Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (9/1/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-10   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIMINATE Dec08 Oct27 Aug12     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 30% 2.30    
HEARD ON THESTREET Jan12         (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
LASER SHARP Dec14         (terranova jo)RIVERA R 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
MISTER B         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
APURO Nov04         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
 
AQU-2   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LISTER Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 Sep21 (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jan07 Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 38% 1.60    
NO SURRENDER Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 Oct13 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
GROWTH MINDSET Jan19 Dec01 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
FLUORESCENT BAY Jan04 Aug23 Jul07 Jun03 May13 (davis robb)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
MODEL S Dec16 Nov26 Nov05     (belsoeur yv)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00    
LITTLE SKIPPY Jan19 Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 May05 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-3   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 May24 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
1A  UNCLE GEORGE Feb04 Jan01 Dec09 Jan21 Nov20 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60    
INDEPENDENT PAUL Jan18 Jul09       (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
QUICK HAMMER Dec28 Nov24 Sep16 Jul30 Jul08 (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
DONTBELATE Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 Oct21 Oct12 (persaud rand)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
M B'S MUNNING Feb04 Jan05 Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AS SUGAR Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 18.10    
DIVA BANKER Jan11 Jan05 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
TRADE SECRET Jan07 Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 Aug03 (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
TO A T Feb02 Dec31 Dec14 Oct27 Aug24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 56% 0.80    
SLACK TIDE Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 Oct08 Jul23 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
VALLARAND Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov24 Oct06 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 118 20.00    
TIMED OUT Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 Aug24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
RED PEPPER GRILL Dec14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep09 Jul22 (henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGIA Jan05 Dec16 Nov09     (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 15.00 20% 3.90    
ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE         (martin f)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNAPPIN BUTTONS         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
AUNT YOLA         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
WELCOME BACK BABE         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
GEOPOLITICS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
PEONY         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
STRESS RELIEVER         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
CITY BLOCKS Jan06 Dec31 Oct01     (barker edwar)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
 
AQU-6   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jan26 Dec13 Dec05 Oct12 Sep21 (jones mi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 Nov21 Nov07 (jones edua)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
HIGH HEAT Jan06 Dec17 May30 May15 Apr25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
TOMMY GUN Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Oct13 Oct02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
QUICKFLASH Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct14 Sep16 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
JOKER BOY Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep21 (quick patrick)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 14.20    
CHARLIE FIVE O Jan31 Jan01 Nov02 Oct14 Sep18 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-7   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISAPPEARANCE Jan13 Jan01 Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
SORPRESO Feb03 Jan14 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
PROVISION Jan01 Dec07 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
BIG SAVE Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep15 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
SKI PATROL Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 Sep03 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
STRONG LIGHT Jan13 Dec31 Dec07 Nov26 Nov11 (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
FIGHT FIERCELY Jan05 Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 5.00    
CHEEKY TICO Dec31 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Jul03 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
MOVING PICTURES Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep17 (rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  STREET COP OFFICER Jan01 Dec17 Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECTED VALUE Jan13 Apr08 Sep18 Aug20   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
1A  RESERVE CURRENCY Jan14 Aug20 Jul01 Apr23 Mar11 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jan13 Nov05 Sep28 Jul30 Jun03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
NARCISO DALI Jan14 Dec16 Nov02 Oct04 Aug30 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
SCR  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jan26 Jan07 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 (toscano t)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 7% 13.20    
LUCENCY Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Jul21   (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
AMERICAN LAW Dec30 Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 115 10.00 11% 7.80    
THUNDERIAN Jan12 Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SILO RIDGE Jan13 Dec09 Aug20 Jul21   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
AQU-9   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Heavenly Prize Invitational Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO SUGAR Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 Oct06 Jul24 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
PRETTI XTREME Jan14 Nov25 Oct27 Aug30 Jul20 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
PORTAGE Feb04 Oct05 Aug16 Jul20 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
LADY BREW Dec23 Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 Aug20 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
INTO HAPPINESS Dec28 Nov25 Nov05 Oct04 Aug09 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
MOVIE MOXY Dec01 Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SADDLE UP JESSIE Jan06 Dec23 Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
SPIKED Apr21 Feb24 Jan12 Nov25 Oct02 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-10   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFLAMMABELLE         (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Jan14 Dec16 Oct21 Sep28 Aug10 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
LA DECENTE         (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
APOLLONIA C Jan14         (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
ELITE STATUS (GB) Dec16         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
DOLCE VELOCE Jan05 Dec09 Nov09     (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SUNDAY GIRL         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
MARY UNION AVE         (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SONIA'S FLAME         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
10  TROUBLED LUCK Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov10 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.