The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
AQU-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
AQU-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
AQU-5   Win (8/4/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -3.50
AQU-6   Win (5/2/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $13.20 -10.00
AQU-7   Win (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
AQU-8   Win (9/1/10/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $12.80 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:162 1:293   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ARGENTINA GIRL 7 2 1nk 2½ 11 15 17 (sanchez-pinero )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 9% 10.80 4.10 W
LA GROTTE 6 1 31 4 21 25 27 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.00 52% 0.90 0.55 P
AFILADA 2 6 4 3 3 36 310¼ (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 3.50 18% 4.60 4.80 S
BRAVO REGINA 5 4 5 5 45 410½ 414¾ (sanchez-pinero a)LUZZI J 120 4.50 4.10  
ALTERINA 4 7 7 69 5 515½ 519 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 16.40  
SHASI 3 3 6 7 711 617½ 629½ (donk david)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
STRANGE FRUIT 1 5 2nk 1½ 610½ 725½ 741½ (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 14.30  
 
AQU-2   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN ROME 4 1 21 2½   1nk 1½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 3.40  
KUPP 2 3 11 1½   2nk 2½ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.75 P
LIFE CHANGER 1 2 4 32   331 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 14% 6.30 3.65 S
TETSU 6 5 55 55   44 4(diprima gregory)LUZZI J 118 6.00 5.80  
JAKE ROCKS 5 4 3 4   5512¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 12.20  
1A  BEACHWALKER 3 6 6 611   612½ 616 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 26% 2.80 5.00  
SCR  BIG ENGINE               ( )TBA null      
SCR  KINGDOM               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
 
AQU-3   02/19/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY FLAME 4 2 2nk 1   18 1(quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 2.50 18% 4.50 1.60 W
JUST A NYQUIST 7 6 4 54   32(barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 2.35  
CAPTIVATING CARA 1 5 5 4   59 312¼ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.75 S
HONORABLE LILLY 2 1 1nk 2   28 413½ (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 6 3 3½ 3   49 514½ (toscano t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.05  
MORE MANGO 3 7 711¼ 712½   714½ 614¾ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00 35.50  
TOWERING GAZE 5 4 6 68   613½ 714¾ (d'alessa)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 38.50  
SCR  VINTAGE               (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGUSTINE RED 3 7 55 53   41¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 35% 1.80 1.00 W
BADLANDS RULER 5 5 43 3½   1nk 2¾ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
BLACK ALMIGHTY 6 1 2 2nk   2nk 3(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9.60 S
MAD BANKER 4 3 3 4   52 43 (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 17.10  
I GOT BUSTED 2 2 1 1nk   3½ 5(englehart chris)LUZZI J 120 2.50 41% 1.40 2.60  
SOLO IN PARIS 1 6 67 66   66(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 6.30  
GAME MISCONDUCT 7 4 7 77   78 7(delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 54.75  
SCR  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
 
AQU-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141 1:272   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON ADIEU 4 2 1½ 1½ 1 11(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 120 2.00 27% 2.70 2.25 W
CLOVER STREET 9 1 5 4 34 32(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 8% 11.60 10.50 P
APRIL ANTICS 5 4 2½ 2½ 2 234 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 8.70  
CARBON 6 5 7 77 5 44(samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 120 30.00 41.75  
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 8 3 42 65 78 510 5(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.15  
MY FIRST LOVE 1 8 63 54 4 610½ 610 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 7% 13.00 8.60  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 7 32 3 67 712½ 714½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 70.25  
EROS'S GIRL 2 9 86 89 813 816½ 818½ (ferraro m )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 38.00  
AMITY ISLAND 7 6 9 910 913½ 917 919¼ (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
 
AQU-6   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATEAU 1 1 1 1   13 1(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5.60  
COMMERCE COMET 2 4 32 3   23 2(englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00 4.40 P
BOURBON'S HOPE 7 5 7 58   46 3(jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00 29.25  
CLEM LABINE 3 10 1015¾ 1017½   814½ 4(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 13% 6.50 3.25  
CAJUN CASANOVA 4 8 910¾ 814½   614 510 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 49% 1.10 2.60  
2B  SUNRISE JOURNEY 5 2 2 2   34 610½ (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 3.25  
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 8 9 810¾ 713   714 715 (shivm)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00 23.00  
3X  BREAKING STONES 6 3 4 4   511 815½ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 10% 9.50 8.80  
MR PHIL 10 6 66 612   915 920 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
ONE MORE BREW 9 7 56 914½   1022 1033¾ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 15.20  
SCR  CAN'T BEAT ME               (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00    
SCR  HEIR PORT               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
AQU-7   02/19/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL POPPY 4 3 2nk 2nk   11¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.90 W
TOUGH STREET 1 6 5 3   22¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 2.85  
BUSTIN BAY 2 7 7 7   46 34 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 3.00  
1A  TAMING THE TIGRESS 5 5 6 4   54(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 3.00  
GIVE ME KISSES 6 1 3½ 6   610½ 5(pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 37% 1.70 7.00  
STONEWALL STAR 3 4 1nk 1nk   35 610½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 11% 8.20 4.10  
DESERT DALLIANCE 7 2 4¾ 5   713½ 716¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
TOWHEAD 8 8 8 8   815 816¾ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  BABA               (jones michae)RIVERA R 120 50.00    
 
AQU-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:021     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNARKY 8 1 14 1   11¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5.40  
ZHEN LOU 3 4 5 511   52¼ (d'ale)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 16.60  
NECESSARYANDPROPER 1 2 34 43   43 3(dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 19% 4.20 3.30 S
MANGIA 9 7 4 2   243 (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 2.50 45% 1.20 2.65  
MISS BOURBON 6 3 24 3   32 56 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
DELL ARTE 5 5 714¾ 716   613½ 610½ (quick patric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00 77.25  
EAST HARBOR 4 10 917¼ 922½   715½ 711 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
FRANKIE'S ROSE 2 9 1017¾ 1023½   1019½ 814¾ (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 120 20.00 58.50  
MOTHER MARY 7 8 1119¾ 1123¾   917½ 915¾ (brown r)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 29.75  
10  MAJESTIC LAURA ANN 10 11 816¼ 819   817 1015¾ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 6% 15.80 5.50  
11  BROOKLYN ROSIE 11 6 6 615   1122½ 1132½ (ferraro an)RIVERA R 120 15.00 22.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.