Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.20  
TUP-2   Win (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $3.40  
TUP-3   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-4   Win (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.80  
TUP-5   Win (7/3/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $12.00  
TUP-6   Win (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TUP-7   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
TUP-8   Win (3/8/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CIDSTAYINURLAINE 5 2 21 2nk 11½ 13 17 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 3.60  
3  METAROSE 3 1 11 1nk 21½ 23 27 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 31% 2.30 1.80 P
6  MERINO WOOL 6 6 42½ 3½ 33 34½ 37¼ (rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 17% 4.80 4.70 S
4  SHES GOT THE POWER 4 5 52½ 4¾ 43½ 45 47¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 8.00  
1  AYY LADIES 1 4 63 62¾ 612½ 510 515¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.00  
2  MIDNIGHT FROST 2 3 32 52¾ 56½ 619 628 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 4.50 9.80  
 
TUP-2   01/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NEW EVERY MORNING 7 1 3.2 2nk   12½ 11½ (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.60 0.70  
4  STEALTH MISSION 4 7 55¼ 42½   22½ 21½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.90 P
2  SPIRE 2 4 44¼ 55½   58 35½ (baze robert)RADKE K 124 5.00 18% 4.60 8.30 S
1  ELUSIVE LOVE 1 6 78¾ 68½   47½ 45¾ (ortiz sr)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 8.50  
5  FRANKS FIX IT 5 2 1nk 1nk   35 57½ (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6.00  
3  EMPEROR'S CHOICE 3 3 2nk 31½   68½ 611 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
6  TAINO 6 5 67¾ 712½   714½ 715½ (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 15% 5.50 25.00  
 
TUP-3   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FACENDA 2 6 21 2½   2½ 1½ (mendez luis)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 27% 2.70 0.90 W
2  SHUDDER 1 1 11 1½   1½ 2½ (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 121 5.00 24% 3.10 9.50 P
7  MAGIC STORM 6 3 31 31½   32½ 32 (silva l)CRUZ M 116 6.00 26% 2.90 4.70 S
5  R BARRACUDA 4 4 41¼ 42   45½ 44¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 6.80  
4  DEKUDYLAN 3 2 53¼ 56½   59½ 56½ (birdwell tena)RADKE K 121 3.50 3.80  
6  GRUMPY BAY 5 5 64¾ 67   611½ 68¾ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5.20  
SCR  BLING AWAY BABY               (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00    
 
TUP-4   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFT THE BAR 1 1 13     14 1½ (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 2.90  
5  TALE OF TRUTH 5 8 47     24 2½ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30 P
3  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 3 3 35     34 3½ (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 1.60 33% 2.00 1.50 S
4  SO CAL MEMORY 4 6 58     56¼ 43¾ (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 5% 17.50 3.90  
7  MONGOLIAN MOON 7 4 610½     69¾ 54¾ (tubbs scott)RADKE K 122 12.00 17.20  
2  WEGOTBEERONICE 2 2 23     46 65¼ (baze robert)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 28.20  
6  KLIMT RIDE 6 7 813     711¼ 77¾ (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80 4.30  
8  ROUGE SUNSET 8 5 710½     812¾ 88½ (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 117 12.00 27.40  
 
TUP-5   01/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:224 :453       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHARP WARNING 9 4 31     31½ 1½ (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 5.00  
3  TIME TO ZOOM 3 1 1nk     11½ 2½ (tubbs scott)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 18% 4.60 6.80 P
6  FIGHT ME 6 3 2nk     21½ 32¾ (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 33.90  
1  ARIMONY 1 9 85¾     54¼ 43¾ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
8  GOLD RUSH CANDY 8 6 42½     44 54 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 14.40 3.40  
7  AYRTON SENNA 7 5 64¼     85¾ 66 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.70  
5  LUCKY SMILE 5 8 97¾     96¼ 77 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
2  CAJUN FIRE 2 2 52¾     64¾ 87¾ (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 10.00 26.80  
4  ROCKIN MACHEN 4 7 74¼     75¾ 98 (silva jua)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 12.80  
 
TUP-6   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :442 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLLECT DIS MONEY 4 2 1½ 11   11½ 11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 W
8  ALL THE KING'S MEN 7 1 2½ 21   21½ 21 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 1.40  
6  CARPE BELLUM 5 5 44½ 48   34½ 33¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 1.40  
2  PHILBIN ROAD 1 6 66 510   57 46½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 18% 4.40 12.90  
7  IOWA HAWKEYE 6 3 34 35½   46 57½ (caraman m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 6% 15.50 28.50  
4  WEALTH N HEALTH 3 4 56 611½   69½ 611¾ (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
3  DIXON TUFF 2 7 714 719½   718½ 720½ (matt l)CORBETT W 124 15.00 49.00  
SCR  MACNAMARA               (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TEXTHELEGEND 3 6 711½ 710½ 49½ 43¼ 12¼ (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.80 W
4  SALINE RIVER 4 1 11½ 11½ 12 13 22¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.00 P
6  HEIR (FR) 6 2 32 21½ 22 23 33¾ (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 12% 7.60 4.80 S
8  PANZER PRIDE 8 7 69 67 37 33 44¼ (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 21.00  
5  STAR PROSPECT 5 3 21½ 32½ 610 69¾ 510¾ (ferguson curt)CORBETT W 122 4.50 3.90  
2  TABLE FOR TWO 2 4 57 45½ 59½ 57¾ 611¾ (fuentes ruben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 14% 6.40 4.00  
1  CAPIAT 1 8 814½ 812½ 812½ 711¾ 716½ (matt l)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 32.30  
7  NASHVILLE SKYLINE 7 5 45 55½ 712 813¾ 818¾ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 8.00 8.20  
 
TUP-8   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PEQUENA TORMENTA 7 1 12 12   11½ 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 27% 2.70 0.40 W
3  SAILING ALONG 3 6 54¼ 53   21½ 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 39% 1.50 6.70 P
7  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) 6 2 32 22   34½ 35¼ (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50 S
2  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL 2 5 65¾ 63½   47½ 410¼ (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 122 5.00 8% 11.10 22.00  
10  YOUR RINGER 9 4 42¼ 43   611 512 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
9  VELLA 8 3 22 32½   510 612 (trela rosemary)CORBETT W 122 2.50 9.60  
6  ELDORADO DREAM 5 9 78¼ 77½   712½ 714¾ (valerio raymon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00 25.70  
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP 1 8 912¼ 912   817 818 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 35.90  
5  THE REIGN SONG 4 7 88¼ 89½   919 921 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 51.30  
SCR  LOVELY LOLA               (simpson shannon)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.