The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -0.50
AQU-2   Win (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -4.90
AQU-3   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
AQU-4   Win (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -4.10
AQU-5   Win (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $9.70 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.00 -6.00
AQU-7   Win (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
AQU-8   Win (9/1/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $18.20 $18.20 8.20
AQU-9   Win (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -3.90
AQU-10   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIMINATE 1 4 5 4   1½ 11 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 30% 2.30 1.75 W
LASER SHARP 3 3 42 3.2   2½ 21 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 115 6.00 23% 3.40 3.20 P
APURO 5 5 21 2nk   34 312½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 1.95  
HEARD ON THESTREET 2 1 3 5   4420¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 10.70  
MISTER B 4 2 11 1nk   510 527¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
 
AQU-2   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 2 7 42 4   1½ 1(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 38% 1.60 0.55 W
NO SURRENDER 3 1 2nk 32   32(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 17% 5.00 3.85 P
LITTLE SKIPPY 7 5 31 2½   2½ 3(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.50 3.65 S
A LISTER 1 4 67 67   64(pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00 45.75  
GROWTH MINDSET 4 2 5 5   54 5(walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 19.30  
FLUORESCENT BAY 5 3 7 7   766 (davis robb)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00 44.25  
MODEL S 6 6 1nk 1½   42 7(belsoeur yv)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 20.30  
 
AQU-3   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM 3 3 11 11   12 1¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 39% 1.60 1.90 W
M B'S MUNNING 5 2 32 32   34 2¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 29% 2.50 3.50 P
1A  UNCLE GEORGE 6 4 21 21   22 32 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 1.90 S
DONTBELATE 4 1 5 56   44(persaud rand)RIVERA R 118 6.00 3.55  
QUICK HAMMER 2 5 42 4   59 514¼ (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 6.00 6% 14.90 5.10  
INDEPENDENT PAUL 1 6 69 610½   614 624¼ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 3.05  
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO A T 4 8 5 21   11 1(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 56% 0.80 0.95 W
TIMED OUT 7 6 12 11   21 2(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 3.35  
TRADE SECRET 3 4 7 68   53(pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 56.50  
DIVA BANKER 2 3 44 45   34(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 10.50  
RED PEPPER GRILL 8 7 8 7   68 5(henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
SLACK TIDE 5 1 22 33   46(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20 6.30  
VALLARAND 6 5 34 5   7711 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 118 20.00 67.25  
SWEET AS SUGAR 1 2 6 811½   812½ 813¾ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 18.10 5.10  
 
AQU-5   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY BLOCKS 8 1 6 4¾   3½ 1nk (barker edwar)RIVERA R 115 6.00 3.85  
GEOPOLITICS 5 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 25% 3.00 1.65 P
PEONY 6 2 3 2nk   2nk 3½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 13.20  
AUNT YOLA 3 8 8 5   446 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 6.50  
STRESS RELIEVER 7 4 7 710¼   710 5(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.80  
WELCOME BACK BABE 4 6 2½ 3½   56 69 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 12.50  
MANGIA 1 7 52 6   69 710½ (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 15.00 20% 3.90 20.50  
ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE 2 5 4 813¼   820 832¼ (martin f)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 37.50  
SCR  SNAPPIN BUTTONS               (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
 
AQU-6   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT 2 1 11 11   11(sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6.50  
TOMMY GUN 3 2 21 21   22(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.35 P
CHARLIE FIVE O 6 3 3 31   336 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.30 3.85 S
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 1 5 67 6   510 411¾ (jones edua)DAVIS A 118 20.00 23.40  
JOKER BOY 5 4 5 5   611 515¾ (quick patrick)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 14.20 13.70  
QUICKFLASH 4 6 4 46   4616¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 2.10  
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION               (jones mi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES               (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKI PATROL 5 3 2 2½   11(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 68% 0.50 1.30 W
CHEEKY TICO 8 1 5 32   33 2(noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 8.40 P
BIG SAVE 4 5 1 1½   23(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 11% 8.30 3.25 S
PROVISION 3 7 32 5   44(noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 10.00  
10  STREET COP OFFICER 10 2 6 4   5510 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 12.00 30.50  
MOVING PICTURES 9 4 7 7   711½ 611¼ (rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
DISAPPEARANCE 1 9 1013¼ 1019   914½ 712¾ (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 12.50  
FIGHT FIERCELY 7 6 42 6   611½ 814½ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 5.00 8.70  
SORPRESO 2 8 8 8   814 916¾ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 79.25  
STRONG LIGHT 6 10 912¾ 918½   1020½ 1021¼ (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 123 20.00 37.25  
 
AQU-8   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
1:383         1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN LAW 6 5 63 5 5 4¾ 1hd (brown bruce )RIVERA R 115 10.00 11% 7.80 8.10 W
LUCENCY 5 2 31 3½ 4 2nk 2hd (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 6.80  
EXPECTED VALUE 3 6 53 6 6 5¾ 3¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.40 S
SILO RIDGE 8 4 4 41 31 3.2 41 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 33% 2.10 1.70  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 1nk 5(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 7.50  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 4 7 7 7 7 72 65 (toscano t)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 7% 13.20 19.00  
1A  RESERVE CURRENCY 9 9 9 9 8 875 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 2.40  
NARCISO DALI 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 61 8(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 7.70  
THUNDERIAN 7 8 85 8 9 9910½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 57.50  
SCR  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Heavenly Prize Invitational Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADDLE UP JESSIE 7 3 1nk 11 1 11(russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 32% 2.10 1.05 W
MOVIE MOXY 6 2 3½ 4 3 32(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 5.50  
SPIKED 8 1 4¾ 31 2 233 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 19% 4.30 14.30 S
LADY BREW 4 7 7 5 4 44(chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
CAIRO SUGAR 1 5 5 6 5 512 516 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 18.70  
INTO HAPPINESS 5 8 8 8 612½ 616½ 622½ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 8.40  
PORTAGE 3 6 2nk 21 715 719 723½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 25% 3.10 2.60  
PRETTI XTREME 2 4 6 7 821 824 829¾ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 34.00  
 
AQU-10   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:23 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY GIRL 7 7 4¾ 1nk   12 1(duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 4.90  
DOLCE VELOCE 6 5 1½ 2nk   22 2(englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 19.00 8.50 P
BOOK OF WISDOM 2 2 8 8   57 3(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 21% 3.80 5.20 S
SONIA'S FLAME 9 8 5 3   34(noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 49.50  
ELITE STATUS (GB) 5 6 7 6   68 510½ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 32% 2.20 1.50  
APOLLONIA C 4 3 2½ 4   47 610¾ (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 27% 2.70 4.80  
MARY UNION AVE 8 10 10 9   7712½ (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 17.00  
LA DECENTE 3 9 9 1012¼   1014 816¼ (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 120 20.00 38.75  
INFLAMMABELLE 1 4 6 56   812½ 916¼ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 13.30  
10  TROUBLED LUCK 10 1 3½ 7   913½ 1017½ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 41.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.