¾ (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 16% 5.10 14.68  
SHIP IT 7 9 7 6   10 1013½ (bahena ismael)MOJICA O 120 30.00 50.04  
MIMAJOON 6 5 6 10   1110¼ 1114¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00 72.97  
TENENBAUM 2 7 4 5   1210¼ 1219¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 35% 1.80 2.60  
SCR  ATLANTIC STRIKE               (simms jr)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GIRLEE               (delacour)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
 
TP-9   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:154 1:284   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ESME 12 11 9 64 53 3 1¾ (thomas jona)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50 61% 0.60 2.41 W
HONEYTOWN 5 3 11 11 1 11 2¾ (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 8.58 P
JAYLA 2 1 52 43 42 21 3 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 3.95 S
CAPTIVE STAR 7 5 11 86 7 54 47 (cline r)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 6% 15.30 13.75  
MIKITA 9 6 21 32 3 4 57 (foley greg)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00 4.60  
WICKED KITTEN 3 8 10 10 86 8 6 (allen a )RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 5.16  
11  LAST CHANCE DANCE 11 9 3 21 2 6 7 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.72  
TOP HAT TIGRESS 8 10 63 54 64 7 8 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 20.00 31.50  
BELLA MORNING 6 4 8 9 9 9 9 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00 39.46  
MALI BALI 1 2 7 11 10 119 1011½ (elliott michel)PAULY SUMMER 111 12.00 25.27  
FLAT OUT FAY 4 12 12 12 11 10 1111¾ (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 124 30.00 ######  
10  SONDRAS LAST HOPE 10 7 42 75 12 1217 1226½ (matthews rand)FUENTES ERICK 111 20.00 ######  
SCR  PLEDGULATIONS               (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.