Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(3/1/2)-(7/5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(7/5/3/1)-(2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(2/3/6)-(8/4/9/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(8/4/9/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(8/4/9/1/7)-(5/2/3/4/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/4/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/1/7)-(8/4/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/1/7)-(8/4/9/1/7)-(8/4/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/9/1/7)-(5/2/3/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/1/7)-(5/2/3/4/9)-(6/5/4/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4/9)-(5/2/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4/9)-(5/2/3/4/9)-(5/2/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4/9)-(6/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/4/9)-(6/5/4/7)-(9/1/10/6/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7)-(9/1/10/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/10/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/6/4)-(9/1/10/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/6/4)-(9/1/10/6/4)-(9/1/10/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVO REGINA Jan09 Nov13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul16 (sanchez-pinero)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
1A  ARGENTINA GIRL Jan09 Nov26 Aug21 May03 Apr22 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 9% 10.80    
2  STRANGE FRUIT Dec30 Nov26 Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
3  AFILADA Jan07 Nov25 Apr27 Apr13 Apr02 (baker char)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  SHASI Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 Nov03 Oct08 (donk david)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALTERINA Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 Nov03 Aug24 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
6  LA GROTTE Dec30 Nov09 Oct06 Mar17 Feb19 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEACHWALKER Feb04 Jan06 Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  KINGDOM Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
2  LIFE CHANGER Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Jun10 Apr01 (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  KUPP Jan14 Jan01 Dec16 Nov02 Oct08 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  LOST IN ROME Aug02 Jul02 Jun15 May27 May13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
6  JAKE ROCKS Feb02 Oct14 Sep16 Jul26 Apr27 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
7  TETSU Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
SCR  BIG ENGINE Feb16 Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-3   02/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTIVATING CARA Jan28 Jan07 Dec07 Jul11 Jun15 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VINTAGE Feb02 Dec31 Nov30 Aug28 Jul30 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
3  HONORABLE LILLY Jan11 Jul11 Jun19 May16 Apr25 (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MORE MANGO Nov24 Oct28 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
5  LIBERTY FLAME Jan05 Dec08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  TOWERING GAZE Jan28 Jan07 Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
7  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jan28 Nov24 Nov09 Oct06 Jul20 (toscano john )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
8  JUST A NYQUIST Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO IN PARIS Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 Oct04   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
2  I GOT BUSTED Feb02         (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  AUGUSTINE RED Jan28 Jan05 Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  MAD BANKER Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 Oct04 Aug11 (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
SCR  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS Jan05 Nov22 Oct11 Sep20   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
6  BADLANDS RULER Jan28 Nov10 Oct07 Aug05   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLACK ALMIGHTY         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 ★    
8  GAME MISCONDUCT Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FIRST LOVE Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Mar05 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
2  EROS'S GIRL Feb03 Jan05 Dec07 Nov14 Oct02 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
3  FREDDYMO FACTOR Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
4  BON ADIEU Jan07 Dec08 Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  APRIL ANTICS Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Oct29 Sep24 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  CARBON Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov25 Nov16 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
7  AMITY ISLAND Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Jan19 Jun18 May29 Apr23 Mar17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
9  CLOVER STREET Dec15 Nov03 Oct08 Jul19 Jun15 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
AQU-6   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATEAU Jan31 Dec30 Nov18 Oct14 Jul30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
SCR  HEIR PORT Jan06 Nov26 Jul14 Jun03 May13 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
2  CLEM LABINE Feb09 Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 May13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
2B  SUNRISE JOURNEY Feb04 Nov10 Aug04 Jul04 May28 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 ★    
3X  BREAKING STONES Feb04 Nov22 Oct17 Sep04 Jul31 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  CAN'T BEAT ME Jan06 Nov21 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00    
4  COMMERCE COMET Feb03 Jan12 Nov16 Aug12 Jun06 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  CAJUN CASANOVA Jan12 Dec29 Nov18 Oct04 Aug16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 49% 1.10    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Jan27 Jan12 Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00    
7  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 (shi)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00    
8  ONE MORE BREW Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Nov17 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
9  MR PHIL Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Jul16 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   02/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 Oct27 Sep24 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
1A  TAMING THE TIGRESS Feb04 Jan11 Oct28 Jul27 Jun04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50    
2  TOUGH STREET Oct29 Oct04 Aug30 Jul29 May18 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SCR  BABA Jan24 Dec13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (jones mich)RIVERA R 120 50.00    
4  STONEWALL STAR Jan11 Nov24 Apr16 Feb18 Jan22 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 11% 8.20    
5  ROYAL POPPY Jan11 Nov24 Oct07 Sep02 Jun23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  GIVE ME KISSES Dec14 Nov05 Dec30 Nov20   (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  DESERT DALLIANCE Jan11 Nov26 Oct06 Aug29 Jul22 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TOWHEAD May19 Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Nov26 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
AQU-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECESSARYANDPROPER Jan11 Dec03 Nov09 Oct01   (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  FRANKIE'S ROSE         (metivier )CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
3  ZHEN LOU Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Dec01   (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
4  EAST HARBOR         (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DELL ARTE Jan06         (quick patr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
6  MISS BOURBON Jan28 Nov16 Oct21     (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOTHER MARY Dec28 Nov24 Nov09 Sep15 Sep01 (brown r)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
8  SNARKY Jan18 Dec01 Oct12 Sep01 Aug10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
9  MANGIA Feb10 Jan05 Dec16 Nov09   (persaud ran)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 2.50 45% 1.20    
10  MAJESTIC LAURA ANN         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 6% 15.80    
11  BROOKLYN ROSIE Jan18         (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.