Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/7/3/5)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(1/5/3)-(4/5/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/5/1/8)-(8/6/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8)-(8/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/8)-(8/6/1/2)-(5/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2)-(5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/2)-(5/8/7)-(5/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(5/4/9)-(9/1/7/5/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9/8/1)-(5/4/9/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(9/1/7/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(9/1/7/5/8)-(7/3/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/5/8)-(9/1/7/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/5/8)-(9/1/7/5/8)-(9/1/7/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/7/5/8)-(7/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/5/8)-(7/3/8/4)-(5/4/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/4)-(5/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-10   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/7)-(5/4/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIMINATE Dec08 Oct27 Aug12     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CURLIN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
2  HEARD ON THESTREET Jan12         (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of CLASSY COCO by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  LASER SHARP Dec14         (terranova )RIVERA R 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
4  MISTER B         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of GIDDY UP by HIGH COTTON)
5  APURO Nov04         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-2   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LISTER Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 Sep21 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
2  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jan07 Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 38% 1.60    
3  NO SURRENDER Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 Oct13 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  GROWTH MINDSET Jan19 Dec01 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
5  FLUORESCENT BAY Jan04 Aug23 Jul07 Jun03 May13 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MODEL S Dec16 Nov26 Nov05     (belsoeur )CAMACHO JR 122 10.00    
7  LITTLE SKIPPY Jan19 Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 May05 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-3   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 May24 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
1A  UNCLE GEORGE Feb04 Jan01 Dec09 Jan21 Nov20 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 ★    
2  INDEPENDENT PAUL Jan18 Jul09       (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
3  QUICK HAMMER Dec28 Nov24 Sep16 Jul30 Jul08 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
4  DONTBELATE Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 Oct21 Oct12 (persaud ra)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
5  M B'S MUNNING Feb04 Jan05 Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AS SUGAR Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 18.10    
2  DIVA BANKER Jan11 Jan05 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
3  TRADE SECRET Jan07 Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 Aug03 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
4  TO A T Feb02 Dec31 Dec14 Oct27 Aug24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 56% 0.80    
5  SLACK TIDE Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 Oct08 Jul23 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
6  VALLARAND Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov24 Oct06 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
7  TIMED OUT Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 Aug24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
8  RED PEPPER GRILL Dec14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep09 Jul22 (henry neville)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGIA Jan05 Dec16 Nov09     (persaud ran)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 15.00 20% 3.90    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CILANTRO by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE         (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ALL TALK by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
SCR  SNAPPIN BUTTONS         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CANARYINACAGE by MINESHAFT)
4  AUNT YOLA         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  WELCOME BACK BABE         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
6  GEOPOLITICS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
7  PEONY         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLOWER MART by STREET SENSE)
8  STRESS RELIEVER         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
9  CITY BLOCKS Jan06 Dec31 Oct01     (barker edw)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
 
AQU-6   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jan26 Dec13 Dec05 Oct12 Sep21 (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 Nov21 Nov07 (jones ed)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
4  HIGH HEAT Jan06 Dec17 May30 May15 Apr25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
5  TOMMY GUN Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Oct13 Oct02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  QUICKFLASH Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct14 Sep16 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
7  JOKER BOY Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep21 (quick patri)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 14.20    
8  CHARLIE FIVE O Jan31 Jan01 Nov02 Oct14 Sep18 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-7   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISAPPEARANCE Jan13 Jan01 Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 ★    
2  SORPRESO Feb03 Jan14 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
3  PROVISION Jan01 Dec07 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
4  BIG SAVE Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep15 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  SKI PATROL Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 Sep03 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
6  STRONG LIGHT Jan13 Dec31 Dec07 Nov26 Nov11 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
7  FIGHT FIERCELY Jan05 Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 5.00    
8  CHEEKY TICO Dec31 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Jul03 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 ★    
9  MOVING PICTURES Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep17 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  STREET COP OFFICER Jan01 Dec17 Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECTED VALUE Jan13 Apr08 Sep18 Aug20   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
1A  RESERVE CURRENCY Jan14 Aug20 Jul01 Apr23 Mar11 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
2  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jan13 Nov05 Sep28 Jul30 Jun03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
3  NARCISO DALI Jan14 Dec16 Nov02 Oct04 Aug30 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
SCR  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
5  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jan26 Jan07 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 (toscano john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 7% 13.20    
6  LUCENCY Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Jul21   (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
7  AMERICAN LAW Dec30 Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 115 10.00 11% 7.80    
8  THUNDERIAN Jan12 Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SILO RIDGE Jan13 Dec09 Aug20 Jul21   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
AQU-9   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Heavenly Prize Invitational Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO SUGAR Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 Oct06 Jul24 (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  PRETTI XTREME Jan14 Nov25 Oct27 Aug30 Jul20 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
3  PORTAGE Feb04 Oct05 Aug16 Jul20 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  LADY BREW Dec23 Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 Aug20 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of GINGER BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  INTO HAPPINESS Dec28 Nov25 Nov05 Oct04 Aug09 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  MOVIE MOXY Dec01 Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
7  SADDLE UP JESSIE Jan06 Dec23 Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
8  SPIKED Apr21 Feb24 Jan12 Nov25 Oct02 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
 
AQU-10   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFLAMMABELLE         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SNICKER BELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BOOK OF WISDOM Jan14 Dec16 Oct21 Sep28 Aug10 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
3  LA DECENTE         (jimenez )DAVIS A 120 20.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SHE'S OVERANALYZED by OVERANALYZE)
4  APOLLONIA C Jan14         (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
5  ELITE STATUS (GB) Dec16         (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by BIG BROWN out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  DOLCE VELOCE Jan05 Dec09 Nov09     (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  SUNDAY GIRL         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MARY UNION AVE         (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
9  SONIA'S FLAME         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of G. T. SONIA by BRETHREN)
10  TROUBLED LUCK Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov10 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.